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After Recession, Focus on Non-oil Sector, Utomi, Others Advise FG

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Utomi
  • After Recession, Focus on Non-oil Sector, Utomi, Others Advise FG

A professor of Political Economics, Pat Utomi, has advised the Federal Government to come up with specific and deliberate policies that will enhance the growth of the non-oil sector in order to enable the country to sustain its exit from recession.

In its second quarter Gross Domestic Product report released on Tuesday, the National Bureau of Statistics data showed that the Nigerian economy recorded the first positive growth in the last six quarters in the second quarter of this year, and consequently exited recession.

Utomi, who noted that the 0.55 per cent GDP growth rate recorded in the second quarter was low and tepid relative to population growth, stressed that policymakers must seek to grow the economy through the non-oil sector.

“There is no full consciousness that we are approaching the end of the oil economy. For some, all they have known in the last 40 years is the oil economy. This is the time to look away from oil and grow our economy,” he added.

Outlining ways to enhance economic growth, the former presidential aspirant said there must be deliberate efforts to cut down the size of government, while policymakers must also make significant efforts to stimulate the private sector to pay taxes that would be used to boost growth.

Utomi emphasised the need to promote policies that would support the private sector to grow, adding that policymakers often make certain policies that were structured to prevent the private sector from making profit.

He added, “I have spoken with a lot of investors in the oil and gas sector. They said the problems policymakers have created are 10 times more than the decline in the price and output of oil.

“This means what we all need education, rather than see things that they are attacking us.”

The founder of the Centre for Values in Leadership said there was a need for the government to unleash entrepreneurship in sectors of the economy that could create jobs and enhance economic growth.

He stated that the agriculture, manufacturing and services sectors were significant and that the government needed to support players in these sectors and give them certain deliverables with specific timelines.

Utomi said, “I don’t want to talk about what I am doing in this sector, but I need to say that we need to adopt the principle of latent comparative advantage in these sectors. Take agriculture for example, we need to look at how we can combine agriculture with technology and manufacturing. For example, we can pick an agriculture produce where we have comparative advantage as a country, and see how we can produce it to meet local demand and then begin to export.

“The same thing we do in agriculture, we can do in manufacturing and services sector. Look at our airports in the services sector, we can make Nigeria a tourist destination. For example, what does The Gambia has that Nigeria does not in order to attract tourists?”

A professor of Economics at the University of Uyo, Leo Ukpong, while describing the economic recovery as weak, maintained that policymakers must seek to make manufacturing and agriculture to drive economic growth.

“We cannot expect any growth that is based on the oil sector to be sustainable. We need to seek to make the manufacturing and agricultural sectors to drive our growth,” he added.

A professor of Economics at the Olabisi Onabanjo University, Sherriffdeen Tella, said the Federal Government must ensure stability in oil production in the Niger Delta, noting that any disruption would affect the economy.

He advised the Central Bank of Nigeria to ensure that the naira would not depreciate, while efforts must be made to bring down interest rate in order to free up capital for the manufacturing and other sectors to grow.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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