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Oil Industry: PIB Tops Stakeholders’ Concerns

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Oil
  • Oil Industry: PIB Tops Stakeholders’ Concerns

The nation’s oil and gas industry could get back on its feet this year, according to industry experts, if the critical issues such as the passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill and the concerns in the Niger Delta are properly addressed, ’FEMI Asu reports.

With another year gone without the passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill, industry experts have expressed concern that the bill may suffer serious setback as electioneering kicks off ahead of the 2019 elections.

A key obstacle to the growth of the Nigerian oil and gas industry has been widely described as the regulatory uncertainty caused by the delay in the passage of the PIB.

The bill, which seeks to change the organisational structure and fiscal terms governing the industry, suffered setbacks in the 6th and 7th National Assembly.

Currently before the 8th National Assembly, it was split into four parts — Petroleum Industry Governance Bill, Petroleum Industry Administration Bill, Petroleum Industry Fiscal Bill and Petroleum Host Community Bill — to fast-track its passage into law.

The Senate on May 25, 2017 passed the PIGB, with its President, Dr. Bukola Saraki, saying in September that the upper chamber was working to ensure the passage of the other bills in the fourth quarter of last year.

The Chairman, National PIB Committee, Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria and Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers, Mr. Chika Onuegbu, stated that the Senate promised to pass the other aspects of the PIB in the first quarter of 2018.

He said, “It is our hope that they will deliver on that promise. Let them see what they can do to make sure that the public hearing on the remaining three bills are done to ensure the passage of the bills in Q1 2018, so that we will know that by Q2, the pressure will be on the President to assent to those bills.

“For Nigerians and those in the industry, we want to see the passage of a PIB that actually addresses the concerns of stakeholders and move the industry forward. We hope that the President and his team should fast-track the reform in the industry by ensuring that the PIB actually becomes law latest by the second quarter because thereafter, politics will take over every other thing that we will do as a country.”

Onuegbu said the outlook for the industry looked bright considering the recent rally in global oil prices.

“So, the next thing is about production, and that is where the issues around the Niger Delta come in; that is where the policies of the Federal Government come in, so that Nigeria will continue to benefit from the gradual recovery in oil prices,” he added.

An energy expert and associate professor, University of Lagos, Dr. Ayoade Adedayo, said, “The outlook does not look all that bright. Although last year, the minister (Kachikwu) was able to get through his policy documents — the national petroleum policy and national gas policy – the problem is that until we pass the PIB, we are still in the same rot, and while we remain in the rot, the industry will not recover; the transparency, governance and investment concerns will continue to haunt us.”

He decried the lack of investment in exploratory activities in the industry in recent years, saying, “If the rig count in a country is low, it shows the country is not healthy, and I think that the health of the sector should be a big concern to all the policymakers.”

“My concern is that because we are moving already into the territory of national elections, there is no way the National Assembly people will be focused enough to drive this legislation through,” Adedayo said.

The Vice President/Head of Energy Research, Ecobank, Mr. Dolapo Oni, said the industry had gone through a lot in recent times, adding, “The key things we are looking forward to in 2018 are regulatory changes. We expect all the various bills that are at different stages to gain some traction.

“I think people are interested in marginal fields bid round but financing the acquisitions is going to be a challenge.”

The Chief Executive Officer, Gacmork Nigeria Limited and ex-Chevron executive, Mr. Alex Neyin, who stressed the need to create an enabling environment for investors, expressed concern about the management of the industry.

He said, “My major concern is that they don’t have the right people to manage the industry. As long as the government is focusing more on what it can get, they are going to be in trouble. It is very unfortunate that we find ourselves in this mess.

“When you don’t have a defined policy, investment in the industry will be difficult. People want to see clear, definite policies so that when they invest money, they know when they get return on their investment.”

According to an energy expert and Partner at Bloomfield Law Practice, Mr. Ayodele Oni, there is too much vested interest in the PIB.

He said oil production would likely remain high for most of the year with the government trying to impress ahead of the 2019 elections.

“Insurgency may commence in late 2018 in the Niger Delta in a bid to discredit the government ahead of the elections,” he added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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