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Market Gains N798bn in Four Days on Continuing Demand

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Market Gains N798bn in Four Days on Continuing Demand

The Nigerian equities market maintained its bullish trend last week with the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-share Index crossing the 30,000 mark to hit 31,371.63, while market capitalisation added N797.6 billion to close at N10.845 trillion.

Having hit a 10-month level with a growth of 3.38 per cent the previous week, the market sustained the positive performing rising by 7.94 per cent to close on continuing higher demand by investors last week.

Analysts at Cordros Capital attributed the positive development to improved macro-economic fundamentals, herein we refer to “the improvement in the currency space, especially at the parallel and Importers and exports FX market and data suggesting economic recovery is well underway, in particular, improved Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) survey result for the month of May.”

“ Asides that, the federal government continued to make strides in harnessing growth in the economy, supporting this, the acting President Prof. Yemi Osinbajo signed into law two Acts of Parliaments earlier passed by the National Assembly. The New laws focus on increasing access to affordable credit, and will be beneficial to MSMEs in particular,” Cordros Capital said.

At the end of the week, all the sectoral indicators appreciated save for the NSE Oil & Gas Index that went down by4.5 per cent. The NSE Industrial Goods recorded the highest growth of 9.17 per cent trailed by the NSE Consumer Goods Index that grew by 7.68 per cent. The NSE Insurance Index closed 6.08 per cent higher just as the NSE Banking Index appreciated by 4.0 per cent.

Daily Market performance

The market remained upbeat through the four trading days, beginning with a growth of 0.7 per cent on Tuesday to close at 29,276.59. Tuesday’s performance was buoyed by appreciations in banking stocks such as Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, FBN Holdings Plc, Zenith Bank Plc and Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI). The positive performance was across all the sectors except the oil and gas sector that went down by 2.0 per cent. The NSE Banking Index appreciated the most, rising by 2.2 per cent on the back of gains by GTBank (+1.5 per cent) and Zenith Bank (+1.9 per cent). Similarly, gains by AXA Mansard Insurance Plc (+9.5 per cent) and Continental Reinsurance Plc (+0.8 per cent) bolstered the NSE Insurance Index to close up 2.0 per cent higher.

Similarly, the NSE Industrial Goods Index appreciated by 0.7 per cent as a result of uptick in Dangote Cement (+0.2 per cent) and Lafarge Africa (+1.2 per cent), just as the NSE Consumer Goods Index grew by 0.3 per cent.

The market extended its uptrend for the second day and sixth consecutive session with the index appreciating 0.76 per cent to close at 29,498.31,

High demand that pushed the shares of bellwethers such as Dangote Cement Plc, Nigerian Breweries Plc, FBN Holdings Plc and Access Bank Plc Nestle Nigeria Plc were responsible for the gains.

Similarly, the market capitalisation appreciated by 0.76 per cent to close at N10.20 trillion. The total value of stocks traded on that the day stood at N3.34 billion, down by 56.02 per cent from N7.59 billion recorded the previous day, while total volume of stocks traded was 343.19 million in 4,905 deals.

The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (274.63million), Consumer Goods (29.01million) and Conglomerates (12.57million), while three most actively traded stocks were: FBN Holdings (61.19million), Diamond Bank (41.86 million) and Fidelity Bank (38.77 million).

Performance across sectors was mixed as three of five indices appreciated. The NSE Insurance Index led sector gainers, appreciating with 2.5 per cent, just the NSE Industrial Index and NSE Consumer Goods Indices rose 1.9 per cent and 1.5 per cent in that order.

Conversely, the NSE Banking Index shed 3.1 per cent, while the NSE Oil & Gas Index closed 2.3 per cent lower.

The Nigerian bourse remained positive on Thursday with the index rising by 2.8 per cent to cross the 30,000 for the first time since last year June to close at 30,314.14

The stocks that were responsible to the growth were: Dangote Cement, Nigerian Breweries, FBN Holdings and Zenith Bank. A further analysis of the performance indicated that four of the five sectors closed positively, save for the NSE Oil & Gas Index shed 0.2 per cent. This followed profit taking in Oando and Seplat that shed 5.3 per cent and 2.4 per cent in that order.

