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Investors Lose N2tn as Stock Market Wobbles

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Investors Lose N2tn as Stock Market Wobbles

The total value of equities listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange has plunged by N2.053tn since it peaked at N16.154tn in January.

The market capitalisation rose from N13.617tn at the start of the year to a record high of N16.154tn on January 19 on the back of greater impetus from the recovery in global oil prices, increased domestic reserves, greater foreign exchange market stability and declining inflation.

KPMG Nigeria, in its Top 10 Business Risks in 2018/19 report, noted that the introduction of the importers and exporters window in the forex market last year by the Central Bank of Nigeria encouraged the return of portfolio investors to the Nigerian market.

But the stock market has been wobbling in recent months, with the market capitalisation losing N1.146tn last month as it fell to N13.802tn on May 31 from N14.948tn on April 30. It closed at N14.101tn on Friday, June 14.

Against the backdrop of the recent downturn in the stock market, the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers and the Association of Stockbroking Houses of Nigeria have assured investors of the safety of their investments.

The stockbrokers attributed the downturn to the effect of general lull in the economy and other exogenous factors prompting both domestic and foreign investors to convert their shares to cash.

The President, CIS, Mr. Adedapo Adekoje, who noted that market fundamentals remained strong, attributed the recent bearish trend to panic sales by foreign portfolio investors who were taking advantage of emerging higher returns on mutual funds in the United States and Europe, leading to massive sale of their shares on the Nigerian bourse.

He said, “Current information about mutual funds in America and Europe that are giving five per cent return on investment is attractive to foreign portfolio investors and they are offloading shares to take advantage of the investment opportunity. They are more comfortable with the new returns on mutual funds.

“The good news is that we are having good valuations. Investors should buy on long-term basis and not short term.”

The Chairman, ASHON, Chief Patrick Ezeagu, stated that nothing was wrong with the NSE in terms of governance structure, technology and compliance with the rules and regulations by stockbrokers.

According to him, the quoted companies are not doing badly, given the general lull in the economy and the usual concerns about elections, which could elicit massive sale of shares, especially by foreign investors.

He said, “The Federal Government should intensify efforts in addressing insecurity problems in Nigeria and keep on ensuring a safe investment environment. Our market is full of opportunities but we need to sustain the momentum of assuring both indigenous and foreign investors that the market is safe.

“The Exchange is a barometer that gauges the mood of the economy. Therefore, we should address investors’ fears in order to enable them to take advantage of good returns associated with our market. The current bearish trend is temporary as the market would bounce back soon.”

Financial analysts at FSDH Research, an arm of FSDH Merchant Bank Limited, have said the equity market is expected to appreciate from the current levels as investors’ position for half-year 2018 results.

In their latest monthly economic and financial market report, the FSDH analysts noted that the equity market depreciated for the fourth consecutive month in May.

The NSE All-Share Index depreciated by 7.67 per cent (a loss of 7.75 per cent in dollar) to close at 38,104.54 basis points, while the market capitalisation recorded a month-on-month loss of 7.67 per cent (a loss of 7.75 per cent in dollar) to close at N13.80tn.

According to FSDH Research, some investors attribute the downward trend in the equity market to uncertainty ahead of the general election in Nigeria next year and the fact that some foreign investors are repatriating their maturing fixed income investments due to low yields.

The Head of Research and Strategy, FSDH Merchant Bank, Mr. Ayodele Akinwunmi, said, “FSDH Research believes the equity market is approaching an oversold position. Thus, there may be a reversal of the current downward trend very soon as the economic environment continues to improve.

“The following factors should drive the performance of the equity market: stability in the foreign exchange market due to positive developments in the crude oil market; bargain-hunting investors taking advantage of current prices; strategic positioning ahead of first half 2018 results, and repositioning of portfolios as a result of the drop in yields on Nigerian Treasury Bills.”

According to the analysts, investors should take strategic positions in the stocks that pay interim dividends and have prospect for capital appreciation from current levels.

“Some stocks in the consumer goods, building materials, petroleum marketing and banking sectors are attractive at their current prices,” they added.

The Chief Executive Officer, NSE, Mr. Oscar Onyema, said at the 5th NSE/LSEG Dual Listings Conference on June 1 in Lagos, noted that the NSE ASI on May 31 witnessed a reversal of all the gains made this year.

“Since the market is a leading indicator, we cannot take our eyes off the ball and must continue to press for positive catalysts that will propel the economy to new heights,” he said.

He stated that over the last few years, the nation’s economic landscape had been particularly challenging for the capital market.

He said the combined effects of the 2015 elections, slump in commodity prices, global economic slowdown, recession and forex market illiquidity have resulted in a dearth of initial public offers in the Nigerian capital market.

Onyema said, “As the government grapples with the task of articulating a clear economic blueprint for the short to medium term within which credible fiscal and monetary policies can emerge, the reality of the need to leverage and embrace the globalisation of economies and financial markets becomes clearer.

“Capital markets are critical to sustainability of growth and development in an economy. It is my strong belief that one of the things that Nigeria (and Africa) needs to sustain its growth is a solid and vibrant capital market ecosystem that will attract investment and unlock the potential that exists in the economy.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Dangote Refinery Clarifies Transaction Deal With NNPC, Says Payment Was Made in Dollars

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Dangote Refinery

Dangote Refinery has cleared the air on the deal it had with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), countering the alleged N898 per litter deal. The company disclosed that it sold Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) in dollars.

