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Equities Market Declines on Portfolio Re-balancing, Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equities Market Declines on Portfolio Re-balancing, Profit Taking

A combination of profit taking, portfolio re-balancing and disappointing corporate results by some companies last week dampened the bullish sentiments that had prevailed in the equities market. The market, which had an unprecedented bullish run in two months, had ended the first half of the year with a growth of 23.2 per cent.

Although some level of profit takings was envisaged as the second half (H2) began last week, investors’ confidence was also affected by some weaker-than-expected results. Besides, major portfolio investors and fund managers were still busy rebalancing their investments for the remaining part of the year.

Consequently, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) ASI went down by 1.99 per cent to close at 32,459.17, while market capitalisation recorded a higher decline of 2.31 per cent to be at N11.187 trillion.

Similarly, all other indices finished lower during the week with the exception of the NSE Insurance and the NSE Industrial Goods Indices that appreciated by 1.10 per cent and 0.22 per cent while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

According to analysts at Cordros Capital, the wave of sell-off in the Banking index in the first three trading sessions of the week – with a cumulative loss of 3.73 per cent was driven by reservations concerning the exposure of a syndicate of 13 banks to Etisalat Nigeria, after it was announced that the telecom giant had reconstituted its board with the apex bank mostly in control.

They added that the improved optimism in Dangote Cement was on the back of a favourable first time rating by Moody’s. – wherein Dangote Cement local currency corporate rating received a one-notch rating above the Nigeria’s sovereign rating.

Daily Market Performance

After a bullish outing in the first half of the year, the second half commenced on a bearish last Monday, which was the first trading day of the new half. The market resumed for the week with a decline of 1.05 per cent. Counters such as UBA, GTBank, Zenith Bank, Dangote Cement and FBN Holdings Plc were mainly responsible for the decline recorded.

The value of trading was equally down as investors staked N1.52 billion, on 162.35 million shares compared to N3.35 billion of the previous trading session.

The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (128.84 million shares), Conglomerates (11.84 million shares), and Consumer Goods (10.81 million shares), while the three most actively traded stocks were: Access Bank (20.89 million shares), Fidelity Bank (16.03 million shares) and UBA (14.60 million shares).

An analysis of the sectoral performance showed that the NSE Insurance Index was the only lone gainer for the day. It rose by 0.3 per cent as a result of bargain hunting in AIICO (+3.3 per cent) and AXA Mansard (+0.9 per cent).

The NSE Oil & Gas Index led the losers chart, shedding 1.8 per cent on account of Mobil (-5.0 per cent), Total (-5.0 per cent) and Conoil (-4.9 per cent). The NSE Banking Index trailed, losing 1.1 per cent following declines in GTBank (-1.1 per cent) and Zenith Bank (-1.8 per cent), while the NSE Industrial Goods Index and the NSE Consumer Goods Index closed 0.6 per cent and 0.3 per cent lower respectively.

The equities market remained bearish on Tuesday with the NSE Index declining 1.1 per cent to close at 32,410.20. The downward trend was influenced by price decline in Nigerian Breweries (-1.9 per cent), UBA (-5.8 per cent), GTBank (-1.3 per cent), ETI (-4.9 per cent), Stanbic IBTC (-3.0 per cent), FBN Holdings (-3.4 per cent) and Access Bank (-2.3 per cent).

Unlike on Monday when the NSE Insurance Index was the lone gainer, the NSE Industrial Goods Index was the only gainer on Tuesday. It rose marginally by 0.01 per cent.

The NSE Banking Index depreciated the most, sliding by 2.3 per cent as investors continue to take profit in Tier-1 and Tier-2 lenders. The NSE Consumer Goods Index followed with a decline of 1.2 per cent decline, while the NSE Oil & Gas Index trailed with a 1.1 per cent. The NSE Insurance Index shed 0.11 per cent.

The market extended its loss on Wednesday. The index dipped by 0.33 per cent to close at 32,302.32 following depreciation recorded in the share prices of Guinness, PZ Cussons, Flour Mills, Unilever and Access Bank among others.

