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Lagos Oilfield Reserves Rise, Investors Eye Gas Project

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Crude oil
  • Lagos Oilfield Reserves Rise, Investors Eye Gas Project

Investors in Aje oilfield, offshore Lagos, have announced a significant increase in its reserves as well as a confirmation of the viability of the Aje gas development.

Yinka Folawiyo Petroleum Company Limited, a wholly-owned indigenous firm, is the operator of the Oil Mining Lease 113, where the field is located. Other partners are Pan Petroleum Aje Limited (a subsidiary of Panoro Energy), New Age Exploration Nigeria Limited, EER (Colobus) Nigeria Limited, and PR Oil & Gas Nigeria Limited (the holder of MX Oil’s investment in the field).

London-based MX Oil said in a new update that there had been significant developments in the Aje project over the past two years that had had a material impact on the project’s reserves and resource position.

It said since the last Competent Persons Report in July 2014, three new Cenomanian penetrations had been drilled (Aje-5, Aje-5ST1 and Aje-5ST2), with production coming on-stream from the Cenomanian reservoir in May 2016 and from the Turonian oil rim in May 2017.

“A field development plan for the Turonian Aje gas project was submitted to the Nigerian government for consideration in 2017. The FDP comprises four to five production wells in the Turonian, tied back to existing and new infrastructure,” the company said.

According to the updated CPR provided by the AGR TRACS International Limited, an independent reserves auditor, the gross proved reserves at Aje increased to 78.2 million barrels of oil equivalent from 11.7 million boe in 2014; proved and probable reserves rose to 127.1 million boe from 23.4 million boe in 2014, and proved, probable and possible reserves stood at 215 million boe.

MX Oil said, “The level of reserves has increased significantly since the 2014 CPR. These estimates of reserves have been derived based on an oil price assumption of $60/bbl flat real terms and a gas price assumption of $4/Mscf flat real terms.

“The AGR TRACS has also certified gross 1C Unrisked Contingent Resources of four million boe, 2C UCR of nine million boe and 3C UCR of 17.5 million boe.”

The company said the recent performance of the Aje-5ST2 well completed on the Turonian oil rim had encouraged the Aje partnership to consider a more extensive development of the oil rim.

It said since the Aje Gas FDP was completed and submitted ahead of the well coming on line, the AGR TRACS had only been able to recognise contingent resources associated with four horizontal wells proposed as a Phase 2 development in that plan.

The partner said, “The encouraging production performance for the Aje-5ST2 well so far provides a strong incentive for further studies to better understand how the oil rim can be optimally developed.

“These results confirm the commercial quantity of the Aje gas development, highlight the need for a revision to the development plan once the oil rim studies are completed and will underpin a final investment decision on the development of the Turonian reserves in the future.”

The media reported in March that the JV partners had resolved the legal dispute in relation to drilling of new development wells out of court.

Panoro Energy, an independent exploration and production company based in London, announced in December 2016, seven months after the field started producing, that it was in disagreement with its JV partners over cash call and intended to initiate arbitration and legal proceedings to protect its interests.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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