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Stock Market Sheds 1% on Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Stock Market Sheds 1% on Profit Taking

Profit taking by some investors ended a two-week positive performance at the stock market last week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (ASI) fell by 0.92 per cent to close at 25,510.01. Similarly, market capitalisation ended lower at N8.827 trillion.

The market had recorded upward performance for two weeks following improved corporate earnings for 2016 declared by some companies. However, profit taking set in last week as investors locked in part of gains earlier recorded by some stocks. Another factor that led to the decline last week was price adjustments for dividend declared by some companies. The market was open for only four days as the federal government declared Friday Public Holiday to commemorate Easter celebration. Despite the fact that some companies still declared improved earnings for 2016 last week, profit taking dominated. Consequently, the market closed in the bear’s territory.

Daily Market performance

Investors embarked on profit taking on the first day of the week following the previous week’s gains. Consequently, the NSE ASI fell by 0.45 per cent to close lower at 25,626.39, pushing the year-to-date ( YTD) loss to 4.6 per cent on Monday. The negative performance was affected by losses in Nigerian Breweries , GTBank Plc and Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI) among others. Despite the bearish close, the activity level was mixed as volume traded rose 77.7 per cent to 191.8 million shares units while value traded fell 35.6 per cent to settle at N584.7 million.

Sector indices were largely bearish with the NSE Oil & Gas Index closing as the only gainer for the day with a marginal appreciation of 0.04 per cent. The indicator was bolstered by gains in Total (+4.1 per cent) which offset the decline in Oando (-4.8 per cent). The NSE Consumer Goods Index shed 1.4 per cent as Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc was adjusted for dividend. Investors sold off on Nigerian Breweries led to a slide of 2.0 per cent. In a similar vein, the NSE Insurance Index went down by 1.1 per cent following sell pressure on AIICO (-3.8 per cent) and Continental Reinsurance Plc (-3.9 per cent) weighed on the sector.

The NSE Banking Index depreciated by 0. 47 per cent due to losses in GTBank (-0.8 per cent) and ETI (-2.8 per cent).

“The decline in performance today was in line with projection as investors expectedly took a breather following two weeks of positive momentum. Whilst we believe upsides to equities are capped by subsisting capital controls which restrict foreign investor participation, our outlook for the market remains positive for April as we expect strong first quarter(Q1) earnings, due for release this month, to further propel market performance,” analysts at Afrinvest said.

The market extended losses for the second day of the week with NSE ASI going down by 0.58 per cent to close at 25,478.06. In terms of market capitalisation, it shed N51.3 billion to close at N8.8 trillion. Depreciation in the shares of Mobil Oil (-9.4 per cent), Dangote Cement (-0.4 per cent) and GTBank (-1.4 per cent), was partly responsible for the negative performance on Tuesday.

Unlike the previous when one sector recorded positive performance, all sectors closed in red. The NSE Oil & Gas Index led the losers’ chart, shedding 2.6 per cent . The NSE Banking Index went down by 0.62 per cent as a result of losses by GTBank (1.4 per cent) and Zenith Bank (1.3 per cent).

The NSE Consumer Goods Index trailed with a 0.31 per cent decline due to further losses in Nigerian Breweries (-0.4 per cent) and Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc (-1.9 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Insurance Index fell by 0.2 per cent on the back of AXA Mansard’s depreciation (-1.9 per cent). The NSE Industrial Goods Index closed 0.1 per cent lower.

The Nigerian equities market returned to positive territory yesterday on bargain hunting, pushing the NSE All-Share Index by 0.07 per cent to close at 25,496.71. Similarly, market capitalisation added N6.5 billion to close at N8.8 trillion, while year-to-date decline stood at 5.1 per cent.

The positive performance was majorly driven by gains in GTBank Plc, Nigerian Breweries Plc and FBN Holdings Plc. But Trans-nationwide Express Plc led the price gainers’ chart with 4.6 per cent, trailed by Fidson Healthcare Plc, which went up by 4.3 per cent.

Transcorp Plc and AIICO Insurance Plc appreciated by 4.1 per cent and 3.7 per cent respectively, just as FBN Holdings Plc, Oando Plc and Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc 3.2 per cent and 3.1 per cent in that order.

Conversely, Unilever Nigeria Plc led the price losers, shedding 5.0 per cent, trailed by Lafarge Africa Plc with 4.9 per cent. Ashaka Cement Plc, Nigerian Aviation Company Plc and Jaiz Bank Plc declined by 4.9 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively.

Sectoral performance showed that three sectors advanced, while two declined. The NSE Banking Index rose by 0.8 per cent following gains recorded by GTBank Plc (+1.7 per cent) and Zenith Bank Plc (+0.4 per cent).

