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Global Stocks Drop and Gold Gains on Trump Concern

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Gold - Investors King
  • Global Stocks Drop and Gold Gains on Trump Concern

Global stocks slumped and gold advanced as Donald Trump’s firing of the U.S. acting attorney general added to concern over the unpredictability of decisions in the new administration.

The MSCI All-Country World Index headed for a fourth straight loss and gold rose for a third day as turmoil from Trump’s Friday immigration order continued to unsettle markets. S&P 500 Index futures declined, after the biggest intraday loss for the benchmark gauge since the November election. Shares in Tokyo maintained losses after the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged. Oil headed toward its first monthly decline since October.

The firing of Sally Yates added to jitters among investors sparked by Trump’s imposition of a ban on U.S. entry for passport holders from a number of Muslim-majority nations. Along with protectionist moves on the trade front, the news raises the risk of foreign investors diminishing their appetite for American assets. Trump dismissed Yates after she said his order wasn’t consistent with the Justice Department’s “solemn obligation to always seek justice and stand for what is right.”

“Trump’s isolationist policies mean increasing risks associated with U.S. assets,” said Imre Speizer, a market strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Wellington. The firing “certainly adds to the case for higher U.S. risks,” he said.

The equity market moves represent the biggest investor rebuke yet to the new administration’s preferences, after U.S. stocks had staged one of the best-ever post-election rallies on speculation Trump’s policies would stoke the economy. Meantime, the BOJ’s decision to keep its key policy tools unchanged came as little surprise, with all 42 economists surveyed by Bloomberg this month having predicted no change.

What’s coming up in the markets:

  • The Federal Reserve announces its policy decision on Wednesday. Like the BOJ, it is expected to leave lending rates where they are, though the Fed’s statement will be parsed for any reading on Trump’s impact on the world’s largest economy.
  • Trump plans to announce his nomination to the Supreme Court Tuesday, a move likely to dominate headlines and perhaps delay the presentation of further details on spending policies.
  • Apple Inc., Facebook Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. are among the major U.S. companies due to report results this week. Of the S&P 500 names to report so far, 73 percent have topped profit estimates.

Here are the main moves in markets on Tuesday:

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 dropped 0.3 percent as of 8:11 a.m. in London. The benchmark gauge fell 0.6 percent on Monday, declining as much as 1.2 percent for the biggest intraday drop since Nov. 1, before staging a late-day comeback. It’s still up 1.9 percent for January and is higher by 6.6 percent since Trump’s election.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 index was little changed, with banks and insurers posting the biggest declines while retailers gained.
  • Japan’s Topix fell 1.4 percent, with almost all its losses coming before the BOJ decision. NEC Corp. tumbled 17 percent, the most ever, after cutting its full-year profit forecast. Sony Corp. lost 2.3 percent after taking a $1 billion writedown in its movie business.
  • The MSCI All-Country World Index is headed toward a fourth straight drop, its longest losing streak since November. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.8 percent, poised for the biggest retreat since Dec. 15, after reaching the highest level since September on Monday.
  • China, Hong Kong and Vietnam markets remained closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent. The gauge is trading near the lowest level in two months, and is down 2 percent for the year.
  • The euro climbed 0.2 percent to $1.0713.
  • The yen rose 0.1 percent to 113.65 per dollar, paring an earlier advance of 0.5 percent. The currency jumped 1.2 percent in the previous session. The BOJ left its inflation forecasts largely untouched as it waits to see the impacts of a recent decline in the yen and the policies of Trump’s administration.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 0.5 percent to $52.38 a barrel, after losing more than 1 percent during each of the previous two sessions. Crude is heading for a monthly drop of 2.7 percent as signs that U.S. supply is expanding offset OPEC’s production curbs.
  • Gold added 0.4 percent to $1,200.59 an ounce, after rising 0.4 percent the previous session.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries dropped one basis point to 2.48 percent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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Gold

Gold Prices Slide Below $2,300 as Investors Digest Fed’s Rate Outlook

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gold bars - Investors King

Amidst a backdrop of global economic shifts and geopolitical recalibration, gold prices dipped below the $2,300 price level.

The decline comes as investors carefully analyse signals from the Federal Reserve regarding its future interest rate policies.

After reaching record highs earlier this month, gold suffered its most daily decline in nearly two years, shedding 2.7% on Monday.

The recent retreat reflects a multifaceted landscape where concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East have eased, coupled with indications that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a prolonged period.

Richard Grace, a senior currency analyst and international economist at ITC Markets, noted that tactical short-selling likely contributed to the decline, especially given the rapid surge in gold prices witnessed recently.

Despite this setback, bullion remains up approximately 15% since mid-February, supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, central bank purchases, and robust demand from Chinese consumers.

The shift in focus among investors now turns toward forthcoming US economic data, including key inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve.

These data points are anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory.

Over recent weeks, policymakers have adopted a more hawkish tone in response to consistently strong inflation reports, leading market participants to adjust their expectations regarding the timing of future interest rate adjustments.

As markets recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy, the prospect of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment poses challenges for gold, which traditionally does not offer interest-bearing returns.

Spot gold prices dropped by 1.2% to $2,298.67 an ounce, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remaining relatively stable. Silver, palladium, and platinum also experienced declines following gold’s retreat.

The ongoing interplay between economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies continues to shape the trajectory of precious metal markets.

While gold faces near-term headwinds, its status as a safe-haven asset and store of value ensures that it remains a focal point for investors navigating uncertain global dynamics.

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