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Housing Market May Take Time to Stabilise – Experts

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  • Housing Market May Take Time to Stabilise

Following the current economic recession and its attendant effects on the real estate sector, experts have said that it may take time for the housing market to stabilise despite predictions that the economy will pick up this year.

A lecturer and member of faculty, Lagos Business School, Dr. Doyin Salami, said at the International Real Estate Federation’s Annual Award and Business Dinner 2017, that real estate depended directly on economic activities to grow.

He said, “It may probably take another two years for the housing market to become productive looking at the present economy and the rate at which already built houses up for sale or rent are not occupied.

“The housing sector needs to look on how to capture more information and data to help those who want to invest to have a holistic approach on the sector; it is a major challenge that the professionals in the sector needs to solve. During inflation, the sector also suffers because it becomes difficult for suppliers to get commodities at reasonable prices, which create another fundamental issue.

“The National Bureau of Statistics released a new estimate that Nigeria is now 190 million people; and looking at where Nigeria and some couple of countries will be in 2100, Nigeria will be the third most populous country in the world and that means commercial real estate, industrial real estate and residential real estate needs to be built.”

He said the sector had been in decline and had contracted consecutively for five quarters.

The Lagos State Commissioner for Housing, Gbolahan Lawal, said professionals in the real estate sector as well as the government should make building the sector a priority.

Lawal said the Lagos State Government planned to invest more in the sector, adding, “We have decided to inject private capital into housing delivery in Lagos State.”

The President, FIABCI-Nigeria, Joseph Akhigbe, stated that real estate had been adversely affected by the prevailing economic situation.

“I am sure that in this brief period since the economy took a downturn, we have all witnessed the good, the bad and the ugly of the devaluation of the Nigerian currency, rising inflation, excess supply of property as a result of the economic downturn and surprising stable prices despite the sharp fall in the demand for property,” he said.

FIABCI Nigeria also honoured individuals and institutions it recognised as drivers of growth in the sector at the event.

According to Akhigbe, it is an annual event through which the association provides insights on real estate and contributes to the national economic space.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Manufacturers Grapple with Losses Amid Economic Strain

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In the first three months of 2024, some of Nigeria’s major manufacturers found themselves navigating treacherous waters as financial losses mounted amidst economic turbulence.

According to data compiled by BusinessDay, rising interest rates and a further devaluation of the naira contributed to the woes of these industrial giants.

The latest financial reports from 13 listed consumer goods firms paint a grim picture, with seven of them collectively recording a staggering loss of N388.6 billion in Q1.

Names such as International Breweries Plc, Cadbury Nigeria Plc, and Nigerian Breweries Plc were among those that bore the brunt of the downturn.

On the flip side, a few companies managed to buck the trend. BUA Foods Plc, Unilever Nigeria Plc, and Dangote Cement Plc reported a combined profit of N171.9 billion, showcasing resilience amidst the challenging economic landscape.

While the overall revenue of these manufacturers saw an impressive 79 percent increase to N2.27 trillion, it was overshadowed by soaring financing costs.

In Q1 alone, finance costs skyrocketed to N616.5 billion from N65.8 billion in the same period in 2023.

Analysts attribute these mounting losses to the confluence of factors, including the devaluation of the naira and escalating interest rates. With the naira experiencing nearly a 30 percent devaluation this year alone, coupled with a 40 percent devaluation last June, companies faced intensified pressure on their margins.

Moreover, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s decision to raise the monetary policy rate to 24.75 percent in March further exacerbated the situation.

This marked the second consecutive increase, following a 400 basis points hike in February, aimed at curbing inflation.

The adverse effects of these economic headwinds were felt across various sectors. Nestle reported the highest finance cost of N218.8 billion, followed closely by Dangote Cement and Dangote Sugar Refinery.

Commenting on the challenging business environment, Uaboi Agbebaku, the company secretary at Nigerian Breweries, highlighted how increased interest rates and FX volatility led to a staggering 391 percent rise in net losses compared to the same quarter in 2023.

Looking ahead, manufacturers remain cautiously optimistic but vigilant. Thabo Mabe, managing director at NASCON, emphasized the importance of navigating the turbulent waters while executing robust strategies to ensure sustained growth.

As Nigeria grapples with economic uncertainties, the resilience of its manufacturing sector will play a pivotal role in shaping the nation’s economic trajectory.

However, concerted efforts from both the public and private sectors will be needed to steer the industry towards stability and growth.

