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Stock Market Gains N156bn on Renewed Investor Sentiment

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Stock Market Gains N156bn on Renewed Investor Sentiment

It was another bullish week for equities investors as the market rode on the continued positive sentiments to gain N156.2 billion. The market, which had previously recorded its highest weekly gain, rallied further last week on persistent investors’ positive reactions to first quarter (Q1) earnings reported by companies. The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (NSE ASI) rose by 1.85 per cent to close at 26,235.63, while market capitalisation appreciated by same margin to close higher at N9.069 trillion.

Similarly, all other Indices finished higher during the week with the exception the NSE Insurance and NSE Industrial Goods Indices that depreciated by 0.09 per cent and 1.04 per cent respectively while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

The NSE Banking Index appreciated by 3.6 per cent, followed by the NSE Consumer Goods and NSE Oil & Gas Indices with 3.0 per cent apiece.

However, on the contrary, the Industrial Goods Index declined 1.1 per cent, just as the NSE Insurance Index recorded 0.1 per cent.

Analysts at Afrinvest said the market performance was driven by “swirls of positive sentiment, which emanated from the impressive Q1 earnings and expectations of a rebound in economic activities following positive PMI readings for April and improved FX liquidity.”

Daily Market performance

The market commenced the week and new month on a positive note on Tuesday as the NSE ASI appreciated by 0.80 per cent to close at 25,965.18. The gain recorded could be attributed to the renewed investor sentiments witnessed in the market from last week, coupled with some impressive Q1:2017 earnings releases which drove the positive reactions. Specifically, sustained interest in market bellwethers such as Zenith Bank, Nestle Nigeria, Guaranty Trust Bank and Seplat contributed to the positive performance.

Performance across sectors was broadly positive as all indices closed in the green save for the NSE Industrial Goods Index which stagnated. The NSE Banking Index appreciated the most, rising by 1.5 per cent due to gain by Zenith Bank (+3.7 per cent) and GTBank (+1.4 per cent) while the NSE Oil & Gas Index went up 1.4 per cent followed gains by Seplat (+3.7 per cent) and Oando (+4.8 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Consumer Goods Index and NSE Insurance indices closed 0.9 per cent and 0.02 per cent higher on the back of rally in Nestle (+2.5%) and WAPIC Insurance (+4.0 per cent) in that order.

At the end of trading, 22 stocks added value compared with 12 decliners. The gainers’ chart was led by Fdison (+9.1 per cent), NPF Microfinance Bank (+9.1 per cent) and FBN Holdings Plc (+5.4%).

Conversely, UACN of Nigeria Plc, Forte Oil Plc and AIICO Insurance shed 5.0 per cent, 4.2 per cent and 3.8 per cent respectively.

The market appreciated further as the bulls consolidated their hold on the market. The NSE ASI appreciated by 0.58 per cent to close at 26,116.79. The appreciation recorded in the share prices of Zenith Bank, Nigerian Breweries, Access Bank, FBN Holdings and UBA were mainly responsible for the gain recorded in the Index.

Market performance was broadly bullish as all sector indices closed in the green. The NSE Banking Index advanced the most, chalking up 1.5 per cent on the back of price appreciation in UBA (+6.3 per cent) and Zenith Bank (+1.6 per cent).

The NSE Oil & Gas Index added 0.6 per cent on account of gains in Oando (+7.9 per cent) and Forte Oil(+2.3 per cent). Likewise, the NSE Consumer Goods Index and Insurance indices trended northwards by adding 0.4 per cent and 0.3 per cent respectively. The NSE Industrial Goods Index closed unchanged.

The stock market recorded gains for the fifth consecutive trading session on Thursday as investors continued to take position in large cap stocks on the exchange. Consequently, the NSE ASI closed 0.20 per cent higher to settle at 26,166.80, reducing the year-to-date decline to 2.6 per cent. Also, the market capitalisation added N18 billion to close at N9.Investors gained N18.0bn as market capitalisation rose to N9.0 5 trillion. The positive close was majorly driven by gains in Nigerian Breweries Plc, Zenith Bank and International Breweries Plc.

A total of 26 stocks advanced while 15 declined. International Breweries Plc led the price gainers with 9.3 per cent trailed by Fidson Healthcare with 9.1 per cent, while NAHCO appreciated by 4.8 per cent.

Conversely, Stanbic IBTC Bank Plc led the price losers with 9.6 per cent, while Unity Bank Plc shed 7.4 per cent. AXA Mansard Insurance Plc went down by 4.5 per cent.

“Considering the positive momentum witnessed since the start of the week, we expect the market to close the week positive; however, we do not rule out the possibility of some “end of the week” profit-taking by investors in the trading session ahead,” analysts at Afrinvest (W.A) said.

The recorded its fourth consecutive gain on Friday adding 0.19 per cent to bring the total growth for the week to 1.85 per cent.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, investors traded 1.154 billion shares worth N10.439 billion in 16,676 deals , compared with 1.333 billion shares valued at N9.671 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 16,300 deals.

