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Oil Firms to Spend $158bn in Nigeria, Others

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  • Oil Firms to Spend $158bn in Nigeria, Others

International oil companies and other operators are expected to spend a total of $40.7bn on the development of planned projects and $117.1bn on key announced projects in Nigeria and other sub-Saharan African countries between 2018 and 2025.

GlobalData, a global data and analytics company, said in a new report that a total of 64 planned and announced crude and natural gas projects were expected to commence operations in the region.

According to the ‘H1 2018 Production and Capital Expenditure Outlook for Key Planned Upstream Projects in sub-Saharan Africa’ report, there are 20 planned projects with identified development plans and 44 early-stage announced projects undergoing conceptual studies and that are expected to get approved for development.

It said Nigeria topped the list with 10 planned oil and gas projects expected to start operations between 2018 and 2025, followed by Mozambique with two projects.

GlobalData said in terms of announced projects, Nigeria led with 13 projects, followed by Angola with five projects.

According to the report, the top three in terms of highest planned capital expenditure are Nigeria, Mozambique and Angola with around $17.3bn, $7.7bn, and $5.1bn, respectively.

It said, “Among companies, Eni SpA, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, and Total SA have the highest level of spending on planned projects with $7.2bn, and $5.6bn and $3.4bn, respectively. The highest level of spending on early-stage announced projects is by Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Exxon Mobil Corp, and Eni SpA with $15.5bn, $12.9bn, and $6.9bn spent on capex, respectively.”

An oil and gas analyst at GlobalData, Joseph Gatdula, said, “The total crude and condensate production from announced and planned projects in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to be around two million barrels per day in 2025 and the total natural gas production in 2025 is about 8.1 billion cubic feet per day.”

The Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, M.E. Consulting, Victor Eromosele, said gas development in Nigeria was heading in the right direction but could be much faster.

“Nigeria LNG’s Train 7 final investment decision ought to have been taken much earlier. Consider that Train 6, which was built around 2006-2007. Yet, Nigeria is probably the second-largest gas flaring country in the world, after Russia. We ought to have implemented our development plans a lot more speedily,” he was quoted by The Oil & Gas Year as saying in an interview.

He added, “We obviously should have developed the petrochemicals and fertiliser sectors to more fully monetise Nigeria’s abundant gas resources.”

Eromosele said good projects would always get financed, adding, “Finance is never a problem except for projects that are not bankable. Lenders tend to price in country risks for Nigerian projects. However, these risks tend to be exaggerated as the country risk premium is often unrealistic. It must be said that with a bit of creativity, you can successfully finance anything.

“A great example is First E&P’s $750m financing deal with Schlumberger. Financing oil and gas projects will need creativity as well as the right underlying structures.”

He noted that a lot of value had been lost by the Nigerian oil and gas industry because of the adoption of the current unwieldy joint venture structure.

“Much of that can be resolved if the authorities create more NLNG-like entities: incorporated joint ventures for new mega oil and gas projects. All parties will then sing from the same hymnbook and business will be done like business. In contrast, the existing JV structure is grossly inefficient. In the IJV structure, the government can put as much or as little investment as it desires. That is the way forward. Nigeria should then be in a better position to attract financing for its projects,” he added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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