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Further Naira Devaluation’ll Worsen Debt Profile – FSDH

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Naira - Investors King
  • Further Naira Devaluation’ll Worsen Debt Profile – FSDH

Analysts at FSDH Merchant Bank Limited have said that Nigeria cannot afford another level of devaluation of the currency, saying this will worsen the nation’s debt position.

The total public debt increased to N22.71tn in the first quarter of 2018 from N12.60tn in the fourth quarter of 2015, according to the Debt Management Office.

FSDH Research, in its latest monthly economic and financial markets outlook, noted that the growth in the debts stock was mainly driven by external debts and was accelerated by the devaluation of the naira.

It stated that further analysis showed that the domestic debt stood at N15.96tn, accounting for 70.28 per cent of the total public debt, while the external debt stood at N6.75tn, accounting for 29.72 per cent of the debt.

The analysts said, “The ratio of external debt to total debt at 29.72 per cent is lower than the target of 40 per cent. Meanwhile, the revenue of N813bn from the Federation Account Allocation Committee to the FGN in Q1 2018 was the highest in two years.

“FSDH Research analysis shows that the ratio of domestic interest payment to the FGN revenue from the FAAC stood at 79 per cent as at Q1 2018. The average in the last two years is 60 per cent. This current rate is very high and unsustainable. FSDH Research believes that measures to grow non-oil revenue will help to achieve and sustain a comfortable debt service to revenue ratio below 30 per cent.”

FSDH Research expects interest rates and yields in the global financial market to increase further as the normalisation of monetary policy in advanced countries continues.

It said, “This development has two major implications. Firstly, countries or corporates that plan to raise money from the international debt market may pay higher interest rates because of rising yields.

“Secondly, countries in emerging markets may adjust the yields on their fixed income securities to sustain the interests of investors, both local and foreign, in the instruments.”

The Federal Open Market Committee of the United States Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 1.75 per cent and two per cent at its June 2018 meeting.

The FSDH analysts added, “The increase in the Fed rate is in line with the expectation of FSDH Research. We expect two more rate hikes in 2018, possibly in September and December, as the fundamentals of the US economy improve.

“FSDH Research observes an inverse relationship between the movements in yields on FGN Bonds and US Treasury Notes over the last 12 months. The strategy of the Debt Management Office to issue more of long-term debt than short-term debt and to increase the proportion of the external debt in the total debt stock was the major reason for the inverse yield movement.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Finance

Did President Tinubu Ask CBN Gov Cardoso To Resign?

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Dr. Olayemi Michael Cardoso

The presidency has refuted reports alleging that President Bola Tinubu had asked Yemi Cardoso to resign from his position as the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The report claimed that the president ordered Cardoso to resign following his inability to stop the poor performance of the economy, most especially, the free fall of the Naira.

Also, the report alleged that Tinubu gave the order to Cardoso before departing Nigeria for China.

However, the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, has countered the report suggesting that Tinubu ordered Cardoso’s resignation.

The presidential spokesman spoke via his X handle, describing the report as a “bundle of lies.”

“It’s all lies. President Tinubu has not asked Yemi Cardoso to resign,” Onanuga said while dismissing the report.

Cardoso was nominated as CBN Governor by President Tinubu on September 15, 2023, and assumed office as CBN Governor on September 22, 2023.

He and his deputies were cleared by the National Assembly days before he took over from acting CBN Governor, Folashodun Shonubi.

Cardoso has been under heavy pressure to address the ongoing economic challenges and stabilise the Naira.

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Appointments

Keystone Bank Receives New Board Chairman, Directors From CBN

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It is the dawn of a new era for Keystone Bank, a top player in the Nigerian banking sector.

As part of a broader strategy to ensure sustained growth for Keystone Bank, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has approved a new chairman and board of directors for the financial institution.

The new board consists of a new board chairman, five non-executive directors, and two new directors, all carefully selected to take the bank to new heights.

The apex bank confirmed the latest development via a statement on Wednesday.

