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Stock Market Sheds 1% on Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Stock Market Sheds 1% on Profit Taking

Profit taking by some investors ended a two-week positive performance at the stock market last week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (ASI) fell by 0.92 per cent to close at 25,510.01. Similarly, market capitalisation ended lower at N8.827 trillion.

The market had recorded upward performance for two weeks following improved corporate earnings for 2016 declared by some companies. However, profit taking set in last week as investors locked in part of gains earlier recorded by some stocks. Another factor that led to the decline last week was price adjustments for dividend declared by some companies. The market was open for only four days as the federal government declared Friday Public Holiday to commemorate Easter celebration. Despite the fact that some companies still declared improved earnings for 2016 last week, profit taking dominated. Consequently, the market closed in the bear’s territory.

Daily Market performance

Investors embarked on profit taking on the first day of the week following the previous week’s gains. Consequently, the NSE ASI fell by 0.45 per cent to close lower at 25,626.39, pushing the year-to-date ( YTD) loss to 4.6 per cent on Monday. The negative performance was affected by losses in Nigerian Breweries , GTBank Plc and Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI) among others. Despite the bearish close, the activity level was mixed as volume traded rose 77.7 per cent to 191.8 million shares units while value traded fell 35.6 per cent to settle at N584.7 million.

Sector indices were largely bearish with the NSE Oil & Gas Index closing as the only gainer for the day with a marginal appreciation of 0.04 per cent. The indicator was bolstered by gains in Total (+4.1 per cent) which offset the decline in Oando (-4.8 per cent). The NSE Consumer Goods Index shed 1.4 per cent as Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc was adjusted for dividend. Investors sold off on Nigerian Breweries led to a slide of 2.0 per cent. In a similar vein, the NSE Insurance Index went down by 1.1 per cent following sell pressure on AIICO (-3.8 per cent) and Continental Reinsurance Plc (-3.9 per cent) weighed on the sector.

The NSE Banking Index depreciated by 0. 47 per cent due to losses in GTBank (-0.8 per cent) and ETI (-2.8 per cent).

“The decline in performance today was in line with projection as investors expectedly took a breather following two weeks of positive momentum. Whilst we believe upsides to equities are capped by subsisting capital controls which restrict foreign investor participation, our outlook for the market remains positive for April as we expect strong first quarter(Q1) earnings, due for release this month, to further propel market performance,” analysts at Afrinvest said.

The market extended losses for the second day of the week with NSE ASI going down by 0.58 per cent to close at 25,478.06. In terms of market capitalisation, it shed N51.3 billion to close at N8.8 trillion. Depreciation in the shares of Mobil Oil (-9.4 per cent), Dangote Cement (-0.4 per cent) and GTBank (-1.4 per cent), was partly responsible for the negative performance on Tuesday.

Unlike the previous when one sector recorded positive performance, all sectors closed in red. The NSE Oil & Gas Index led the losers’ chart, shedding 2.6 per cent . The NSE Banking Index went down by 0.62 per cent as a result of losses by GTBank (1.4 per cent) and Zenith Bank (1.3 per cent).

The NSE Consumer Goods Index trailed with a 0.31 per cent decline due to further losses in Nigerian Breweries (-0.4 per cent) and Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc (-1.9 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Insurance Index fell by 0.2 per cent on the back of AXA Mansard’s depreciation (-1.9 per cent). The NSE Industrial Goods Index closed 0.1 per cent lower.

The Nigerian equities market returned to positive territory yesterday on bargain hunting, pushing the NSE All-Share Index by 0.07 per cent to close at 25,496.71. Similarly, market capitalisation added N6.5 billion to close at N8.8 trillion, while year-to-date decline stood at 5.1 per cent.

The positive performance was majorly driven by gains in GTBank Plc, Nigerian Breweries Plc and FBN Holdings Plc. But Trans-nationwide Express Plc led the price gainers’ chart with 4.6 per cent, trailed by Fidson Healthcare Plc, which went up by 4.3 per cent.

Transcorp Plc and AIICO Insurance Plc appreciated by 4.1 per cent and 3.7 per cent respectively, just as FBN Holdings Plc, Oando Plc and Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc 3.2 per cent and 3.1 per cent in that order.

Conversely, Unilever Nigeria Plc led the price losers, shedding 5.0 per cent, trailed by Lafarge Africa Plc with 4.9 per cent. Ashaka Cement Plc, Nigerian Aviation Company Plc and Jaiz Bank Plc declined by 4.9 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively.

Sectoral performance showed that three sectors advanced, while two declined. The NSE Banking Index rose by 0.8 per cent following gains recorded by GTBank Plc (+1.7 per cent) and Zenith Bank Plc (+0.4 per cent).

The NSE Insurance Index appreciated by 0.5 per cent due to price appreciation in AIICO Insurance Plc (+3.8 per cent) and Continental Reinsurance Plc (+2.5 per cent), just as the NSE Consumer Goods Index gained 0.3 per cent bolstered by gains recorded by Nigerian Breweries Plc (+1.2 per cent) and Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc (+2.8 per cent).

Contrarily, the NSE Industrial Goods Index dipped 2.3 per cent as investors booked profit in Lafarge Africa (-5.0 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Oil & Gas Index shed 0.6 per cent on the back of price losses in Seplat (-2.0 per cent) and Mobil (-0.6 per cent).