The Financial Services Industry maintained its lead on the activity chart with 813.016 million shares valued at N6.904 billion traded in 10,298 deals; thus contributing 70.45 per cent and 66.13 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Oil and Gas Industry followed with 106.566 million shares worth N1.063 billion in 1,356 deals. The Services Industry occupied the third position with a turnover of 90.940 million shares worth N188.204 million in 660 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 20 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N110,000.00 executed in one deal compared with a total of 533 units valued at N32,204.30 transacted in the preceding week in 15 deals.

Similarly, a total of 1,582 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N1.608 million were traded this week in 10 deals, compared with a total of 4,705 units valued at N3.934 million transacted two weeks ago in four deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed 43 advancers higher than the 38 equities of the previous week, while 16 equities depreciated in price, lower than 25 equities of the previous week.

Fidson Healthcare Plc led the price gainers’ chart with 43.6 per cent. Oando Plc trailed with 24 per cent, while Livestock Feeds Plc appreciated by 16.2 per cent.

Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc, chalked up 15.2 per cent, just as Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc and FBN Holdings Plc garnered 14.2 apiece. Other top price gainers were: May & Baker Nigeria Plc (14.1 per cent); Transcorp Plc (11.3 per cent); International Breweries Plc (10.4 per cent) and Cutix Plc (9.5 per cent).

Conversely, Unity Bank Plc led the price losers with 13.7 per cent, trailed by Champion Breweries Plc with 8.9 per cent decline. Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc went down by 6.6 per cent, just as NASCON Allied Industries Plc and AXA Mansard Insurance Plc shed 5.7 per cent each.

Medview Airline Plc and Jaiz Bank Plc declined by 4.6 per cent and 4.3 per cent respectively. Others were: Honeywell Flour Mills Plc (4.2 per cent); Sterling Bank Plc (4.1 per cent); and Total Nigeria Plc (3.04).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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Gold

Gold Prices Slide Below $2,300 as Investors Digest Fed’s Rate Outlook

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gold bars - Investors King

Amidst a backdrop of global economic shifts and geopolitical recalibration, gold prices dipped below the $2,300 price level.

The decline comes as investors carefully analyse signals from the Federal Reserve regarding its future interest rate policies.

After reaching record highs earlier this month, gold suffered its most daily decline in nearly two years, shedding 2.7% on Monday.

The recent retreat reflects a multifaceted landscape where concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East have eased, coupled with indications that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a prolonged period.

Richard Grace, a senior currency analyst and international economist at ITC Markets, noted that tactical short-selling likely contributed to the decline, especially given the rapid surge in gold prices witnessed recently.

Despite this setback, bullion remains up approximately 15% since mid-February, supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, central bank purchases, and robust demand from Chinese consumers.

The shift in focus among investors now turns toward forthcoming US economic data, including key inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve.

These data points are anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory.

Over recent weeks, policymakers have adopted a more hawkish tone in response to consistently strong inflation reports, leading market participants to adjust their expectations regarding the timing of future interest rate adjustments.

As markets recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy, the prospect of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment poses challenges for gold, which traditionally does not offer interest-bearing returns.

Spot gold prices dropped by 1.2% to $2,298.67 an ounce, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remaining relatively stable. Silver, palladium, and platinum also experienced declines following gold’s retreat.

The ongoing interplay between economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies continues to shape the trajectory of precious metal markets.

While gold faces near-term headwinds, its status as a safe-haven asset and store of value ensures that it remains a focal point for investors navigating uncertain global dynamics.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Hold Firm Despite Middle East Tensions

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markets energies crude oil

Despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East, oil prices remained resilient, holding steady above key levels on Tuesday.

Brent crude oil traded above $87 a barrel after a slight dip of 0.3% on the previous trading day, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovered around $82 a barrel.

The stability in oil prices comes amidst a backdrop of positive sentiment across global markets, with signs of strength in various sectors countering concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

One of the factors supporting oil prices is the weakening of the US dollar, which makes commodities priced in the currency more attractive to international investors.

Concurrently, equities experienced gains, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment.

However, geopolitical risks persist as Israel intensifies efforts to eliminate what it claims is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza and secure the release of remaining hostages.

These actions are expected to keep tensions elevated in the region, adding uncertainty to oil markets.

Despite the geopolitical tensions, options markets have shown a more optimistic outlook in recent days regarding the potential for a spike in oil prices. This suggests that market participants are cautiously optimistic about the resolution of conflicts in the region.

Despite the lingering risks, oil prices have remained below the $90 per barrel price level, a level that many analysts consider significant, particularly as the summer months approach, typically known as the peak demand season for oil.

While prices have experienced some volatility, they have yet to reach the $90 threshold, prompting expectations of further increases later in the year.

Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer of energy pathways at Carlyle Group, expressed confidence in the potential for oil prices to surpass $100 per barrel, citing tight market conditions indicated by timespreads.

However, he also noted the importance of monitoring OPEC’s response to rising prices, as the organization may adjust production levels to stabilize the market.

Overall, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to pose risks to oil markets, the resilience of oil prices amidst these challenges underscores the complex interplay of global factors influencing commodity markets.

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