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Dollar Dips Despite U.S. Tariff Fears as Brexit Hopes Lift Pound

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U.S dollar - Investors King
  • Dollar Dips Despite U.S. Tariff Fears as Brexit Hopes Lift Pound

The dollar edged down on Thursday after a bounce in European currencies but investors said concerns about U.S. President Donald Trump imposing further tariffs on Chinese imports could lift the greenback.

Trump could impose levies on $200 billion more of Chinese imports on Thursday when a public comment period on the new tariffs ends.

That would represent a significant ramping up of the trade war between the world’s two largest economies and lift the dollar which has become a principal haven for investors seeking shelter from the conflict.

The greenback on Thursday, however, edged down 0.1 percent against a basket of major currencies to 95.121.

Traders said that was because of gains made by sterling after Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that Germany would accept a less detailed agreement on Britain’s future ties with the EU to get a Brexit deal done.

Germany denied that its position on Brexit had changed though sterling still traded up 0.2 percent against the dollar at $1.2925.

“The dollar continues to face residual pressure from the buoyant pound amid the latest speculation over Brexit. How long this lift could last remains to be seen, but it is prompting buy backs of other European currencies like the euro and Swiss franc for now,” said Takuya Kanda, general manager at Gaitame.com Research.

SWEDISH CROWN PRESSURED

Elsewhere, the Swedish crown sank 0.7 percent versus the euro after the Swedish central bank kept rates unchanged and closed the door for a rate hike in October.

The Swedish currency fell last week to a nine-year low against the euro on concern about an approaching election and growing investor conviction that interest rates may not rise until well into 2019.

The crown has weakened more than any other developed-world currency this year, falling 12 percent against the dollar. The Swedish central bank is expected to be among the last to end stimulus policies dating from the 2008 financial crisis.

“The krona may struggle to rally much even with the Riksbank continuing to indicate a rate hike is coming later this year,” said Kit Juckes, global head of FX strategy at Societe Generale.

“There are buyers of the currency ahead of this weekend’s election on the grounds that the vote won’t change the underlying support of a near 4 percent current account surplus … but the global backdrop is definitely pulling the other way,” he added.

In contrast to the Riksbank and other European central banks, the United States Federal Reserve has been steadily raising borrowing costs since late 2015, lending support to the dollar.

The greenback’s more than 6 percent rise against its rivals over the past six months has hit emerging market currencies hard.

An index of emerging market currencies is trading at more than one-year lows amid fears those currencies would be hit by the global trade conflict as it negatively affects their export-oriented economies.

Argentina’s peso, which has lost more than 50 percent of its value this year, saw a rare pause in losses overnight.

Helping to restore some investor confidence, Argentine Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne said on Tuesday he believed a deal to release early disbursements from a $50 billion standby loan agreement with the IMF could be put to its board by the end of the month.

The Argentine peso closed up more than 1 percent at 38.52 per dollar on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar was flat at $0.7196.

As with the previous day, when strong gross domestic product data did not provide much of a lift, Thursday’s economic indicators were unable to prop up the Aussie.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 24th, 2024

As of April 24th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,260 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

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As of April 24th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,260 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,250 and sell it at N1,240 on Tuesday, April 23rd, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined slightly when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,260
  • Selling Rate: N1,250

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Naira

Nigeria’s Naira Dips 5.3% Against Dollar, Raises Concerns Over Reserve Levels

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New Naira notes

Nigerian Naira depreciated by 5.3% against the US dollar as concerns over declining foreign reserves raise questions about the central bank’s ability to sustain liquidity.

The local currency has now declined for the third consecutive day since the Naira retreated from its three-month high on Friday shortly after Bloomberg pointed out that the Naira gains were inversely proportional to foreign reserves’ growth.

According to data from Lagos-based FMDQ, the naira’s value dropped precipitously, halting its recent impressive performance.

The unofficial market saw an even steeper decline of 6%, extending the currency’s retreat over the past three trading days to a staggering 17%.

Abubakar Muhammed, Chief Executive of Forward Marketing Bureau de Change Ltd., expressed concerns over the sharp decline, highlighting the insufficient supply of dollars in the market.

Muhammed noted that despite a 27% increase in traded volume at the foreign exchange market on Monday, the supply remained inadequate, forcing the naira to soften further while excess demand shifted to the unofficial market.

The dwindling foreign exchange reserves have been a cause for alarm, with Nigeria’s gross dollar reserves steadily declining for 17 consecutive days to reach $32 billion as of April 19, the lowest level since September 2017.

This worrisome trend has raised questions about the adequacy of dollar inflows to rebuild reserves, especially after the central bank settled overdue dollar obligations earlier in the year.

Samir Gadio, Head of Africa Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, pointed out that while the naira had been supported by onshore dollar selling, the rally was likely overextended.

Gadio warned that the emergence of a dislocation in the market, with domestic participants selling dollars at increasingly lower spot levels was unsustainable and necessitated a correction.

The central bank’s efforts to stabilize the naira have been evident with interventions aimed at improving liquidity.

However, the effectiveness of these measures remains uncertain, particularly as the central bank offered dollars to bureau de change operators at a rate 17% below the official rate tracked by FMDQ.

Analysts, including Ayodeji Dawodu from Banctrust Investment Bank, foresee further challenges ahead, predicting that the naira will likely stabilize around 1,500 against the dollar by year-end.

Dawodu emphasized the importance of stabilizing the currency to attract strong foreign capital inflows, underscoring the significance of sustainable monetary policies in Nigeria’s economic recovery.

As Nigeria grapples with the repercussions of the naira’s depreciation and declining foreign reserves, policymakers face mounting pressure to implement measures that ensure stability and foster confidence in the economy.

The road ahead remains uncertain, with the fate of the naira intricately tied to Nigeria’s ability to address underlying economic vulnerabilities and bolster investor trust.

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Naira

CBN Sells Fresh Dollar to BDCs at N1,021/$

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Bureau De Change Operator

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has once again initiated direct sales of dollars to licensed Bureau De Change (BDC) operators across the country.

The latest circular from the apex bank announces the sale of $10,000 to each BDC at a rate of N1,021 per dollar.

This is the second round of such sales this month and the fourth in the current year.

The directive mandates BDCs to sell the allocated dollars to eligible end-users at a spread not exceeding 1.5 percent above the purchase price, translating to a maximum selling price of N1,036.15 per dollar.

Addressing concerns about adherence to guidelines, the CBN said it is important for BDC operators to work within the prescribed framework.

The intervention targets retail-end transactions, including travel allowances, tuition fees, and medical payments, among others.

BDCs are instructed to commence payment of the Naira deposit to designated CBN accounts and submit necessary documentation for FX disbursement at respective CBN branches.

This latest initiative follows previous interventions by the CBN, including the sale of $10,000 to BDCs earlier this month at N1,101 per dollar. Such measures aim to shore up the Naira’s value and ensure stability in the forex market amid economic uncertainties.

The CBN’s sustained efforts to provide adequate forex liquidity underscore its commitment to safeguarding the country’s currency and facilitating seamless foreign exchange transactions for businesses and individuals alike.

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