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Nigeria Needs N15.3tn for Aviation Infrastructure – Experts

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  • Nigeria Needs N15.3tn for Aviation Infrastructure – Experts

Aviation experts have said that the country needs $50bn (N15.3bn) to close infrastructure gap in the industry and position the industry as Sub-Saharan Africa hub in the next 30 years.

The experts, who spoke on Tuesday at the Nigeria Travels Mart colloquium on ‘Vision 2050: How to fast track Nigeria’s aviation’, said that to close the current infrastructure gap and reach the desired optimal investment, the country must aggressively increase core infrastructure stock from its estimated 35 to 40 per cent contribution of the Gross Domestic Product to 70 per cent by 2043.

The Chief Executive Officer of RTC Advisory Services Limited, Mr. Opeyemi Agbaje, said spending on infrastructure had been poor and that the target investment requirement was approximately $2.9tn over next 30 years.

According to him, sectoral targets and investment needs for a 30-year period will be $800bn for the transportation sector comprising $350 for road infrastructure; $75bn for rail; $50bn for aviation; $50bn for maritime; and $275bn for urban transportation.

These, he said, should be funded by Foreign Direct Investment with the support of the Federal Government through the provision of a stable macroeconomic environment; forward-looking and proactive policy; a clear and compelling vision for the industry shared by all stakeholders, including government and the private sector.

“The whole of infrastructure, not just for aviation or transportation, must come from the FDI, not borrowing as the Federal Government prefers,” he said.

A former Director-General of the Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority, Dr. Harold Demuren, said that despite the current challenges, the future of aviation in the country was bright and would be driven by a projected increase in population from over 180 million currently to about 399 million by 2050.

He however stated that the government should improve on the ease of doing business in the industry and the provision of infrastructure.

“We need to look critically at infrastructure, especially the land and air side. State of the art terminals will not ensure safety. We need to continue to ensure safety regulations without political intervention,” he said.

He added that the government should consider establishing a national carrier to be able to harness the industry’s potential.

“If we had developed a national carrier, we will not be where we are today. The government must learn to support the industry. All over the world, the government is the biggest supporter of airlines,” he said.

The Chief Executive Officer of Kitari Consult Limited, an aviation consulting firm, Mr. Ali Magashi, said many airports in the country were in a state of disrepair, while basic infrastructure such as adequate runway capacities and terminal facilities were often lacking at major airports.

Magashi, who is also the Chairman of Aso Savings and Loans Plc, said that reforming the Nigerian aviation sector would depend on the implementation of various critical factors by all relevant stakeholders, particularly the government.

According to him, a national carrier will serve as a panacea for fast tracking the growth of aviation in the country.

He said a national carrier airline would serve as the country’s brand to the world and bring the world into the country as well as take the country to the world.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

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Value added tax - Investors King

Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

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Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

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IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

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IMF - Investors King

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

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