The NSE Insurance Index appreciated by 0.5 per cent due to price appreciation in AIICO Insurance Plc (+3.8 per cent) and Continental Reinsurance Plc (+2.5 per cent), just as the NSE Consumer Goods Index gained 0.3 per cent bolstered by gains recorded by Nigerian Breweries Plc (+1.2 per cent) and Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc (+2.8 per cent).

Contrarily, the NSE Industrial Goods Index dipped 2.3 per cent as investors booked profit in Lafarge Africa (-5.0 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Oil & Gas Index shed 0.6 per cent on the back of price losses in Seplat (-2.0 per cent) and Mobil (-0.6 per cent).

The market sustained the positive performance for the second day, although marginally as the NSE ASI rose by 0.05 per cent to close at 25,510.01. The gains recorded in last two days of the week were not enough to wipe out the losses recorded the two days. Consequently, the market closed the week 0.92 per cent.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, investors traded 1.191 billion shares worth N6.037 billion in 11,820 compared with 786.176 million shares valued at N5.828 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 14,343 deals. The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.014 billion shares valued at N3.070 billion traded in 6,700 deals. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 51.888 million shares worth N1.581 billion in 2,025 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 47.517 million shares worth N66.904 million in 542 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Fidelity Bank Plc, FCMB Group Plc and Standard Trust Assurance Plc- accounted for 679.949 million shares worth N639.862 million in 1,622 deals, contributing 57.06 per cent and 10.60 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Also traded during the week were a total of 16 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N1,088.00 executed in one deal compared with a total of 1,510 units valued at N4,113.20 transacted the previous week in three deals.

A total of 4,800 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N4.892million were traded this week in 10 deals, compared with a total of 11,064 units valued at N10.256million transacted the preceding week in 21 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed 13 gainers lower than the 36 gainers equities of the previous week. Conversely, 37 equities depreciated in price, higher than 22 equities of the previous week.

Fidelity Bank Plc led the price gainers with 21.4 per cent, trailed by C & I Leasing Plc with 14.2 per cent. Transcorp Plc chalked up 5.3 per cent, just as Fidson Healthcare Plc appreciated by 5.2 per cent. International Breweries Plc, NPF Microfinance Bank Plc and Total Nigeria Plc went up 4.9 per cent, 4.8 per cent and 4.1 per cent in that order.

Other top price gainers were: UACN Property Development Company Plc (3.4 per cent); Caverton (3.3 per cent) and FBN Holdings Plc (2.8 per cent).

On the flipside, Dangote Sugary Refinery Plc led the price losers with 14.2 per cent. FCMB Group Plc shed 12.2 per cent, while Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc went down by 10 per cent.

Jaiz Bank Plc depreciated by 8.7 per cent, just as Dangote Flour Mills Plc and Oando Plc closed the week 7.4 per cent and 7.2 per cent lower respectively. Oando Plc, Unilever Nigeria Plc, Union Dicon Salt plc and Ashaka Cement Plc declined by 5.2 per cent, 5.0 per cent, 4.9 per cent and 4.9 per cent in that order.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Crude Oil

Oil Prices Gain Amid U.S. Production Woes and Rate Cut Expectations

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Crude gained on Tuesday following Hurricane Francine disruption in the U.S. and the possibility of an interest rate cut in the U.S.

These two factors have boosted traders’ sentiment in the oil market despite concerns about global demand and slowing growth in China.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 36 cents, or 0.5% to $73.11 per barrel while the U.S. crude oil gained 53 cents, or 0.8% to settle $70.62 per barrel.

Both closed higher in the previous trading session as the market reacted to the impact of Hurricane Francine on U.S. Gulf Coast production.

More than 12% of crude oil production and 16% of natural gas output in the Gulf of Mexico remained offline as of Monday, according to the U.S.

According to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE), the disruption has raised concerns over short-term supply shortages and contribution to the upward momentum in prices.

Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG said “while the market is seeing near-term stabilization, the fragile state of China’s economy and anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision could limit further gains.”

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to announce a rate cut later this week, with futures markets pricing in a 69% chance of a 50-basis-point reduction.

Lower interest rates are favourable for oil prices as they reduce borrowing costs and encourage economic growth.

“Growing expectations of an aggressive rate cut are lifting sentiment across the commodities sector”, stated ANZ analysts.

The market, however, remains cautious due to lower-than-expected demand from China, the world’s largest importer of the commodity.

Chinese data released over the weekend showed that China’s oil refinery output dropped for the fifth consecutive month in August. This signals weaker domestic demand and declining export margins.

