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Nigeria’s FX Inflow Rose to $33.02bn

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US Dollar - Investorsking.com
  • Nigeria’s FX Inflow Rose to $33.02bn in Second Half of 2016

The provisional cumulative inflow of foreign exchange (FX) into the Nigerian economy rose to US$33.02 billion as of December 2016, representing a 13.3 percent increase above the level in the first half of last year.

Of this amount, inflow through autonomous sources accounted for 62.3 percent, while inflow through the Central Bank of Nigerian (CBN) accounted for 37.7 percent.

The CBN disclosed this in its Financial Stability Report as of December 2016, obtained on its website Thursday.

According to the report, total FX outflow from the economy rose by 14.8 per cent to US$13.64 billion from the level in the first half of 2016. The rise in outflow was mainly attributed to the increase in the interbank forwards settled in the second half of 2016. The economy recorded a net FX inflow of US$19.38 billion, representing 12.21 per cent rise above the level in the first half of 2016.

The total autonomous inflow rose by 0.7 per cent to US$20.58 billion, compared to the level in the first half of 2016 due mainly to rise in invisibles by 2.5 per cent, of which 62.3 per cent was accounted for by ordinary domiciliary accounts. FX inflow through the CBN rose by 42.9 per cent above the level in the first half of 2016 to US$12.45 billion, due to increases in crude oil and non-oil export earnings. Receipts from crude oil sales rose by 22.7 per cent to US$5.66 billion, in the first half of 2016. This was attributed to the gradual increase in domestic production and international crude oil prices. The non-oil receipts rose by 65.5 per cent to US$6.79 billion in the second half of 2016, due mainly to increase in other official receipts.

“Foreign exchange outflow through the CBN rose by 15.5 per cent to US$12.39 billion, above the level in the first half of 2016. Of this amount, interbank utiliation accounted for US$7.99 billion, of which inter-bank forwards, inter-bank sales and others stood at US$4.17 billion (52.14 per cent), US$0.72 billion (8.92 per cent) and US$3.11 billion (38.9 per cent), respectively.

“Overall, the total foreign exchange transactions through the Bank resulted in a net inflow of US$0.58 billion in the second half of 2016, compared with a net inflow of US$0.96 billion in the corresponding half of 2015. This is, however, in contrast to a net outflow of US$2.03 billion in the first half of 2016,” it added.

Also, the report showed that the federal government retained revenue for the second half of 2016 increased to N2.558 trillion, above the levels of N1.898 trillion recorded in the first half of 2016 and the half- year budget estimate of N2.025 trillion for 2016. The increase in the retained revenue relative to the first half was mainly attributed to increase in non-oil receipts.

The breakdown of the retained revenue showed that the federal government share of the federation account was N1.26 trillion (49.4 per cent); the VAT Pool Account, N90.7 billion (3.5 per cent); the federal government Independent Revenue, N267.8 billion (10.5 per cent); share of excess crude Account, N141.4 billion (5.5 per cent); Exchange Gain, N316.4 billion (12.4 per cent) while others (including NNPC Refund) accounted for the balance of N479.3 billion (18.7 per cent).

“The fiscal stance of increased spending to address the challenges of the negative growth (recession) led to higher government expenditure in the second half of 2016. Consequently, federal government expenditure grew by 10.3 per cent to N4,024.8 billion, above N3,650.33 billion in the first half of 2016.

“It was, also higher than the budgeted expenditure of N3,127.27 billion for the second half of 2016. Recurrent expenditure component of the total expenditure accounted for N3,496.5 billion (86.9 per cent) while capital and statutory transfers components accounted for N264.9 billion (6.6 per cent) and N263.4 billion (6.5 per cent), respectively,” it added.

The fiscal operations of the federal government in the second half of 2016 resulted in an overall deficit of N1.467 trillion, compared with the N1.752 trillion recorded in the first half of 2016 and the budgeted deficit of N1.102 trillion for the second half of 2016.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Nigeria’s N3.3tn Power Sector Rescue Package Unveiled

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President Bola Tinubu has given the green light for a comprehensive N3.3 trillion rescue package.

This ambitious initiative seeks to tackle the country’s mounting power sector debts, which have long hindered the efficiency and reliability of electricity supply across the nation.

The unveiling of this rescue package represents a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s quest for a sustainable energy future. With power outages being a recurring nightmare for both businesses and households, the need for decisive action has never been more urgent.

At the heart of the rescue package are measures aimed at settling the staggering debts accumulated within the power sector. President Tinubu has approved a phased approach to debt repayment, encompassing cash injections and promissory notes.

This strategic allocation of funds aims to provide immediate relief to power-generating companies (Gencos) and gas suppliers, while also ensuring long-term financial stability within the sector.

Chief Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, revealed details of the rescue package at the 8th Africa Energy Marketplace held in Abuja.

Speaking at the event themed, “Towards Nigeria’s Sustainable Energy Future,” Adelabu emphasized the government’s commitment to eliminating bottlenecks and fostering policy coherence within the power sector.

One of the key highlights of the rescue package is the allocation of funds from the Gas Stabilisation Fund to settle outstanding debts owed to gas suppliers.

This critical step not only addresses the immediate liquidity concerns of gas companies but also paves the way for enhanced cooperation between gas suppliers and power generators.

Furthermore, the rescue package includes provisions for addressing the legacy debts owed to power-generating companies.

By utilizing future royalties and income streams from the gas sub-sector, the government aims to provide a sustainable solution that incentivizes investment in power generation capacity.

The announcement of the N3.3 trillion rescue package comes amidst ongoing efforts to revitalize Nigeria’s power sector.

Recent initiatives, including tariff adjustments and regulatory reforms, underscore the government’s determination to overcome longstanding challenges and enhance the sector’s effectiveness.

However, challenges persist, as highlighted by Barth Nnaji, a former Minister of Power, who emphasized the need for a robust transmission network to support increased power generation.

Nnaji’s advocacy for a super grid underscores the importance of infrastructure development in ensuring the reliability and stability of Nigeria’s power supply.

In light of these developments, stakeholders have welcomed the unveiling of the N3.3 trillion rescue package as a decisive step towards transforming Nigeria’s power sector.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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