Steering the ship of leadership is Lady Ada Chukwudozie, as the new board chairman.

Lady Ada Chukwudozie, brings with her a truckload of experience.

A prominent figure in Nigeria’s corporate sector, Ada has nearly three decades of experience in business strategy, management, and administration.

Her expertise cuts across multiple industries, including De-Endy Industrial Company Limited, Dozzy Group, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, and Vogue Afrique Magazine.

Indeed, to whom much is given, much is expected.

With her extensive background and experience, Ada will now shoulder the responsibility of guiding the bank toward achieving its long-term goals.

The good news is that she is not alone. Joining her on the board are five non-executive directors, each bringing their unique skills to the table.

The five non-executive directors are Abdul-Rahman Esene, Mrs. Fola Akande, Akintola Ayodeji Olusoji, Obijiaku Samuel, and Senator Farouk Bello.

Together, they will play a critical role in shaping the future of the bank.

Furthermore, two new executive directors, Ladi Oluwole and Abubakar Usman Bello were also confirmed by the CBN.

Meanwhile, Keystone Bank’s Managing Director and CEO, Hassan Imam, bragged about his confidence in the new team.

To him, he was certain they would drive the bank’s growth and ensure reliable service for customers.

Imam noted that their wealth of experience would play a crucial role in the bank’s continued repositioning and growth.

His words: “We are pleased to welcome the new chairman, non-executive directors, and executive directors to the board of Keystone Bank.

We are confident that their extensive experience will be invaluable as we continue to reposition the bank to seize emerging economic opportunities while maintaining strong corporate governance and providing our customers with a secure and reliable banking experience,” Imam concluded.

Recall that in January, the CBN dissolved the board and management of Union Bank, Keystone Bank, and Polaris Bank.

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Finance

African Development Bank Extends $400,000 in Technical Assistance to Support Pension Sector

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African Development Bank - Investors King

The African Development Bank Group has approved $400,000 in grant funding for the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, to support  the expansion of pension coverage  in Liberia.

The grant is being sourced from the Capital Markets Development Trust Fund (CMDTF), a multi-donor trust fund, managed by the African Development Bank that supports development of  efficient and diversified capital markets in African countries. The CMDTF is funded by donors including the Ministry for Foreign Trade and Development Cooperation of the Netherlands and the Ministry of Finance of Luxembourg.

Liberia`s National Social Security and Welfare Corporation (NASSCORP), the only existing pension service provider in country, currently provides coverage to mainly formal sector public service employees. There is thus a gap in coverage for the private sector, and particularly informal businesses.

Under the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, the funding will support targeted reforms of Liberia’s pension sector including an assessment of the current pension system towards development of a national strategy, and capacity building for the pension sector ecosystem, including public and potential private pension sector operators.

The project is expected to enhance the enabling enviroment and support the emergence of domestic institutional investor base,  thereby broadening the pension coverage and enabling the pension system to mobilise additional savings for investment, including through domestic financial markets. It will be implemented by the Central Bank of Liberia, which oversees the country’s financial sector.

Hon. Henry F. Saamoi, Acting Executive Governor of the Central Bank of Liberia said, “The CBL appreciates the continued support of the African Development Bank toward the development of Liberia’s pension sector and looks forward to working with the Bank to implement this important reform. The Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project should enhance Liberia’s readiness for the development of its capital market by institutionalising the investor base, and improving the pension sector’s legal and regulatory environment,” Mr. Saamoi added.

Ahmed Attout, African Development Bank Director for Financial Sector Development said, “We are excited to partner with the Central Bank of Liberia on this operation that is expected to facilitate a reformed pension system capable of mobilising domestic savings, that can be chanelled through financial markets, thereby contributing to deepen the domestic capital markets in Liberia. This aligns with the Bank’s goal of facilitating the emergence of well-functioning capital markets that can efficiently mobilise and allocate savings to fund the credit needs of economic agents and the continent’s development while reducing intermediation costs.”

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