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Shell Nigeria’s $1.09 Billion Tax and Royalty Payments Power Economic Growth

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Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited (SPDC) and Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) paid a sum of $1.09 billion in corporate taxes and royalties to the Nigerian government in 2023.

This figure, revealed in the recently published 2023 Shell Briefing Notes, shows Shell’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s development through substantial financial contributions.

According to the briefing notes, SPDC disbursed $442 million in taxes and royalties, while SNEPCo remitted $649 million.

Despite a decrease from the $1.36 billion paid in 2022, these payments highlight Shell’s continued role as a key contributor to Nigeria’s revenue generation efforts.

Osagie Okunbor, Managing Director and Country Chair of Shell Companies in Nigeria said “Shell companies in Nigeria will continue to contribute to the country’s economic growth through the revenue we generate and the employment opportunities we create by supporting the development of local businesses.”

The briefing notes also provided insights into Shell’s ongoing operations and initiatives in Nigeria. The company’s investments span more than six decades, with a focus on powering progress and promoting socio-economic development.

Through collaborations with stakeholders and communities, Shell aims to provide cost-effective and cleaner energy solutions while fostering sustainable growth.

“It is important to emphasize that Shell is not leaving Nigeria and will remain a major partner of the country’s energy sector through its deep-water and integrated gas businesses,” Okunbor reiterated, underscoring Shell’s long-term commitment to Nigeria’s energy landscape.

Shell’s contributions extend beyond financial payments, encompassing initiatives aimed at enhancing local capacity building, fostering job creation, and promoting social development. By prioritizing safe operations and environmental stewardship, Shell seeks to align its business objectives with Nigeria’s sustainable development goals.

As Nigeria navigates economic challenges and seeks avenues for growth, Shell’s substantial tax and royalty payments serve as a testament to the company’s enduring partnership with the Nigerian government and its commitment to driving economic progress.

Through continued collaboration and investment, Shell endeavors to play a pivotal role in Nigeria’s journey towards prosperity and sustainability.

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Federal Government Sets Two-Month Deadline for PoS Operators to Register with CAC

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Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC)- Investors King

The Federal Government, through the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC), has issued a stringent directive mandating Point of Sales (PoS) operators to register their agents, merchants, and individuals within a two-month timeframe.

The move comes as part of efforts to comply with legal requirements and align with the directives of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The decision was reached during a crucial meeting between representatives of the fintech industry and the Registrar-General of the CAC, Hussaini Ishaq Magaji, held in Abuja on Monday.

With over 1.9 million PoS terminals deployed nationwide by merchants and individuals, the registration requirement aims to bolster consumer protection measures and fortify the integrity of the financial ecosystem.

According to the Registrar-General, the initiative is in line with Section 863, Subsection 1 of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) 2020, as well as the 2013 CBN guidelines on agent banking.

Speaking on the matter, Hussaini Ishaq Magaji emphasized that the registration deadline, set for July 7, 2024, is not intended to target specific groups or individuals but rather serves as a proactive measure to safeguard businesses and ensure regulatory compliance across the board.

In a statement released by the commission, it was highlighted that the collaboration between the Corporate Affairs Commission and fintech companies underscores a mutual commitment to upholding industry standards and fostering a conducive environment for financial transactions.

The decision to implement this registration requirement follows recent concerns over fraudulent activities involving PoS terminals, which accounted for 26.37% of fraud incidents in 2023, according to a report by the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System Plc (NIBSS).

The directive from the Federal Government comes amidst a broader crackdown on financial irregularities, including the prohibition of cryptocurrency trading and heightened scrutiny of fintech operations by regulatory authorities.

Last week, major fintech firms were instructed by the CBN to halt onboarding new customers and to warn against cryptocurrency trading on their platforms.

The move by the CBN is part of a larger effort to enhance regulatory oversight and combat illicit financial activities, including money laundering and terrorism financing.

Prior to this directive, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) had obtained court orders to freeze numerous bank accounts allegedly involved in illegal foreign exchange transactions.

In response to the directive, fintech firms have pledged to collaborate with regulatory authorities to ensure compliance with the registration requirement.

However, they have also stressed the importance of comprehensive sensitization efforts to educate stakeholders about the implications of non-compliance and the benefits of regulatory adherence.

As the deadline approaches, PoS operators are expected to expedite the registration process and ensure that all agents, merchants, and individuals are duly registered with the Corporate Affairs Commission, demonstrating a collective commitment to maintaining the integrity of Nigeria’s financial system.

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