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Stocks Rise, Currencies Drift Before Bankers Speak

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  • Stocks Rise, Currencies Drift Before Bankers Speak

European stocks advanced as the euro and dollar traded sideways before Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi speak in Jackson Hole. Commodities showed more conviction, with most raw materials climbing.

Stocks across Europe fluctuated before gradually following Asian equities higher, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index rising as mining-share gains outweighed retailer declines. The Bloomberg Commodity Index was in the green for a third day. Crude traded near $48 a barrel as Hurricane Harvey headed for Texas. While flat against the greenback, the euro fell against most other major peers as data showed German corporate confidence weakened.

In a week when traders have had little to go on and the Northern Hemisphere summer has suppressed volumes, equity markets have struggled for traction as investors await the forum in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Though European Central Bank President Draghi isn’t expected to offer a fresh policy message, his speech and that of Federal Reserve Chair Yellen will be parsed for clues on the timing of reductions in stimulus.

Meanwhile, two Fed officials offered opposing views Thursday on the inflation debate. Kansas City’s Esther George said another rate hike is feasible this year if U.S. data holds up. Dallas’s Robert Kaplan called for patience in waiting for prices to go higher.

“Will financial-stability concerns prompt the Fed to hike, even when inflation is so low? This is what the market wants to know,” John Cairns, a strategist at Rand Merchant Bank in Johannesburg, wrote in a client note. “With little else to focus on, the market has morphed the symposium into a colossus. Risks are two way: Yellen could take the hike off the table, or reaffirm it.”

Beyond the gathering of central bankers, market risks may be building in Washington. President Donald Trump took to Twitter to fuel the debate on legislation to keep the U.S. government open next month. Trump blasted Republican leaders for ignoring his advice on raising the debt ceiling and creating a “mess.” Countering, House Speaker Paul Ryan said the borrowing limit will be raised. Rates on short-term Treasury bills spiked amid concern Congress and the White House may not act in time.

Here are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index increased 0.3 percent as of 9:18 a.m. in London.
  • The MSCI World Index of developed countries climbed 0.1 percent.
  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index advanced less than 0.05 percent.

Currencies

  • The euro dipped 0.1 percent to $1.1786.
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index advanced less than 0.05 percent.
  • The British pound climbed 0.1 percent to $1.2811.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell less than one basis point to 2.19 percent.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield climbed one basis point to 1.065 percent.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield increased two basis points to 0.39 percent, the first advance in more than a week.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.7 percent to $47.78 a barrel.
  • Gold advanced 0.1 percent to $1,287.25 an ounce.
  • Copper climbed 0.4 percent to $6,716.00 per metric ton, the highest in almost three years.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound on OPEC+ Output Delay Talks and U.S. Inventory Drop

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Oil prices made a modest recovery on Thursday on the expectations that OPEC+ may delay planned production increases and the drop in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 66 cents, or 0.9% to $73.36 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 64 cents or 0.9% to $69.84 per barrel.

The rebound in oil prices was a result of the American Petroleum Institute (API) report that revealed that the U.S. crude oil inventories had fallen by a surprising 7.431 million barrels last week, against analysts 1 million barrel decline projection.

The decline signals better than projected demand for the commodity in the United States of America and offers some relief for traders on global demand.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates, attributed the rebound in crude oil prices to the API report.

He said, “There is a pause of breath and light reprieve for oil prices.”

Also, discussions within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are fueling speculation about a potential delay in planned output increases.

The group was initially expected to increase production by 180,000 a day in October 2024.

However, concerns over softening demand in China and potential developments in Libya’s oil production have prompted the group to reconsider its strategy.

Despite the recent rebound, analysts caution that lingering uncertainties around global oil demand may continue to weigh on prices in the near term.

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Energy

Power Generation Surges to 5,313 MW, But Distribution Issues Persist

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Nigeria’s power generation continues to get better under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

According to the latest statement released by Bolaji Tunji, the media aide to the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, power generation surged to a three-year high of 5,313 megawatts (MW).

“The national grid on Monday hit a record high of 5,313MW, a record high in the last three years,” the statement disclosed.

Reacting to this, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, called on power distribution companies to take more energy to prevent grid collapse as the grid’s frequency drops when power is produced and not picked by the Discos.

He added that efforts would be made to encourage industries to purchase bulk energy.

However, a top official of one of the Discos was quoted as saying that the power companies were finding it difficult to pick the extra energy produced by generation companies because they were not happy with the tariff on other bands apart from Band A.

“As it is now, we are operating at a loss. Yes, they supply more power but this problem could be solved with improved tariff for the other bands and more meter penetration to recover the cost,” the Disco official, who pleaded not to be named due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, said.

On Saturday, the ministry said power generation that peaked at 5,170MW was ramped down by 1,400MW due to Discos’ energy rejection.

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Crude Oil

Again NNPC Raises Petrol Price to N897/litre

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Petrol - Investors King

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has once again increased the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) from N855 per litre on Tuesday to N897 on Wednesday.

The increase was after Aliko Dangote, the Chairman of Dangote Refinery, announced the commencement of petrol production at its refinery.

The continuous increase in pump prices has raised concerns among Nigerians despite the initial excitement from the refinery announcement.

According to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the 650,000 barrels per day refinery will supply 25 million litres of petrol to the Nigerian market daily this September.

This, NMDPRA said will increase to 30 million litres per day in October.

However, the promise of increased fuel supply has not yet eased the situation on the ground.

Tunde Ayeni, a commercial bus driver at an NNPC station in Ikoyi, said “I have been in the queue since 6 a.m. waiting for them to start selling, but we just realised that the pump price has been changed to N897. This is terrible, and yet they still haven’t started selling the product.”

The price hike comes as NNPC continues to struggle with sustaining regular fuel supply.

On Sunday, the company warned that its ability to maintain steady distribution across the country was under threat due to financial strain.

NNPC cited rising supply costs as the cause of its difficulties in keeping up with demand.

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