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Nedbank Downgrades Ecobank Stocks

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Ecobank - Investors King
  • Nedbank Downgrades Ecobank Stocks

South Africa’s Nedbank booked a $293 million writedown on the value of its stake in sub-Saharan lender Ecobank on Tuesday and reported its slowest growth in annual profit since 2009.

Ecobank Transnational Inc’s operations in central and west Africa are exposed to some economies that have been pressured by the commodity price slide and unfavourable currency swings since Nedbank bought a 20 percent stake for $500 million in 2014.

The writedown reduces Ecobank’s value on Nedbank’s books to 4 billion rand ($308 million) from 7.8 billion rand, the South African lender said in a statement.

Nedbank said, however, that Ecobank remained vital to its expansion elsewhere on the African continent, where Ecobank has operations in nearly 40 countries outside its home market.

“It’s obvious that we would be disappointed with the performance of our Ecobank investment to date,” Nedbank Chief Executive Mike Brown told reporters.

“But we still, however, remain optimistic on the long-term growth prospects in the rest of Africa.”

Brown forecast another tough year for Ecobank, which makes the bulk of its earnings in Nigeria, before improving in 2018 and beyond. Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy, has been hit by a currency crisis and its first recession in 25 years following the slide in oil prices since the middle of 2014.

Shares in Nedbank were little changed at 244 rand at 1300 GMT, more than 40 percent below where they should trade based on the most likely earnings trajectory, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine intrinsic valuation model.

Nedbank, a subsidiary of Anglo-South African conglomerate Old Mutual, said its diluted headline earnings per share (EPS) rose 4.8 percent to 2,350 cents in 2016, the slowest pace of growth since 2009 when its EPS fell by nearly a third.

Headline EPS is the main measure of profit in South Africa as it strips out certain one-off items.

Nedbank also said its results were affected by slack demand for loans as slowing economic growth and higher interest rates hit consumption and investment spending across Africa.

Brown forecast at least 7 percent growth in 2017 annual headline EPS, saying a peak in interest rate cycle in South Africa would lift demand or loans.

Old Mutual is in the middle of an overhaul in which it will carve itself into four parts and cut its 54 percent stake in Nedbank to a minority holding to simplify its structure.

Nedbank competes with Standard Bank, FirstRand, Barclays Africa and Capitec.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Banking Sector

Nigeria Sees N572 Trillion Cashless Boom as Instant Transfers Surge, PoS Transactions Decline

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Nigeria Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS) reported a N572 trillion cashless boom due to an increase in electronic instant transfers in the country, resulting in a decline in point of sale (POS) transactions.

On Thursday, 26th of August, 2024, NIBSS revealed that electronic instant transfer has increased by 84.37 percent to the N572.63 trillion reported in the first seven months of 2024.

In 2023, NIBSS reported that cashless payments had risen by 55 percent to N600 trillion cashless transactions from N387 trillion in 2022.

The statistics were based on NIBSS cashless transactions tracking across instant payments and PoS channels which recorded N10.73 trillion as the total value of point of sale (PoS) transactions for 2023, compared to N8.39 trillion recorded in 2022.

It was also reported that a 58 percent increase in smartphone penetration in urban areas as of 2022 made mobile applications the preferred method for conducting transactions, driving online transfers, and relegating ATM transactions and PoS usage.

“Everyone accepts transfers now, even people that sell in traffic,” said Temiloluwa Lawal, a tech expert.

“Even Keke drivers are accepting transfers,” Daniel Ishie, a mobile money agent, added.

Although, PoS transactions, had been a leading force when the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) introduced its Naira redesign policy and withdrawal limits in 2022. Yet, there was an 8.19 percent decline to N6.23 trillion over the same period.

However, as of July 2024, there is an 802.93 percent to 4.06 million increase in the number of registered PoS terminals from 449,998 in January 2020.

According to the 2024 Nigerian Payments Report, “POS transactions play a pivotal role in providing enhanced convenience, speed, and security, contributing to the ongoing transformative shift towards heightened adoption of cashless transactions in Nigeria.”

“It is evident that the tremendous growth of Mobile App Transfers, Online Transfers, MMOs, and the NIP together paint a clear picture that Nigeria’s payment system is becoming much more cashless and much more dependent,” Zone remarked.

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CPPE Urges CBN to Halt Rate Hikes, Citing Investor and Debtor Burdens

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Interbank rate

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has warned the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and its Monetary Policy Committee of the dangers of further interest rate hikes on Nigerians.

While the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee has yet to decide on a possible interest rate hike, CPPE Executive Director, Dr. Muda Yusuf, has urged the apex bank to refrain from raising the country’s interest rates.

During an interview monitored by Investors King on Monday, Yusuf revealed that any further increase in interest rates would do more harm than good for investors.

Also, the CPPE director noted that debtors in the country would face significant consequences if interest rates were to increase further.

The outcome of the MPC’s decision will be known on Tuesday, following the conclusion of its 297th meeting.

However, Yusuf remains optimistic, especially since inflation is gradually declining, although the prices of goods have yet to fall.

According to him, “We expect a pause in interest rate hikes. At least inflation is dropping, although prices in the market are still high.

“We don’t expect the CBN to raise interest rates further. If they do, it will cause more harm to investors in the country.

“Those who want to borrow money or have already borrowed money will be the ones to suffer from another rate hike.

“We expect a pause in interest rate hikes so that we can assess how far fiscal policy measures can go in reducing inflation,” Yusuf added.

 

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EU Pledges €5.4 Million in Aid for 4.4 Million Flood Victims Across Six African Nations

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Flooding in Lagos

Following the flood that rendered over 4.4 million people homeless in six African nations, the European Union (EU) has announced €5.4 million in humanitarian aid to support verified victims.

This was confirmed in a statement made available to the press on Monday, September 23, 2024.

The beneficiary countries include Chad, Niger, Nigeria, Cameroon, Mali, and Burkina Faso.

According to the union, the sum is to help the most affected populations in the listed nations.

“The European Union has released €5.4 million in humanitarian aid to help the most affected populations in the aftermath of the devastating floods in Chad, Niger, Nigeria, Cameroon, Mali and Burkina Faso”, the statement reads.

“The funding will support humanitarian partners in providing immediate aid, addressing urgent needs such as food, shelter, access to clean water, sanitation, and other essential services in the most affected areas.”

“The amount will be distributed as follows: Chad €1,000,000; Niger €1,350,000; Nigeria €1,100,000; Mali € 1,000,000; Cameroon €650,000 Burkina Faso €300,000.”

“The funding comes in addition to €232 million in humanitarian assistance already allocated to these countries so far this year,” the EU added.

The EU Commissioner for Crisis Management, Janez Lenarčič, lamented the increased rainfall in the Sahel and Lake Chad regions.

The commissioner who revealed that the recent flooding has displaced millions and caused widespread suffering noted that the EU is mobilising all means at its disposal to help the most vulnerable.

According to the commissioner, “Excessive rainfall has lashed the Sahel and Lake Chad regions with unprecedented impact, displacing millions and causing widespread suffering and damage.

“We are mobilising all means at our disposal to help the most vulnerable in the flood-stricken countries, so they can receive much-needed relief.”

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