The market sustained the positive performance for the second day, although marginally as the NSE ASI rose by 0.05 per cent to close at 25,510.01. The gains recorded in last two days of the week were not enough to wipe out the losses recorded the two days. Consequently, the market closed the week 0.92 per cent.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, investors traded 1.191 billion shares worth N6.037 billion in 11,820 compared with 786.176 million shares valued at N5.828 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 14,343 deals. The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.014 billion shares valued at N3.070 billion traded in 6,700 deals. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 51.888 million shares worth N1.581 billion in 2,025 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 47.517 million shares worth N66.904 million in 542 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Fidelity Bank Plc, FCMB Group Plc and Standard Trust Assurance Plc- accounted for 679.949 million shares worth N639.862 million in 1,622 deals, contributing 57.06 per cent and 10.60 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Also traded during the week were a total of 16 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N1,088.00 executed in one deal compared with a total of 1,510 units valued at N4,113.20 transacted the previous week in three deals.

A total of 4,800 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N4.892million were traded this week in 10 deals, compared with a total of 11,064 units valued at N10.256million transacted the preceding week in 21 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed 13 gainers lower than the 36 gainers equities of the previous week. Conversely, 37 equities depreciated in price, higher than 22 equities of the previous week.

Fidelity Bank Plc led the price gainers with 21.4 per cent, trailed by C & I Leasing Plc with 14.2 per cent. Transcorp Plc chalked up 5.3 per cent, just as Fidson Healthcare Plc appreciated by 5.2 per cent. International Breweries Plc, NPF Microfinance Bank Plc and Total Nigeria Plc went up 4.9 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 4.1 per cent in that order.

Other top price gainers were: UACN Property Development Company Plc (3.4 per cent); Caverton (3.3 per cent) and FBN Holdings Plc (2.8 per cent).

On the flipside, Dangote Sugary Refinery Plc led the price losers with 14.2 per cent. FCMB Group Plc shed 12.2 per cent, while Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc went down by 10 per cent.

Jaiz Bank Plc depreciated by 8.7 per cent, just as Dangote Flour Mills Plc and Oando Plc closed the week 7.4 per cent and 7.2 per cent lower respectively. Oando Plc, Unilever Nigeria Plc, Union Dicon Salt plc and Ashaka Cement Plc declined by 5.2 per cent, 5.0 per cent, 4.9 per cent and 4.9 per cent in that order.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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Gold

Gold Prices Slide Below $2,300 as Investors Digest Fed’s Rate Outlook

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gold bars - Investors King

Amidst a backdrop of global economic shifts and geopolitical recalibration, gold prices dipped below the $2,300 price level.

The decline comes as investors carefully analyse signals from the Federal Reserve regarding its future interest rate policies.

After reaching record highs earlier this month, gold suffered its most daily decline in nearly two years, shedding 2.7% on Monday.

The recent retreat reflects a multifaceted landscape where concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East have eased, coupled with indications that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a prolonged period.

Richard Grace, a senior currency analyst and international economist at ITC Markets, noted that tactical short-selling likely contributed to the decline, especially given the rapid surge in gold prices witnessed recently.

Despite this setback, bullion remains up approximately 15% since mid-February, supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, central bank purchases, and robust demand from Chinese consumers.

The shift in focus among investors now turns toward forthcoming US economic data, including key inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve.

These data points are anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory.

Over recent weeks, policymakers have adopted a more hawkish tone in response to consistently strong inflation reports, leading market participants to adjust their expectations regarding the timing of future interest rate adjustments.

As markets recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy, the prospect of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment poses challenges for gold, which traditionally does not offer interest-bearing returns.

Spot gold prices dropped by 1.2% to $2,298.67 an ounce, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remaining relatively stable. Silver, palladium, and platinum also experienced declines following gold’s retreat.

The ongoing interplay between economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies continues to shape the trajectory of precious metal markets.

While gold faces near-term headwinds, its status as a safe-haven asset and store of value ensures that it remains a focal point for investors navigating uncertain global dynamics.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Hold Firm Despite Middle East Tensions

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markets energies crude oil

Despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East, oil prices remained resilient, holding steady above key levels on Tuesday.

Brent crude oil traded above $87 a barrel after a slight dip of 0.3% on the previous trading day, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovered around $82 a barrel.

The stability in oil prices comes amidst a backdrop of positive sentiment across global markets, with signs of strength in various sectors countering concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

One of the factors supporting oil prices is the weakening of the US dollar, which makes commodities priced in the currency more attractive to international investors.

Concurrently, equities experienced gains, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment.

However, geopolitical risks persist as Israel intensifies efforts to eliminate what it claims is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza and secure the release of remaining hostages.

These actions are expected to keep tensions elevated in the region, adding uncertainty to oil markets.

Despite the geopolitical tensions, options markets have shown a more optimistic outlook in recent days regarding the potential for a spike in oil prices. This suggests that market participants are cautiously optimistic about the resolution of conflicts in the region.

Despite the lingering risks, oil prices have remained below the $90 per barrel price level, a level that many analysts consider significant, particularly as the summer months approach, typically known as the peak demand season for oil.

While prices have experienced some volatility, they have yet to reach the $90 threshold, prompting expectations of further increases later in the year.

Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer of energy pathways at Carlyle Group, expressed confidence in the potential for oil prices to surpass $100 per barrel, citing tight market conditions indicated by timespreads.

However, he also noted the importance of monitoring OPEC’s response to rising prices, as the organization may adjust production levels to stabilize the market.

Overall, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to pose risks to oil markets, the resilience of oil prices amidst these challenges underscores the complex interplay of global factors influencing commodity markets.

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