The NSE Consumer Index appreciated by 2.5 per cent on the back of gains in Nigerian Breweries (4.9 per cent). Similarly, the Industrial Goods Index appreciated by 2.4 per cent on the account of price gains recorded by Dangote Cement Plc.

In a similar vein, the NSE Banking Index closed 1.7 per cent higher on the back of positive sentiments in Zenith Bank, UBA, Access Bank and ETI, just as the NSE Insurance Index added 1.5 per cent.

The market recorded an unprecedented growth on Friday as the bulls consolidated their hold on the market. Consequently, the index posted its highest daily growth in the recent times, apreciated by 3.49 per cent to close at 31,371.63.

Gains in FBN Holdings, Nigerian Breweries, Access Bank, Dangote Cement and Zenith Bank were mainly responsible for the gain recorded in the index on the last day of the week.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, trading at the stock market was for four days as the Federal Government of Nigeria declared Monday 29th May, 2017 as Public Holiday to mark the 2017 Democracy Day Celebration.

Investors traded a total of 2.319 billion shares worth N23.813 billion in 22,310 deals, up from 1.877 billion shares valued at N20.055 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 19,979 deals.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.950 billion shares valued at N15.479 billion traded in 14,381 deals; thus contributing 84.12% and 65.00% to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 156.358 million shares worth N2.875 billion in 2,804 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 70.452 million shares worth N168.377 million in 739 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 52 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N13,802.70 executed in six deals compared with a total of 65 units valued at N1,967.85 transacted the previous week in seven deals. A total of 3,786 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N3.806 million were traded in four deals, compared with a total of 50 units valued at N43,719.69 transacted last week in one deals two weeks ago.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed that 61 equities appreciated higher than 44 equities of the previous week, while only 12 equities depreciated, lower than the 25 equities of the previous week. FBN Holdings Plc led the price gainers for the week, rising by 31.2 per cent. UAN Property Development Company Plc trailed with 25.2 per cent, while AXA Mansard Insurance Plc chalked up 24.7 per cent.

May & Baker Nigeria Plc garnered 22.6 per cent, just as Champion Breweries Plc and Diamond Bank Plc rose by 19.9 per cent and 19.3 per cent in that order. Other top price gainers are: Honeywell Flour Mills Plc (18.8 per cent); Fidelity Bank Plc (17.8 per cent); Access Bank Plc (17.6 per cent) and Dangote Cement Plc (15.6 per cent).

Conversely, Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc led the price losers with 14.2 per cent, followed by Linkage Assurance Plc with a decline of 12.7 per cent. Oando Plc went down by 10.3 per cent just as Seplat, Nigerian Enamelware Plc and University Press Plc shed 10.2 per cent, 4.9 per cent, and 4.9 per cent respectively. Other top price losers included: Jaiz Bank Plc (4.2 per cent) Caverton(4. 1 per cent); GTBank Plc (3.6 per cent) and Medview Airline Plc respectively.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Dangote Mega Refinery in Nigeria Seeks Millions of Barrels of US Crude Amid Output Challenges

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Dangote Refinery

The Dangote Mega Refinery, situated near Lagos, Nigeria, is embarking on an ambitious plan to procure millions of barrels of US crude over the next year.

The refinery, established by Aliko Dangote, Africa’s wealthiest individual, has issued a term tender for the purchase of 2 million barrels a month of West Texas Intermediate Midland crude for a duration of 12 months, commencing in July.

This development revealed through a document obtained by Bloomberg, represents a shift in strategy for the refinery, which has opted for US oil imports due to constraints in the availability and reliability of Nigerian crude.

Elitsa Georgieva, Executive Director at Citac, an energy consultancy specializing in the African downstream sector, emphasized the allure of US crude for Dangote’s refinery.

Georgieva highlighted the challenges associated with sourcing Nigerian crude, including insufficient supply, unreliability, and sometimes unavailability.

