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Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 – December 2

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Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 - December 2
  • Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 – December 2

The US economy continues its progress ahead of Federal Reserve rate decision next month, boosting the U.S dollar attractiveness against the majors, especially the Euro and the Yen. Validated by a series of positive economic data released last week, the markets continue to price-in December rate hike. While, businesses and investors are focusing on possible increase in productivity and a stock market rally in 2017, as the president-elect, Trump, plans to increase economic productivity by lowering taxes and increasing job creation.

Still, new home sales dropped from 574,000 in September to 563,000 in October, below general consensus of 591,000, but durable goods sold in the same month rose 4.8 percent. Making it four consecutive months that orders for U.S capital goods has climbed.  However, Trump’s intermittent comments have increased uncertainty and created doubt as to how economies affected by these policies plan to fight back, especially on the issue of Tran-Pacific Partnership trade deal negotiated for 7 years, one the president elected announced he will call off on January 20 — his first day in the office.

Nevertheless, the third quarter preliminary GDP, personal spending data needed to assess the health of consumer spending and ADP non-farm employment change due this week are important in the Fed’s rate decision and the U.S dollar attractiveness in December.

In China, outstanding loans rose from 28 percent to 40 percent of the GDP, as rising property values refused all effort by the policy makers to abate. This continuous rise in the values of real estate in major Chinese cities has led to speculation of possible real estate catastrophe should downturn started.

Even though, industrial profits surged 9.8 percent to 616.1 billion Yuan in October, continuous plunge of the Yuan is likely to sap companies’ profits in 2017 – especially those companies that rely on overseas imports for raw materials. While, increase in prices will bolster China’s inflation rate, mixed business sentiment is likely to weigh on new investment and economic outlook of 2017. This is very important to the Australian economy as China is its biggest trading partner.

In Japan, the Yen continued its decline against major currencies, after investors abandoned the haven currency for the U.S dollar. This is not entirely bad, in fact, it offers the Bank of Japan an opportunity to boost its low consumer prices and enhance its weak manufacturing sector due to low oversea orders (exports). Also, productivity and consumer spending are expected to pick up as exports revamp the manufacturing sector and improve wages.

Overall, global financial markets remain vibrant but with high level of uncertainty and risk. Traders are advised to pay attention to economic data and comments from policy makers as countries like France, Italy, etc. go to the poll. This week, I will be looking to trade EURGBP and my last week pick, AUDUSD and NZDUSD.

EURGBP

The Euro-area is yet to a find lasting solution to Greece financial woe, yet Italy is getting ready for referendum on December 4th. All these coupled with Brexit and weak manufacturing sector are affecting the embattled 19-nation single currency, and with the U.K positive economic data and monetary measures announced to be implemented in order to sustain current job creation and consumer spending. I expect the pound to continue its current progress against the euro this week.

Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 - December 2

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Last week, after a bearish continuation candlestick opened below 20-days moving average and close below 0.8584 support, this pair has confirmed its bearish stance. So, this week I will be looking to sell below 0.8471 support level for 0.8240 target.

AUDUSD

This pair rebounded mid-way, following Trump comments on Tran-Pacific Partnership trade deal last week. But for reasons like weak yuan and RBA comments on the danger of high foreign exchange rate on the economy, a situation that is likely to worsen once China imports from Australia start slowing down. Again, the U.S dollar is currently the most attractive currency and expected to remain so for a while, with this, I am compelled to maintain my bearish view on AUDUSD. This week, as long as 0.7505 resistance holds, I am bearish on this pair with 0.7203 as the target.

Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 - December 2

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NZDUSD

For a similar reason, I am bearish on NZDUSD this week as long as price remains below 0.7050, outside the ascending channel started over a year ago. I am bearish on NZDDUSD and will be looking to sell on sustained break of 0.6989 support for 0.6771 target.

Forex Weekly Outlook November 28 - December 2

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CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Naira

Naira Exchange Rates Today, Friday, July 23, 2021

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Naira Notes - Investors King

The Naira improves slightly against its global counterparts at the parallel market on Friday as liquidity increase marginally across key forex markets. The Naira gained N2 against the United States Dollar from N506 it traded last week Friday to N504 today, Friday, July 23, 2021 at the parallel market. Against the Euro and British Pound, the local currency exchanged at N595 and N705, respectively.

Economic uncertainty amid unclear policy direction has put a lid on Naira against global currencies, especially with Nigeria’s fiscal buffer lacking despite crude oil trading at an almost 2-year high from COVID-19 record-low. The drop in foreign reserves impeded the Central Bank of Nigeria’s ability to consistently intervene at the forex to prop the Naira value as usual.

