Finance

Stock Market Rebounds on Dividend Expectations

Published

7 years ago

January 30, 2017

Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

Stock Market Rebounds on Dividend Expectations

The Nigerian equities market returned to positive territory last week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 0.40 per cent compared with a decline of 0.39 percent the previous week.

Despite the release of poor quarterly corporate performance by some companies, investors ignored those results and took position ahead of dividend payment for the year ended December 31, 2016.

Consequently, the NSE ASI and market capitalisation appreciated by 0.40 per cent to close the week at 26,328.22 and N9.059 trillion respectively. Similarly, all other Indices finished higher during the week with the exception of the NSE Premium Index that depreciated by 0.13 per cent. Investors were upbeat last week, with the NSE ASI recording gains in four out of the five sessions.

Daily Market performance

Trading resumed for the week last Monday market yesterday resumed the week on a positive note as the NSE ASI appreciated by 0.03 per cent to close at 26,231.37. Market analysts at Meristem Securities Limited, attributed the positive trading to gains by large capitalised stocks.

“We attribute the day’s performance to the positive sentiments in the market, specifically on some large cap stocks. We expect this trend to continue into the week, as we anticipate more bargain hunting activities on counters trading below their intrinsic values,” they said.

A total of 19 stocks appreciated compared with 15 that declined in value. UACN Property Development Company (UPDC) Plc led the price gainers’ chart, advancing by 4.86 per cent to close at N3.02 per share.

UPDC is planning to raise about N5 billion from the capital market through a rights issue of 1.719 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at N3.00 per share on the basis of one new share for every one share already held.

The second day of the week witnessed a bearish trading with the index shedding 0.05 per cent to be at 26,217.54. Similarly, market capitalisation shed N4.8 billion to close at N9.0 trillion.

Shares tanked as the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 14 per cent. The MPC, which met on Monday and Tuesday voted unanimously to maintain status quo by retaining the: MPR at 14 per cent; Cash Reserve Ratio at 22.5 per cent and Liquidity Ratio at 30 per cent.

However, market operators said retaining the MPR at 14 per cent will make the fixed income securities remain more attractive to investors than the equities market.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited, said: “Given that the MPC maintained the status quo on all policy variables, we expect the weak market mood will continue to dictate the direction of activities in the equities market. However, we advise investors to continually assess the market for opportunities to take positions in fundamentally justified stocks ahead of the full year 2016 earnings season.”

Seven-Up-Bottling Company Plc and Custodian and Allied Plc led the price losers, depreciating by 4.9 per cent each to close at N101.40 and N3.63 respectively. NCR Nigeria Plc and NAHCO also shed 4.9 per cent apiece, just as Sterling Bank Plc and Transcorp Plc went down by 4.8 per cent and 4.7 per cent in that order.

On the positive side, Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 5.0 per cent to close at N4.62 per share. UAC of Nigeria Plc followed with 4.9 per cent, just as NPF Microfinance Bank Plc appreciated by 4.6 per cent.

In terms of sectoral performance, the NSE Banking Index, which had outperformed other sector indices for the most part of the year, dipped 1.1 per cent as investors booked profit in Zenith Bank Plc (-3.5 per cent) and United Bank for Africa Plc (-1.2 per cent).

The bulls regained control of the market on Wednesday even as investors staked N2.434 billion on 190 million shares in 2,896 deals.

The bulls pushed the NSE ASI to close 0.09 per cent higher at 26, 240.45.

The recovery in the market was attributed to the activities of bargain hunters who swooped on shares, making 21 equities to close higher while 16 declined. NASCON Allied Industries Plc led the price gainers with 4.9 per cent trailed by Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc with 4.6 per cent. Custodian and Allied Plc appreciated by 3.3 per cent, just as Oando Plc chalked up 2.3 per cent.

Conversely, Honeywell Four Mills Plc, Livestock Feeds Plc led the price losers with 4.9 per cent apiece. A.G Leventis Plc and UACN Property Development Company Plc shed 4.6 per cent each.

