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Market Awaits N32bn Inflow from Maturing Treasury Bills

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Treasury bills
  • Market Awaits N32bn Inflow from Maturing Treasury Bills

Maturing treasury bills valued at a total of N32.23 billion is expected to hit the market this week.

Owing to this, the interbank lending rate has been projected to maintain stability this week in anticipation of the inflows.

Analysts at Cowry Assets Management Limited, which stated this in their weekly review, pointed out that in the week under review, Central Bank of Nigeria auctioned treasury bills worth N117.18 billion, viz: 91-day bills worth N7.89 billion, 182-day bills worth N6.21 billion and 364-day bills worth N117.18 billion.

In line with expectation, the respective stop rates of the bills fell to 12.95 per cent (from 13.00%), 15 per cent (from 15.25%) and 15.57 per cent (from 15.60%) Also, treasury bills worth N72.34 billion were sold via Open Market Operations.

But the outflows were more than offset by inflows worth N249.12 billion in matured treasury bills. However, NIBOR for overnight funds, 1 month, 3 months and 6 months tenor buckets rose week-on-week to 31.29 per cent (from 26.05%), 19.17 per cent (from 17.99%), 20.18 per cent (from 19.84%) and 22.46 per cent (from 22.18%) respectively.

Elsewhere, NITTY moved in mixed directions: yields on the 1-month and 3-month maturities increased to 16.75 per cent (from 14.69) and 15.98 per cent(from 15.72%) respectively.

However, yields on the 6 months and 12 months maturities fell to 18.98 per cent (from 19.03) and 17.79% (from 17.86%) respectively.

Forex Market

In the just concluded week, the naira/dollarexchange rate steadied week-on-week at the at both the bureau de change and parallel market segments at N361 to a dollar and N364 to a dollar respectively.

The local currency however depreciated week-to-date by 0.30 per cent to N331 to a dollar at the interbank market (NIFEX) on the back of increased foreign exchange demand.

Similarly, the naira lost at the I&E foreign exchangewindow by 11 kobo to close at N360.65 to a dollar as at Thursday. These were despite injections by the CBN worth $210 million into the foreign exchange market of which $100 million was allocated to wholesale (SMIS), $55 million was allocated to small and medium scale enterprises and $55 million was sold for invisibles. Meanwhile, a report by Cowry Assets Management Limited showed that dated forward contracts at the interbank OTC segment appreciated amid sustained increase in the foreign exchange reserves – available data showed external reserves increased month-to-date by 2.08 per cent to $34.53 billion as at Friday, November 24, 2017.

Also, the 1-month, 2-month, 3-month and 6-month contracts appreciated week-on-week by 0.12 per cent, 0.21 per cent, 0.33 per cent and 0.50 per centto close at N364.75/$, N369.82/$, N375.26/$and N394.41/$ respectively.

“This week, we retain our stable outlook for the exchange rate amid sustained stability in global crude oil prices which should result in further build-up in foreign reserves as well as CBN’s continued intervention in the various segments of the interbank foreign exchange market,” analysts at Cowry Assets added.

Bond Market

In the just concluded week, local OTC bond prices declined (and yields increased) across most maturities followed renewed profit taking activity.

Specifically, the 20-year, 10.00% FGN July 2030 bond, the 10-year, 16.39% FGN JAN 2022 paper, the 7-year, 16.00% FGN JUN 2019 paper and the 5-year, 14.50% FGN JUL 2021 paper depreciated by 20kobo, 6 kobo, 76 kobo and 78 kobo respectively,while their corresponding yields increased to 14.66per cent (from 14.62%), 14.52 per cent (from 14.51%), 15.05 per cent (from 14.51%) and 15.05per cent (from 14.76%). Elsewhere, FGN Eurobonds prices tanked across the maturities amid resumed profit taking activity on the London Stock Exchange.

Specifically, the 10-year bonds, 6.75% JAN 28, 2021 and 6.38% JUL 12, 2023 shed N0.03 and N0.21 respectively (corresponding yields increased to 4.57% and 5.26% from 4.57% and 5.22% respectively); however, the 5-year, 5.13% JUL 12, 2018 bond gained N0.04 (yield fell to 3.35 from 3.49%).

“This week, we anticipate a mix of bargain hunting and profit taking activity at the domestic OTC bond market amid expectation of limited boost liquidity,” it added.

Emefiele at UNN

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr. Godwin Emefiele last week affirmed that with the Nigerian economy exiting the recession, following a number of policy responses, the worst days were clearly behind the country. Emefiele noted that based on analyses and understanding of the developments which confronted the country, the central bank took a number of measures, many of which were at the time vigorously criticised, but which helped the economy out of the recession.

Tracing the economic recession to the significant and persistent drop in commodity prices that affected the economy adversely, Emefiele said the resultant effect was depressed GDP growth, rising inflation, depreciation of the exchange rate, as well as depletion of the country’s foreign exchange (FX) reserves, and the decline in average FX inflows.

Emefiele, who delivered the 47th convocation lecture of the University of Nigeria, Nsukka (UNN), pointed out that the vulnerabilities of Nigeria to the global shocks were amplified because of the nation’s over-reliance on the oil sector for FX revenue and for government finances.

“Even at the height of high oil prices, rather than save, we drained our buffers through an excessive dependence on imports, most of which could be produced locally.

“Based on our analyses and understanding of these developments, the Bank took a number of measures many of which were at the time vigorously criticised,” he said.

The CBN governor noted that in the realm of monetary policies, the CBN embarked on a cycle of policy tightening to rein in inflation, using the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) and Open Market Operations (OMO).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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