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$2.5bn Currency Swap’ll Boost Reserves — Experts

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  • $2.5bn Currency Swap’ll Boost Reserves — Experts

As the Central Bank of Nigeria begins the implementation of the $2.5bm currency swap agreement, financial experts have said that the deal would rapidly boost Nigeria’s foreign reserves position within the next few weeks.

The analysts said this during separate telephone interviews with our correspondent on Friday.

Those that spoke are the Head, Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University, Keffi, Prof Uche Uwaleke; a former Managing Director of Unity Bank Plc, Mr Rislanudeen Mohammed; and a former Director-General, Abuja Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Dr Chijioke Ekechukwu.

The CBN on Friday commenced its intervention in the sale of foreign exchange in Chinese Yuan under the agreement.

The implementation signalled the consummation of the Bilateral Currency Swap Agreement signed with the People’s Bank of China on April 27, 2018.

Uwaleke said the transaction, valued at Remnibi 16 billion, or the equivalent of about $2.5bn, would provide adequate local currency liquidity to Nigerian and Chinese industrialists and others.

This, he noted, would help to reduce the difficulties encountered in the search for third currencies in the execution of business transactions between Nigerian and Chinese industrialists.

Among other benefits, Uwaleke, a professor of finance, said the agreement would improve the speed, convenience and volume of transactions between the two countries

He said, “With Chinese exports accounting for about 80 per cent of the total bilateral trade volume, it has been argued in some quarters that Nigeria does not stand to reap any commensurate benefit from the deal given the large trade imbalance in favour of China.

“Nonetheless, it is pertinent to observe that asymmetric trade in favour of China can be tackled within the framework of the agreement. It is safe to conclude that the swap arrangement is being established in the context of the rapidly growing bilateral trade between China and Nigeria. Therefore, the currency swap would boost trade between China and Nigeria.

“It is also expected to bolster Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves at a time weak export revenues, occasioned by the drastic fall in oil price, have put the country’s foreign reserves under intense pressure.”

When asked if the agreement could help in strengthening the naira, he said the pressure from Nigeria traders on demand for dollars would reduce, thus improving the value of the naira.

Uwaleke said, “The currency swap deal is also expected to strengthen the naira since Nigerian traders, who import mainly from China, can now conclude their transactions in the yuan instead of the dollar.

“And from China’s point of view, the currency swap will increase the demand for the yuan as it marches toward establishing its currency as a reserve currency in the future.”

Without doubt, a currency swap deal with China, as the experiences of other countries have proved, is a win-win situation, according to him.

“It is not for nothing that many developed and developing countries are queuing up to sign currency swap agreements with China – the second biggest economy in the world,” he added.

Mohammed said the implementation of the agreement would minimise foreign exchange denominated risks for Nigeria.

He stated, “In the context of minimising concentration risk of having our foreign exchange denominated in the United States dollar alone, this is a positive development. Secondly, in view of our huge imports from China, this agreement will help in reducing the time as well as transaction costs by eliminating third-party currency deals.

“Reduced transaction costs will make goods imported from China cheaper to both importers and ultimately Nigerian consumer.

“This may negatively impact on our diversification efforts by making Chinese imports cheaper. However, there is no impact on the economy as far as the balance sheet of the central bank is concerned.”

Also, Ekechukwu said the agreement would help to reduce the exchange rates between both countries.

He said, “It is an agreement to exchange currency between two foreign countries or parties. The agreement involves swapping principal and interest payments on a loan made in one currency for principal and interest payments of equal value in another currency.

“In the case of Nigerian and Chinese currency swap agreement, it is a win-win situation for the two countries as it will foster seamless business relationships between them.

“The exchange rate volatility will be reduced with this agreement, especially at the point of repayment. Country or sovereign risk will also be mitigated by this agreement.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

House of Reps Warns Tinubu Against Multiple Tax Burdens on Nigerians

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Company Income Tax (CIT) - Investors King

The House of Representatives has warned President Bola Tinubu against imposing multiple taxes, levies, and charges on Nigerians already struggling with subsidy removal and higher electricity bills.

During Thursday’s plenary session, the member representing Anambra East/Anambra West Federal Constituency, Mr. Peter Aniekwe, called for the adoption of a motion on urgent public importance.

Investors King reported that the motion was co-sponsored by the House Minority Leader, Rep. Kingsley Chinda, and four others.

In defense of the motion, Aniekwe noted that the government’s introduction of additional taxes, which he described as sometimes unnecessary, only adds an undue burden on Nigerians.

He emphasized the need for the government to strike a balance when imposing taxes that are essential for revenue generation.

Aniekwe said, “The imposition of multiple taxes, levies, and charges at various levels of government only serves to exacerbate the financial strain on citizens, particularly those in low-income brackets, many of whom are already struggling to meet basic needs such as food, healthcare, housing, and education.

“The introduction of additional and sometimes unnecessary taxes, including consumption taxes, service taxes, and levies on essential goods and services, places an undue burden on the masses, further widening the inequality gap.

“While taxation is necessary for government revenue, a balance must be struck between revenue generation and the economic well-being of citizens, particularly at a time when many families and businesses are still recovering from the economic impact of global and local challenges.

“The government’s primary responsibility is to alleviate the economic challenges faced by the masses, ensuring policies that promote economic development, social welfare, and prosperity for all citizens.”

After Aniekwe’s defense, the House of Representatives adopted the motion.

The House cautioned the Federal Government against multiple taxation and mandated the committees on Finance and FIRS to, within three weeks, conduct a thorough review of existing tax laws and policies to streamline tax collection processes and eliminate redundant or overlapping taxes.

The committee was also tasked with identifying areas of double taxation at all levels for necessary action.

