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‘Why Deepwater Fields Produce 41% of Nigeria’s Total Oil Output’

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Lekki Deep Seaport
  • ‘Why Deepwater Fields Produce 41% of Nigeria’s Total Oil Output’

Oil production from deep-water acreages, carried out through the production sharing contract (PSC), accounts for 41 per cent of Nigeria’s total oil production, the Group Managing Director of Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Dr. Maikanti Baru, has said.

Speaking at a forum in Lagos, he commended the success of deepwater fields operation. He said the PSC production growth rate and contribution is 41 per cent of national production with phenomenal growth rate of over 2000 per cent within 10 years.

He added that lack of injection of required investment in Joint Venture (JV) operations and small independents is responsible for the development. If the JVs and others get the required investments, production will shoot up substantially.

He explained that that is the reason the Federal Government is backing alternative funding for oil production and why small indigenous exploration and production firms should adopt the same option.

The NNPC boss noted that a new class of players, including small local independents with non-diversified portfolio and lean balance sheet but with track record, could raise funds from international financiers because they contribute about 15 per cent of national production and require substantial capital/funds for growth.

He explained the importance of diversified players, including locals as against the trend where the international oil companies (IOCs) and the National Oil Company dominate oil exploration and production.

Baru said the trend was changing to an arrangement involving IOCs and locals. To him, global competition was increasing. He said though Nigeria has good geology and huge prospect, he noted that new production centres were emerging across the world, including the shale oil and emerging new producer nations. Therefore, Nigeria needs to unlock its barrels to stay relevant, he added.

On the need for alternative funding for oil and gas operations as against the JV cash calls, Baru said the Federal Government has less cash to fund its JV cash calls in view of the 50 per cent reduction in capital expenditure (capex) across industry, about $7billion yearly incremental funding requirement above current levels, which is imperative for change.

“Joint venture under-funding has led to significant decline in JV production over the last 10 years – two to 2.5 million barrels decline in JV production over the last 10 years. There is significant PSC volumes contribution due to lack of funding constraints. Therefore, to make the industry robust, the industry needs to aggressively pursue, unlock innovative funding strategies to arrest base decline and grow production.

“Also, public spending cuts and falling investment point to a weaker outlook for Nigerian oil industry. Volume from independents not enough to cover gaps, therefore, huge investment is required to fund production growth.

“Such investments are important because production from matured fields is declining and facilities are ageing. Investments would also boost achievement of lower field development cost, huge oil and gas reserves and low cost oil to meet national aspiration

“Therefore, to enable a thriving petroleum industry that maximises contribution to Nigeria, it is imperative for important key stakeholders to collaborate and resolve the current industry challenges, such as the JV funding and arrears and the ongoing PSC disputes.

“Chronic JV funding shortfalls have resulted in declining JV oil production. Arrears are rapidly increasing standing at $6.8billion as at December 2015. JVs are unable to sustain production levels production levels. To arrest JV oil production fall from one million barrels per day to 0.6 million barrels per day, 40 per cent decline and JV gas production decline from 3.6 billion cubic feet per day to 3.2 billion cubic feet per day about 11 per cent decline, the JV funding challenges need to be resolved.

“Resolving the JV funding challenges would potentially increase production by more than 1.2 million barrels equivalent per day by 2025, thereby adding value to both government and investors. The goal is to ensure continuous investment by the IOCs while maintaining a competitive share of government take compared to other petroleum provinces of similar nature such as Angola, Norway, Brazil and Gulf of Mexico, among others.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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