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Dollar Weakens as North Korea Jitters Outweigh Debt-Ceiling Deal

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U.S Dollar - Investors King
  • Dollar Weakens as North Korea Jitters Outweigh Debt-Ceiling Deal

The dollar fell against most of its Group-of-10 peers as tensions surrounding North Korea outweighed positive sentiment arising from an extension of the U.S. debt limit.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index headed for a sixth day of losses amid speculation North Korea will conduct a missile launch this weekend to mark its foundation day. The yen rose as South Korea’s premier said there isn’t much time until the North is fully nuclear armed. Australia’s dollar fell as retail sales and trade balance data missed economists’ forecasts.

“If the threat remains and markets remain nervous about North Korea, then dollar-yen will remain under downward pressure,” said Imre Speizer, a markets strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Auckland. “There was a temporary reprieve for the dollar via the debt and funding agreement, but December is near enough for the market to continue pricing in some chance of disagreement.”

The yen hit a session high in reaction to South Korea’s Prime Minister Lee Nak-yon stating the North may launch a missile on Sept. 9. Residual orders from North-American accounts saw the gain curtailed as did fund-related flows over the Tokyo fix, according to an Asia-based currency trader not authorized to speak to the media.

  • BBDXY drops 0.1% after falling 0.8% over previous 5 days
  • USD/JPY weakens 0.1% to 109.11 after declining as much as 0.3%
    • Non-residents’ purchases of Japanese bonds climbed almost threefold to a net 1.3592t yen in week ended Sept. 1
  • U.S. Treasury yields lower across curve, with benchmark 10-year yield dropping 1bp to 2.09%
  • USD trimmed declines Wednesday when President Trump and Democrats agreed to a three-month extension of the U.S. debt limit
  • EUR/USD rises 0.1% to 1.1929 versus 1.1916/35 range
    • ECB’s Draghi will speak after policy meeting in Frankfurt
    • “We expect Draghi to strike a cautious balance between giving the first clear hints at the upcoming tapering and dovish sounds to rein in FX markets,” Rob Carnell, head of research and chief economist for Asia at ING in Singapore, writes in note
  • Aussie dips back under 0.80 after July retail sales and trade balance miss estimates
  • AUD/USD falls 0.1% to 0.7991 after reaching 0.7985
    • AUD/USD FX options for A$625m at strike price of 0.8025 expire Thursday
    • Thursday’s data-driven dip in currency shouldn’t extend that much against the kiwi, according to Peter Dragicevich, FX strategist at Nomura

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

CBN Sells Fresh Dollar to BDCs at N1,021/$

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Bureau De Change Operator

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has once again initiated direct sales of dollars to licensed Bureau De Change (BDC) operators across the country.

The latest circular from the apex bank announces the sale of $10,000 to each BDC at a rate of N1,021 per dollar.

This is the second round of such sales this month and the fourth in the current year.

The directive mandates BDCs to sell the allocated dollars to eligible end-users at a spread not exceeding 1.5 percent above the purchase price, translating to a maximum selling price of N1,036.15 per dollar.

Addressing concerns about adherence to guidelines, the CBN said it is important for BDC operators to work within the prescribed framework.

The intervention targets retail-end transactions, including travel allowances, tuition fees, and medical payments, among others.

BDCs are instructed to commence payment of the Naira deposit to designated CBN accounts and submit necessary documentation for FX disbursement at respective CBN branches.

This latest initiative follows previous interventions by the CBN, including the sale of $10,000 to BDCs earlier this month at N1,101 per dollar. Such measures aim to shore up the Naira’s value and ensure stability in the forex market amid economic uncertainties.

The CBN’s sustained efforts to provide adequate forex liquidity underscore its commitment to safeguarding the country’s currency and facilitating seamless foreign exchange transactions for businesses and individuals alike.

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Forex

Investors in Turmoil as Zimbabwe’s New Currency Wipes Out 330% Stock Market Gain

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Zimbabwe’s financial landscape has been rattled by the introduction of the new currency ZiG, spelling trouble for investors who had sought refuge in the stock market amidst economic turmoil.

The Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) All Share Index has plummeted by 99.95% since the rollout of ZiG on April 5. This has erased more than 330% gain recorded earlier this year.

The introduction of ZiG, short for Zimbabwe Gold, was intended to provide stability to the country’s currency and succeed the embattled Zimbabwean dollar, which had already lost 80% of its value in 2024 alone.

However, instead of instilling confidence, the new currency has sent shockwaves through the stock market, leaving investors grappling with the fallout.

Prior to the currency conversion, investors had flocked to the stock market as a safe haven amid the Zimbabwean dollar’s depreciation and soaring inflation rates, which had reached a seven-month high of 55.3% in March.

However, the abrupt introduction of ZiG has reversed their fortunes, plunging share prices and trading volumes as the market grapples with the transition.

Justin Bgoni, the CEO of the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange, attributed the market’s poor performance to a combination of factors, including delays in currency conversion by financial institutions and tight liquidity conditions.

He noted that investors were also hesitant and uncertain about the value of assets denominated in ZiG terms, further exacerbating the situation.

The conversion of share prices from the old currency to ZiG at a swap rate of 1 ZiG to 2,498 Zimbabwean dollars has led to a significant decline in trading volumes and revenues for brokerage firms.

Lloyd Mlotshwa, head of research at Harare-based brokerage IH Securities, highlighted that brokerages have experienced a substantial hit to earnings, with some seeing their revenues drop by at least 50%.

Stockbrokers in the capital, Harare, described the current market conditions as “a painful early winter,” marked by limited trading volumes and uncertainty. They anticipate broader ramifications across the stock market architecture, affecting not only stockbrokers but also custodians, government taxes, and the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange itself.

Enock Rukarwa, a research and investment consultant at FBC Securities, said stockbroking boutiques need to adapt their business models to mitigate the impact on commission income and pointed out that the majority of the economy still transacting in US dollars.

He suggested that stockbroking boutiques need to adapt their business models to mitigate the impact on commission income.

Imara Asset Management, Zimbabwe’s largest independent brokerage overseeing $100 million in assets, warned of further upheaval in the coming months as share prices adjusted to ZiG.

The company’s CEO and CIO, John Legat and Shelton Sibanda, criticized the decision to adopt ZiG instead of US dollars, considering that many listed businesses operate in USD.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 23rd, 2024

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New Naira Notes

As of April 23rd, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,250 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,290 and sell it at N1,280 on Monday, April 22nd, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate improved when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,250
  • Selling Rate: N1,240

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