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Nigeria, India Trade Falls to $12bn in 2016

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  • Nigeria, India Trade Falls to $12bn in 2016

Indian Acting High Commissioner, Mr Kaiser Alam, has said that the trade volume between Nigeria and India dropped to $12 billion in 2016.

Alam said this at a reception to mark the 68th Republic Day of India in Abuja on Thursday.

The envoy explained that the trade volume dropped from $16 billion in 2015 to $12 billion in 2016 due to the fall in oil prices.

“The decrease was because of the change in oil prices; we were importing the same amount but the oil prices came down.

“Above all, our trade was the same and the trade surplus was in favour of Nigeria” he said.

He said that 2016 marked a significant year in bilateral relations, adding that both countries sought to expand relations in all areas.

“Our Vice President, Mr Hamid Ansari, came to Nigeria in September 2016 and cooperation in agriculture was discussed in great detail.

“Nigeria’s Ministry of Agriculture will visit India in March and we hope the ministry will utilise the visit to discuss cooperation further and implement ideas.

“We want a holistic approach in our relations so was we can increase our cooperation; we have a defence cooperation that is very robust.

“In bilateral relations, there is always room for improvement that is why our leaders visit to expand relations,” he said.

The envoy said that the scholarship slots for short term courses under the India Technical and Economic Cooperation had been increased from 200 to 300.

Alam added that the increase would open up more opportunities for Nigerian government officials to participate in such opportunities to improve their skills in various areas.

He recalled that India had released a Line of Credit (LoC) of $100 million dollars for power projects in Lagos, Kaduna and Enugu States.

The envoy added that this was in line with an agreement signed by both countries in 2014.

Also speaking, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mr Geoffrey Onyeama urged the Indian Government to facilitate the process of accessing the LoC by Nigeria and also Indian companies wishing to invest in Nigeria.

Onyeama said this would hasten Nigeria’s infrastructural development and economic diversification.

The minister was represented by Mr Mohammed Suleiman, Director, Regions of the ministry.

He also urged both countries to strengthen economic relations to reduce trade imbalance.

“This can be addressed through creating the enabling environment for Nigerian products to gain access into the Indian market and encouraging Indian companies operating in Nigeria to engage Nigerians in their companies, ” he said

The minister added that India emerged the largest buyer of Nigeria’s crude oil.

He said that more than 100 Indian companies operated in the country in different sectors and there were about one million Indian citizens in Nigeria.

“There are estimated 50,000 Nigerian citizens in India, majority of who are students”, he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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