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Crude Oil

New Petrol Prices to Range Between N857 and N865 Following NNPC-Dangote Deal

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Petrol

Hopes for cheaper Premium Motor Spirit (PM), otherwise known as petrol, rose, last night, as indications emerged that the product may sell for between N857 and N865 per litre after the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) starts lifting the product from Dangote Refinery today.

It was learnt that the NNPCL, as the sole off-taker of petrol from the refinery, is projected to lift the product at N960/N980 per litre and sell to marketers at N840/N850 to enable Nigerians to get it at between N857 and N865 at the pump at filling stations.

However, whether uniform product prices would apply at filling stations nationwide was unclear.

As of yesterday, petrol sold at N855 per litre at NNPCL retail stations in Lagos and it was the cheapest anyone could buy the product while major marketers sold around N920.

At independent marketers’ outlets, the price was over N1,000. Elsewhere across the country, PMS sold for more than N1,200 per litre.

Sources said the new arrangement from the NNPCL and Dangote Refinery negotiations, spanning more than one week, would allow Nigerians to get petrol at between N857 and N865 per litre and represents an average under-recovery of about N130 to NNPCL.

President Bola Tinubu, Sunday Vanguard was made to understand by a Presidency source, made it clear to the negotiating parties that “the price at which petrol would be sold to Nigerians should not be such that would place heavy financial burden on them while dealing with the new reality of the prevailing price”.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has, meanwhile, expressed optimism that the deal would reduce the pressure on foreign exchange (FX) demands and shore up the value of the Naira – presently, between 30% and 40% of FX demands go into the importation of PMS.

Chief Corporate Communications Officer, NNPC Ltd., Olufemi Soneye, who confirmed the readiness of the company to start lifting petrol today, told Sunday Vanguard, yesterday: “NNPC Ltd has started deploying our trucks and vessels to the Dangote Refinery to lift PMS in preparation for the scheduled lifting date of September 15th, as set by the refinery.

“Our trucks and personnel are already on-site, ready to begin lifting. We expect more trucks, and the deployment will continue throughout the weekend so we can start loading as soon as the refinery begins operations on September 15, 2024.”

Soneye hinted that at least 100 trucks had already arrived at the refinery for the petrol lifting, adding that the number of trucks could increase to 300 by Saturday evening.

On his part, Executive Secretary, of Depot and Petroleum Products Marketers Association of Nigeria (DAPPMAN), Olufemi Adewole, said: “We have been lifting diesel (AGO) and aviation fuel (jet fuel) and we look forward to lifting petrol (PMS).”

On pricing, he said: “We await clarity in respect of the pricing mode, and once that is clarified, we’ll do the needful towards meeting the energy needs of Nigerians.”

Yesterday, Edun, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy said the structuring of the NNPCL, Dangote Refinery deal in Naira would assist in reducing pressure on the local currency.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Surge as Hurricane Francine Disrupts U.S. Gulf Production, Brent and WTI See Gains

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil prices rose on Friday, extending a rally sparked by output disruptions in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, where Hurricane Francine forced producers to evacuate platforms before it hit the coast of Louisiana.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is priced, rose by 34 cents, or 0.5%, to $72.31 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose by 38 cents, or 0.6%, to $69.35 a barrel.

If those gains hold, both benchmarks will break a streak of weekly declines, despite a rough start that saw Brent crude dip below $70 a barrel on Tuesday for the first time since late 2021. At current levels, Brent is set for a weekly increase of about 1.7%, and WTI is set to gain over 2%.

Oil producers assessed damages and conducted safety checks on Thursday as they prepared to resume operations in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, as estimates emerged of the loss of supply from Francine.

UBS analysts forecast output in the region in September will fall by 50,000 barrels-per-day (bpd) month-over-month, while FGE analysts estimated a 60,000 bpd drop to 1.69 million bpd.

The supply shock helped oil prices recover from a sharp selloff earlier in the week, with demand concerns dragging benchmarks to multi-year lows.

Both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and the International Energy Agency this week lowered their demand growth forecasts, citing economic struggles in China, the world’s largest oil importer.

A shift towards lower-carbon fuels is also weighing on China’s oil demand, speakers at the APPEC conference said this week.

Official data showed nearly 42% of the region’s oil output was shut-in as of Thursday.

China’s crude oil imports averaged 3.1% lower this year from January through August compared to the same period last year, customs data showed on Tuesday.

“Flagging domestic oil demand in China has become a hot topic and was further underlined by disappointing August trade data,” FGE analysts said in a note to clients.

Demand concerns have grown in the United States as well. U.S. gasoline and distillate futures traded at multi-year lows this week, as analysts highlighted weaker-than-expected demand in the top petroleum consuming country.

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