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Experts Advise FG to Focus on Economic Growth Drivers

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  • Experts Advise FG to Focus on Economic Growth Drivers

Financial and economic experts have advised the Federal Government to focus more on key economic growth drivers in the current fiscal year in order to fast track economic recovery.

They spoke on Tuesday in Lagos at the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria Centre for Financial Studies’ annual programme tagged, ‘’Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in Nigeria in 2018.’’

Held in collaboration with a leading consulting firm, B. Adedipe Associates Limited, the forum examined economic performance last year and the outlook for the current year.

The Chief Executive Officer, Nigeria Economic Summit Group, Mr. Laoye Jaiyeola, said there was a need for the government to pay attention to economic indicators capable of moving the economy beyond the current fragile recovery.

Jaiyeola said, “Certain things are key drivers of growth whether in the developed or developing countries. The first is knowledge. The more advanced knowledge you see, the more growth you see. Technology is being used to provide various services like social services, and it has changed education in many nations. Nations that have done well have learnt to leverage technology to change quite a number of things. These are factors that drive sustainable inclusive growth. There must be equity, fairness and justice in order to drive inclusive growth.

“If the government pays attention to these drivers of sustainable inclusive growth in decision making, growth is bound to take place. But if less attention is paid to these factors, we will take one step forward and two steps backward. Whatever we do, we need to address these critically.”

Citing Ethiopia as example of a fast growing economy in Africa, the NESG CEO stressed a need for Nigeria to learn from what the East African country had done in the education and manufacturing sectors.

The President and Chairman of Council, CIBN, Prof. Segun Ajibola, described last year as a progressive one for the economy, having rebounded from its first recession in 25 years.

Ajibola said, “A triumph for the Small and Medium-scale Enterprises was recorded with the Movable Asset Bill 2017 and the Credit Reporting Bill 2017 passed into law by the National Assembly in May of 2017.”

The CIBN president noted that with the establishment of the Investors and Exporters FX window by the Central Bank of Nigeria last year, the banking and finance sector recorded major development.

He added, “Efforts need to be further intensified to ensure that the step being taken to improve electricity generation and distribution across the country yield the desired results. It would not be misplaced to categorically state that the state of emergency should be declared across the country on security between farmers and the Fulani herdsmen, in order not to scare away foreign investors from the prominent economic work of the nation.”

On the economic outlook for this year, the Chief Consultant, B. Adedipe Associates, Dr. Biodun Adedipe, said the developments in the stock market were good for the economy but stressed the need for caution.

He said, “I went back to the stock market data for 2000, and looked at how index and market had behaved. I looked at where we were yesterday (Monday) 43,000 index. I looked at the peak Nigeria ever attained-65,000 in February 2008. At that, we had strong external reserves but by April 2008, foreign investors began to troop out. As they left the stock market, they were paid from the external reserves.

“So, the outflows between April and November 2008 exceeded what we were earning from the sale of crude oil and other paltry exports by $4bn monthly. What we lost to the rest of the world was $28bn in a matter of a few months which of course led the Central Bank of Nigeria to devalue the naira.”

A former Deputy Governor of the CBN, Mr. Tunde Lemo, who was the chairman of the panel, hinted that the economic fundamentals of the country appeared good, or at least better than what we had in the past.

He, however, stressed the need for the government to focus on infrastructure, technology, leadership and multiple taxation.

Lemo said political activities this year would have implication for inflation.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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