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‘Why Deepwater Fields Produce 41% of Nigeria’s Total Oil Output’

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Lekki Deep Seaport
  • ‘Why Deepwater Fields Produce 41% of Nigeria’s Total Oil Output’

Oil production from deep-water acreages, carried out through the production sharing contract (PSC), accounts for 41 per cent of Nigeria’s total oil production, the Group Managing Director of Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Dr. Maikanti Baru, has said.

Speaking at a forum in Lagos, he commended the success of deepwater fields operation. He said the PSC production growth rate and contribution is 41 per cent of national production with phenomenal growth rate of over 2000 per cent within 10 years.

He added that lack of injection of required investment in Joint Venture (JV) operations and small independents is responsible for the development. If the JVs and others get the required investments, production will shoot up substantially.

He explained that that is the reason the Federal Government is backing alternative funding for oil production and why small indigenous exploration and production firms should adopt the same option.

The NNPC boss noted that a new class of players, including small local independents with non-diversified portfolio and lean balance sheet but with track record, could raise funds from international financiers because they contribute about 15 per cent of national production and require substantial capital/funds for growth.

He explained the importance of diversified players, including locals as against the trend where the international oil companies (IOCs) and the National Oil Company dominate oil exploration and production.

Baru said the trend was changing to an arrangement involving IOCs and locals. To him, global competition was increasing. He said though Nigeria has good geology and huge prospect, he noted that new production centres were emerging across the world, including the shale oil and emerging new producer nations. Therefore, Nigeria needs to unlock its barrels to stay relevant, he added.

On the need for alternative funding for oil and gas operations as against the JV cash calls, Baru said the Federal Government has less cash to fund its JV cash calls in view of the 50 per cent reduction in capital expenditure (capex) across industry, about $7billion yearly incremental funding requirement above current levels, which is imperative for change.

“Joint venture under-funding has led to significant decline in JV production over the last 10 years – two to 2.5 million barrels decline in JV production over the last 10 years. There is significant PSC volumes contribution due to lack of funding constraints. Therefore, to make the industry robust, the industry needs to aggressively pursue, unlock innovative funding strategies to arrest base decline and grow production.

“Also, public spending cuts and falling investment point to a weaker outlook for Nigerian oil industry. Volume from independents not enough to cover gaps, therefore, huge investment is required to fund production growth.

“Such investments are important because production from matured fields is declining and facilities are ageing. Investments would also boost achievement of lower field development cost, huge oil and gas reserves and low cost oil to meet national aspiration

“Therefore, to enable a thriving petroleum industry that maximises contribution to Nigeria, it is imperative for important key stakeholders to collaborate and resolve the current industry challenges, such as the JV funding and arrears and the ongoing PSC disputes.

“Chronic JV funding shortfalls have resulted in declining JV oil production. Arrears are rapidly increasing standing at $6.8billion as at December 2015. JVs are unable to sustain production levels production levels. To arrest JV oil production fall from one million barrels per day to 0.6 million barrels per day, 40 per cent decline and JV gas production decline from 3.6 billion cubic feet per day to 3.2 billion cubic feet per day about 11 per cent decline, the JV funding challenges need to be resolved.

“Resolving the JV funding challenges would potentially increase production by more than 1.2 million barrels equivalent per day by 2025, thereby adding value to both government and investors. The goal is to ensure continuous investment by the IOCs while maintaining a competitive share of government take compared to other petroleum provinces of similar nature such as Angola, Norway, Brazil and Gulf of Mexico, among others.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

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Value added tax - Investors King

Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

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Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

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IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

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IMF - Investors King

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

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