Sectoral performance indicates that only the NSE Banking Index depreciated by 0.08 per cent. The NSE Oil/Gas Index appreciated by 0.49 per cent, while NSE Industrial Goods Index, NSE Insurance Index and NSE Consumer Goods Index grew by 0.41 per cent, 0.14 per cent and 0.04 per cent.

The market sustained its positive performance for the second straight day on Thursday with the NSE ASI going up by 0.2 per cent. Interest showed by bargain hunters in Guaranty Trust Bank, Forte Oil Plc, Zenith Bank Plc, Oando Plc and Stanbic IBTC Holdings bolstered the bullish trading. Apart from the NSE ASI that appreciated by 0.2 per cent, market capitalisation of equities added N17 billion to close at N9.0 trillion.

It was mixed blessings for investors in Stanbic IBTC and Guinness Nigeria. While Stanbic IBTC rose by 1.1 per cent following news of smooth management changes, those in Guinness suffered a depreciation of 5.0 per cent. Guinness reported a N4.6 billion loss after tax for the six months ended December 31, 2016. Commenting on the results, Managing Director/Chief Executive of Guinness Nigeria, Mr. Peter Ndegwa, attributed the poor performance to the challenging economic environment and high finance charges.

Ndegwa said: “We now have both International Premium Spirits (IPS) and locally manufactured mainstream spirits within our portfolio and these contributed to revenue growth for the half year. Our accessible beer brands also continue to grow strongly.”

The equities market sustained the positive tempo on the last trading session for the week as the NSE ASI rising by 0.15 per cent to close at 26,2328,22 compared to an increase of 0.19 per cent recorded the previous day. Similarly, the market capitalisation increased by 0.19 per cent to close at N9.058 trillion. The marginal rise in the index and market cap were prompted by appreciation in the share prices of Total, Nestle, Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc, Zenith Bank and Stanbic IBTC. The value of equities traded also increase by 84.71 per cent to N2.194 billion from N1.187 billion transacted previously. The total volume of equities traded rose by 62.33 per cent to 238 million in 2,725 deals.

Market turnover

In all, investors traded 990.584 million shares worth N18.823 billion in 14,917 deals last week by investors on the floor of the exchange, compared with a total of 1.340 billion shares valued at N8.903 billion that were traded the previous week in 15,733 deals.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 664.647 million shares valued at N3.896 billion traded in 8,056 deals; thus contributing 67.10 per cent and 20.70 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 133.641 million shares worth N2.602 billion in 2,653 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 63.189 million shares worth N88.834 million in 635 deals.

Price gainers and losers

Meanwhile, 29 stocks appreciated last week lower than 30 equities of the previous week. Conversely, 30 equities depreciated in price, higher than 27 equities of the previous week. Unity Bank Plc led the price gainers with 15.6 per cent, trailed by Oando Plc with 12.4 per cent. Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc and Champion Breweries Plc garnered 8.5 and 8.3 per cent respectively. Other top price gainers included: Forte Oil Plc (8.1 per cent); Wema Bank Plc (7.8 per cent); NPF Microfinance Bank Plc (6.6 per cent); Total Nigeria Plc (6.4 per cent); Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc (4.2 per cent) and Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc (4.1 per cent).

On the contrary, Honeywell Flour Mills Plc led the bears, shedding 11.3 per cent, trailed by MRS Oil Nigeria Plc with 9.7 per cent. Sterling Bank Plc went down by 8.7 per cent, while Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc declined by 8.0 per cent. Livestock Feeds Plc and Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc went down by 6.9 per cent apiece just as A.G. Leventis Nigeria Plc, Custodian and Allied Plc, Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc and Trans Nationwide Express Plc lost 5.7 per cent, 5.2 per cent and 5.0 per cent in that order.

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Samed Olukoya

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

Published

3 days ago

May 14, 2024

Samed Olukoya

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

Published

3 days ago

May 14, 2024

Samed Olukoya

Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

Published

3 days ago

May 14, 2024

Samed Olukoya

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.