At the bureau de change section, the Naira exchanged at N500, N705 and N595 to the United States Dollar, British Pound and the Euro, respectively. See the table below for Naira rates.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
23/07/2021 500/504 698/705 588/595 62/69 407/415 300/320
22/07/2021 498/503 695/703 585/590 62/69 407/415 300/320
19/07/2021 495/503 698/705 585/592 62/69 407/415 300/320
16/07/2021 502/506 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/315
15/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/320
14/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
13/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
12/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/595 62/69 407/415 300/320
09/07/2021 500/505 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/320
08/07/2021 499/503 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
07/07/2021 499/503 700/710 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
06/07/2021 499/503 698/710 590/595 62/69 407/417 300/325

Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
23/07/2021 490/500 694/705 580/595
22/07/2021 490/500 690/705 580/595
19/07/2021 490/500 690/707 580/595
16/07/2021 490/500 700/710 585/600
15/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
14/07/2021 490/500 698/710 590/595
13/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
12/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
09/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
08/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
07/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
06/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
05/07/2021 490/500 700/714 585/600

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

Date Currency Buying(NGN) Central(NGN) Selling(NGN)
7/22/2021 US DOLLAR 409.14 409.64 410.14
7/22/2021 POUNDS STERLING 563.1812 563.8695 564.5577
7/22/2021 EURO 481.8851 482.474 483.0629
7/22/2021 SWISS FRANC 444.7657 445.3093 445.8528
7/22/2021 YEN 3.7114 3.7159 3.7204
7/22/2021 CFA 0.7151 0.7251 0.7351
7/22/2021 WAUA 580.1991 580.9082 581.6172
7/22/2021 YUAN/RENMINBI 63.2522 63.3299 63.4077
7/22/2021 RIYAL 109.0778 109.2111 109.3444
7/22/2021 DANISH KRONA 64.7732 64.8524 64.9315

N.B: These tables are updated three times a day.

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Naira

Naira Exchange Rates Today, Thursday, July 22, 2021

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NAIRA - Investors King

Naira gained slightly across key foreign exchange markets during the holiday and opened at N503 against the United States Dollar at the Parallel market. Against the British Pound, it exchanged at N703 and N590 to Euro.

Despite series of policies deployed at arresting the falling Naira and curb economic stagnation, the crude oil-backed Naira continued to struggle against its global counterparts.

At the Bureau de Change section, the Naira traded at N500 to a United States Dollar, N705 to a British Pound and N595 to a Euro. See other Naira exchange rates below.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
22/07/2021 498/503 695/703 585/590 62/69 407/415 300/320
19/07/2021 495/503 698/705 585/592 62/69 407/415 300/320
16/07/2021 502/506 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/315
15/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/320
14/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
13/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
12/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/595 62/69 407/415 300/320
09/07/2021 500/505 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/320
08/07/2021 499/503 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
07/07/2021 499/503 700/710 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
06/07/2021 499/503 698/710 590/595 62/69 407/417 300/325

Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
22/07/2021 490/500 690/705 580/595
19/07/2021 490/500 690/707 580/595
16/07/2021 490/500 700/710 585/600
15/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
14/07/2021 490/500 698/710 590/595
13/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
12/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
09/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
08/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
07/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
06/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
05/07/2021 490/500 700/714 585/600

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

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Naira

Naira Exchange Rates Today, Monday, July 19, 2021

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500 and 1000 naira bills (Nigerian currency)

Naira declined further against the United States Dollar at the parallel market, popularly known as the black market ahead of the Sallah Holiday. The Naira dipped by N1 from N505 it traded against the United States Dollar on Thursday to N506 on Friday but moderated to N505 on Monday, July 19, 2021.

Against the British Pound and Euro common currency, the Nigerian Naira exchanged at N708 and N592, respectively.

Lack of liquidity across the foreign exchange markets continued to weigh on the Naira value and economic activities at large given the nature of the Nigerian economy, an import-dependent economy.

The Nigerian Naira traded at N500 against the United States Dollar at the bureau de change section of the forex market. While, it sold at N710 and N595 to a British Pound and Euro, respectively. See other exchange rates below.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
19/07/2021 497/505 698/705 585/592 62/69 407/415 300/320
16/07/2021 502/506 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/315
15/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/596 62/69 407/415 300/320
14/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
13/07/2021 500/505 702/708 590/595 62/68 407/415 300/320
12/07/2021 500/505 700/708 590/595 62/69 407/415 300/320
09/07/2021 500/505 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/320
08/07/2021 499/503 700/708 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
07/07/2021 499/503 700/710 588/593 62/69 407/417 300/325
06/07/2021 499/503 698/710 590/595 62/69 407/417 300/325

Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
19/07/2021 495/500 695/710 580/595
16/07/2021 490/500 700/710 585/600
15/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
14/07/2021 490/500 698/710 590/595
13/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
12/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
09/07/2021 490/500 698/710 585/600
08/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
07/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
06/07/2021 490/500 697/710 585/600
05/07/2021 490/500 700/714 585/600

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

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