However, value of trading rose as investors exchanged 311.38 million shares valued at N2.97 billion, up from N1.70 billion invested the previous day.

The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (250.52 million shares), Conglomerates (31.29 million shares), and Consumer Goods (11.85 million shares), while the three most actively traded stocks were: Niger Insurance (62.90 million shares), FBN Holdings (30.45 million shares) and Transcorp (30.23 million shares).

The market rebounded on Thursday with the index appreciating by 0.16 per cent to close at 32,354.78 . The influencers were: Dangote Cement, Seplat, Access Bank, FBNH and Zenith Bank among others. Investors traded 168.51 million shares worth N3.63 billion with Financial Services leading after recording 105.61 million shares. The Conglomerates sector followed with 22.47 million shares), and Consumer Goods (10.53 million shares).

The three most actively traded stocks were: GTBank (36.32 million shares), Transcorp (21.31 million shares) and FBN Holdings (16.09 million shares).

The market remained bullish on Friday as the index rose by 0.32 per cent to close higher at 32, 459.17 on gains by Dangote Cement, Seplat, Access Bank, FBN Holding, and Zenith Bank among others.

The total value of stocks traded was N2.47 billion, down by 31.79 per cent from N3.63bn recorded the previous day. The total volume of stocks traded was 212.38mn in 3,217 deals. The three most actively traded stocks were: Zenith Bank (73.31 million shares), Transcorp (18.38 million shares) and Sterling Bank (15.26 million shares), while the most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (162.29 million shares), Conglomerates (18.61 million shares), and Consumer Goods (16.52million shares).

Market Turnover

In all, investors traded 1.061 billion shares worth N12.295 billion in 18,847 deals, compared with 1.171 billion shares valued at N11.458 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 13,763 deals.

The Financial Services Industry remained that most active with 802.195 million shares valued at N7.331 billion traded in 11,334 deals, thus contributing 75.62 per cent and 59.63 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Conglomerates Industry followed with 109.378 million shares worth N174.604 million in 1,024 deals. The third place was occupied by Consumer Goods Industry with a turnover of 62.992 million shares worth N2.405 billion in 3,021deals.

Trading in the top three stocks, Zenith International Bank Plc, Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc and FBN Holdings Plc, accounted for 317.099 million shares worth N3.223 billion in 3,823 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of five units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N484.85 executed in one deal compared with a total of 869,680 units valued at N19.150 million transacted the previous week in 16 deals.

Similarly, a total of 358 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N344,610.97 were traded last week in seven deals, compared with a total of seven units valued at N16,486.85 transacted two weeks in one deal.

Price Gainers and Losers

Meanwhile, only 16 stocks appreciated last week compared with 40 of the previous week, while 51 equities depreciated as against 28 of the preceding week.

Cutix Plc led the price gainers, chalking up 10.0 per cent, trailed by Continental Reinsurance Plc which appreciated by 9.2 per cent. Honeywell Flour Mills Plc garnered 7.9 per cent, just as CAP Plc and Oando Plc appreciated by 6.2 per cent and 5.2 per cent respectively.

Abbey Building Mortgage Bank Plc and AXA Mansard Plc gained 4.0 per cent and 3.6 per cent in that order, just as Redstar Express Plc closed 3.5 per cent higher. The remaining two price gainers that made up the top 10 were: African Prudential Plc and First Aluminium Plc (3.4 per cent each).

Conversely, May & Baker Nigeria Plc led the price losers, shedding 25.7 per cent, trailed by Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc with 24.4 per cent.

Conoil Plc and Flour Mills went down by 18.5 per cent and 15.6 per cent respectively, just as Julius Berger Nigeria Plc and Guinness Nigeria Plc shed 14.2 per cent and 13.2 per cent in that order.

Other top price losers included: ETI (11.3 per cent); Cadbury Nigeria Plc (10.7 per cent); Linkage Assurance Plc (9.3 per cent) and Unity Bank Plc (8.9 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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