Anthony Chiejina, Group Chief Branding and Communications Office of Dangote clarified the acclaimed N898 per liter deal with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).

Dangote Refinery said, “Our attention has been drawn to a statement attributed to NNPCL spokesperson, Mr. Olufemi Soneye, that we sell our PMS at N898 per liter to the NNPCL.

“This statement is both misleading and mischievous, deliberately aimed at undermining the milestone achievement recorded today, September 15, 2024, towards addressing energy insufficiency and insecurity, which has bedeviled the economy in the past 50 years.

“We urge Nigerians to disregard this malicious statement and await a formal announcement on the pricing, by the Technical Sub-Committee on Naira-based crude sales to local refineries, appointed by His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu GCFR, which will commence on October 1, 2024, bearing in mind that our current stock of crude was procured in dollars.

“It should also be noted that we sold the products to NNPCL in dollars with a lot of savings against what they are currently importing. With this action, there will be petrol in every local government area of the country regardless of their remote nature.

“We assure Nigerians of availability of quality petroleum product and putting an end to the endemic fuel scarcity in the country.”

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Google, Facebook, Others Paid N2.55tn Tax in First Half of 2024 – Report

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Social media platforms

Google, Netflix, Facebook and other foreign companies operating in Nigeria paid N2.55tn in taxes to the Federal Government in the first six months of 2024, representing an increase of 158.76 percent from N985.27bn collected in the preceding period of 2023.

The figure includes Company Income Tax (CIT) and Value Added Tax (VAT), collated from data obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics.

According to the Federal Inland Revenue Service, CIT is a 30 percent tax imposed on companies’ profit, and VAT is a 7.5 percent consumption tax paid when goods are purchased, and services are rendered and borne by the final consumer.

In 2020, the Federal Government had indicated plans to begin tax collection from foreign digital service providers offering services and earning revenue in naira due to its high acceptance by the Nigerian populace.

Some of these service providers, which are video streaming sites, social media platforms, and companies that offer downloads of digital content, are expected to pay digital tax to the Federal Inland Revenue Service.

Netflix, Facebook, X (formerly Twitter), among others, which have been operating without a physical office in Nigeria, offer digital video and advertising services to Nigerians.

Others, like Alibaba and Amazon, generate revenue from Nigeria by processing and transmitting data collected about users in Nigeria, providing goods or services directly or through a digital platform, or offering intermediate services that link suppliers and customers in Nigeria.

Also, in January 2022, the Federal Government disclosed that it would charge offshore companies providing digital services to local customers in Nigeria a six percent tax on turnover as provided in the 2021 Finance Act.

A breakdown of the reports showed that the companies paid N1.72tn as CIT while N831.47bn was collected as VAT between January and June 2024. Nigeria’s earnings from CIT increased by 87.2 percent from N598.13bn in Q1 to N1.12tn in Q2.

Checks further revealed that the amount was the highest sum paid by the companies, contributing more than 45.3 percent to the N2.4tn collected in the second quarter.

A breakdown of VAT showed that Nigeria earned N435.73bn in Q1 and N395.74 in Q2, marking a reduction of N39.99bn.

On Tuesday, the Minister for Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, revealed that the Federal Government’s revenue for the first quarter of 2024 increased to N9.1tn, more than doubling the amount recorded in 2023 without increasing taxes.

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NNPC Eyes Permanent Hub at Dangote Refinery Amid Crude Oil Deal Talks

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NNPC - Investors King

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) has expressed interest in securing a permanent presence at the Dangote Refinery in Lagos, as part of a proposed crude oil supply deal, Devakumar Edwin, vice president of Dangote Industries Limited has said.

“NNPC has informed us that they intend to station a team of 6 to 10 people permanently at our refinery. They’ve asked us to provide office space for them since they will be supplying the crude, overseeing the production, and buying back the products in Naira,” Edwin said in a Twitter Spaces session organised by Nairametrics.

Edwin explained that talks with the NNPC are focused on a new crude supply model, in which the refinery would purchase crude from the government in Naira and sell PMS in the same currency, instead of using dollars.

He said that negotiations are still in progress, with key issues such as crude pricing and the Naira exchange rate yet to be settled.

“We are still in talks with the government about receiving crude in Naira. The discussions are ongoing, and nothing has been finalized yet. Some unresolved issues include the pricing of crude, the pricing mechanism, and determining the appropriate exchange rate for the Naira,” he said.

This change represents a major shift from the refinery’s initial business model as a free zone entity, which was intended to conduct transactions in dollars.

Edwin said that Aliko Dangote agreed to the federal government’s suggestion to sell NNPC products to the government in Naira, even though this could result in financial losses.

According to Edwin, Dangote said the critical need for foreign exchange and the deteriorating value of the Naira as key factors in his decision to proceed with the deal.

“Dangote intervened and said, ‘We are going to accept this because the country desperately needs foreign exchange, and the value of the Naira is deteriorating every day. I understand that I am going to take a loss – because, by the time we sell the product and convert it to dollars, the exchange rate may have worsened.’”

Edwin stated that in his commitment to the national cause, Dangote added, “I am willing to take this loss in the interest of the country. I don’t mind, the country is in bad shape. Someone has to take certain risks, and I am ready to face this loss, no matter how significant it may be.”

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