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Boosting Nigeria’s Digital Future: STEM Education and AI Could Add $15 Billion to Economy by 2030

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If Nigeria can enhance its Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math (STEM) education and prepare its workforce for future opportunities in the digital space, the economy could expand by an additional $15 billion, a new report has revealed.

The report, issued by consultancy Public First on Thursday, also indicated that Nigeria reaped an estimated $1.8 billion in economic benefits from Google’s tools and services in 2023.

Presenting the report in Lagos State, the Nigeria Digital Opportunity study highlighted the financial value contributed to the nation’s economy through services such as Google Search, Ads, Google Play, YouTube, and Google Cloud.

These services have played a significant role in boosting the productivity of Nigerian businesses, content creators, and workers.

It is no secret that a large number of young Nigerians have become tech-savvy, with many venturing into the thriving world of technology and content creation on social media platforms.

According to Google, its digital skills programs and career certificates are key drivers of Nigeria’s digital transformation, with over 1.5 million young Nigerians acquiring new digital skills in 2023.

Google’s Director for West Africa, Olumide Balogun, expressed the company’s satisfaction with the positive impact that digital technology is having on Nigeria’s economy.

He emphasized that the findings highlight the importance of continued investment in digital skills and infrastructure to unlock the full potential of Nigeria’s growing digital economy.

Balogun noted that with rapid digital advancements, particularly in areas such as cloud computing, connectivity, and artificial intelligence (AI), Nigeria is well-positioned to solidify its standing as a leading digital economy in Africa.

He advised the country to strengthen its technology policies, stating that Nigeria’s economic future will largely depend on its ability to harness technology. Balogun added that Google remains committed to supporting Nigeria’s journey through strategic investments and partnerships.

The report underscored the significant role digital technology plays in Nigeria’s economy, with Balogun noting that for every $1 invested in digital technology, the country generates over $8 in economic value.

Meanwhile, Google has called on Nigerian policymakers to prioritize STEM education to maximize the economic benefits of technology.

The report also projected that AI could contribute $15 billion to Nigeria’s economy by 2030.

Balogun highlighted Google’s efforts in promoting responsible AI development, noting that in 2021, the company committed $1 billion to support Africa’s digital economy.

He added that this initiative included the 2022 landing of the Equiano fiber-optic cable in Nigeria, which is expected to boost internet penetration by seven percent by 2025, significantly enhancing internet access and reliability.

Google also recommended that Nigerian policymakers adopt cloud-first strategies and strengthen the country’s digital infrastructure to harness the full potential of AI, while emphasizing the need for improved STEM education to prepare the workforce for future opportunities.

Amy Price, Director and Head of Technology Policy at Public First, praised Nigeria as a digital leader in Africa. She emphasized that tech investment will serve as a catalyst for further growth and development across the nation.

Price further highlighted the critical role AI will play in shaping Nigeria’s future economy, with the report estimating that AI could add $15 billion to the country’s GDP by 2030. She stressed that the nation must focus on building strong digital infrastructure and investing in STEM education to prepare its workforce for the jobs of tomorrow.

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Lawmakers to Deliberate on Nigerian Tax Reform Bills, Change of FIRS to NIRS

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Value added tax - Investors King

The National Assembly is set to begin deliberations after receiving President Bola Tinubu’s communication seeking consideration and passage of the proposed Fiscal Policy and Tax Reform Bill to align with ongoing financial reforms of the Federal Government and enhance efficiency in tax compliance.

In addition to the Senate, the House of Representatives received four bills forwarded by the President. They include the Nigeria Tax Bill, the Nigeria Tax Administration Bill, the Nigeria Revenue Establishment Bill and the Joint Revenue Board Establishment Bill.

The Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Bill seeks to repeal the Federal Inland Revenue Service (Establishment) Act, No. 13, 2007, and establishes the Nigeria Revenue Service, to assess, collect, and account for revenue accruable to the government of the federation.

The Transmission of Fiscal Policy and Tax Reform Bills to the National Assembly is The Nigeria Tax Bill, which seeks to provide a consolidated fiscal framework for taxation in Nigeria.

The Nigeria Tax Administration Bill seeks to provide a clear and concise legal framework for the fair, consistent and efficient administration of all the tax laws to facilitate ease of tax compliance, reduce tax disputes and optimize revenue.

Meanwhile, the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Bill aims to establish the Joint Revenue Board, the Tax Appeal Tribunal and the Office of the Tax Ombudsman for the harmonization, coordination and settlement of disputes arising from revenue administration in Nigeria.

This comes after President Tinubu during his speech on Nigeria’s 64th Independence Anniversary on Tuesday (October 1) said some Economic Stabilisation Bills would be transmitted to the National Assembly.

“We are moving ahead with our fiscal policy reforms. To stimulate our productive capacity and create more jobs and prosperity, the Federal Executive Council approved the Economic Stabilisation Bills, which will now be transmitted to the National Assembly.

“These transformative bills will make our business environment more friendly, stimulate investment and reduce the tax burden on businesses and workers once they are passed into law,” he said.

Recently, the Chairman of the Presidential Taskforce on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, said the Withholding Tax Regulations 2024 has been gazetted.

“I do have some good news, the good news is that the withholding tax regulation has now been gazetted. So, the only reason it hasn’t been published today is because it is public holiday, so first thing tomorrow you will see a copy of the gazette and that provides a lot of relief not just for manufacturers but also every other business in terms of taking away some of the burdens of funding their working capital,” Mr Oyedele said.

Nigeria has been seeking to harmonise its tax base as it has a tax-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 10.8 percent; comparatively, the average tax-to-GDP ratio for Africa is about 18 percent.

 

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