In contrast, US WTI offers reliability, availability, and competitive pricing, making it an attractive option for Dangote.

Nigeria’s struggles to meet its OPEC+ quota and sustain its crude production capacity have been ongoing for at least a year.

Despite an estimated production capacity of 2.6 million barrels a day, the country only managed to pump about 1.45 million barrels a day of crude and liquids in April.

Factors contributing to this decline include crude theft, aging oil pipelines, low investment, and divestments by oil majors operating in Nigeria.

To address the challenge of local supply for the Dangote refinery, Nigeria’s upstream regulators have proposed new draft rules compelling oil producers to prioritize selling crude to domestic refineries.

This regulatory move aims to ensure sufficient local supply to support the operations of the 650,000 barrel-a-day Dangote refinery.

Operating at about half capacity presently, the Dangote refinery has capitalized on the opportunity to secure cheaper US oil imports to fulfill up to a third of its feedstock requirements.

Since the beginning of the year, the refinery has been receiving monthly shipments of about 2 million barrels of WTI Midland from the United States.

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Oil Prices Hold Steady as U.S. Demand Signals Strengthening

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil prices maintained a steady stance in the global market as signals of strengthening demand in the United States provided support amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, holds at $82.79 per barrel, a marginal increase of 4 cents or 0.05%.

Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw a slight uptick of 4 cents to $78.67 per barrel.

The stability in oil prices came in the wake of favorable data indicating a potential surge in demand from the U.S. market.

An analysis by MUFG analysts Ehsan Khoman and Soojin Kim pointed to a broader risk-on sentiment spurred by signs of receding inflationary pressures in the U.S., suggesting the possibility of a more accommodative monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

This prospect could alleviate the strength of the dollar and render oil more affordable for holders of other currencies, consequently bolstering demand.

Despite a brief dip on Wednesday, when Brent crude touched an intra-day low of $81.05 per barrel, the commodity rebounded, indicating underlying market resilience.

This bounce-back was attributed to a notable decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, gasoline, and distillates.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a reduction of 2.5 million barrels in crude inventories to 457 million barrels for the week ending May 10, surpassing analysts’ consensus forecast of 543,000 barrels.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM, underscored the significance of increased refinery activity, which contributed to the decline in inventories and hinted at heightened demand.

This development sparked a turnaround in price dynamics, with earlier losses being nullified by a surge in buying activity that wiped out all declines.

Moreover, U.S. consumer price data for April revealed a less-than-expected increase, aligning with market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

The prospect of monetary easing further buoyed market sentiment, contributing to the stability of oil prices.

However, amidst these market dynamics, geopolitical tensions persisted in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Palestinian factions. Israeli military operations in Gaza remained ongoing, with ceasefire negotiations reaching a stalemate mediated by Qatar and Egypt.

The situation underscored the potential for geopolitical flare-ups to impact oil market sentiment.

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Shell’s Bonga Field Hits Record High Production of 138,000 Barrels per Day in 2023

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oil field

Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) has achieved a significant milestone as its Bonga field, Nigeria’s first deep-water development, hit a record high production of 138,000 barrels per day in 2023.

This represents a substantial increase when compared to 101,000 barrels per day produced in the previous year.

The improvement in production is attributed to various factors, including the drilling of new wells, reservoir optimization, enhanced facility management, and overall asset management strategies.

Elohor Aiboni, Managing Director of SNEPCo, expressed pride in Bonga’s performance, stating that the increased production underscores the commitment of the company’s staff and its continuous efforts to enhance production processes and maintenance.

Aiboni also acknowledged the support of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and SNEPCo’s co-venture partners, including TotalEnergies Nigeria Limited, Nigerian Agip Exploration, and Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited.

The Bonga field, which commenced production in November 2005, operates through the Bonga Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel, with a capacity of 225,000 barrels per day.

Located 120 kilometers offshore, the FPSO has been a key contributor to Nigeria’s oil production since its inception.

Last year, the Bonga FPSO reached a significant milestone by exporting its 1-billionth barrel of oil, further cementing its position as a vital asset in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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