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Foreign Exchange Reserves Rise by $589m in One Month

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United States Dollar - Investors King Ltd
  • Foreign Exchange Reserves Rise by $589m in One Month

The nation’s foreign exchange reserves, the volume of money or other assets held by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), a lender of last resort, which the government uses to offset its liabilities, have recorded an increase of $589 million, after weeks of consistent and gradual gains, despite demand pressure.

The increase now brings the stock of reserves to $24.49 billion, up from $23.91 billion four weeks ago, representing a 2.5 per cent rise.

It also closed up a two-month decline to $247 million, after losing $836 million between September ($24.74) and October ($23.91).

The international price of crude oil has remained relatively stable in recent weeks, although the country’s production has been below expectation due to the activities of militants.

However, the price stability, slight improvement in capital importation and the country’s management of the foreign exchange policy through the CBN, have also contributed to the assessed reserves’ accretion.

Besides, earlier in the month, African Development Bank (ADB), a regional multilateral development bank, engaged in promoting the economic development and social progress in the Continent, delivered $600 million facility, out of the $1 billion pledge to Nigeria, which may have aided the reserves recovery.

Afrinvest Securities Limited, involved in the buying and selling of financial instruments, noted that despite the market flexibility, there are still some setbacks.

According to analysts in the firm, although the interbank foreign exchange rates have remained stable at N305.7 to $1 for a long time, the parallel market, where all the “ineligible 41 items” are funded together with shortfalls from the official market, have been between N450 and N470 in a long while and a setback.

Recall that The Guardian yesterday exclusively reported that the review of the ineligible 41 items as being clamoured for may take a while longer, as the apex bank is opposed to it in view of its implication on backward integration, now beginning to ride on a tempo.

Meanwhile, forex restrictions have been observed by analysts as weighing heavily on the economy, the third quarter report showed that the naira depreciated by 60 per cent, against the dollar to N315 on the interbank market during the period.

Already, the rising inflation, which measures sustained increase in the general level of prices of goods and services, has been blamed on pass-through cost from high exchange rates in the importation of the items and associated raw materials into the country.

According to Renaissance Capital, in a note to The Guardian, forex restrictions persisted in the third quarter, leading to the interbank market becoming “increasingly fragmented and opaque.”

“We think this explains the continued decline of some key non-oil sectors, including trade, manufacturing and construction. Trade contracted for the first time this decade by -1.4 per cent year-on-year in Q3, against 4.4 per cent a year ago.

“This reflects traders’ inability to import merchandise, resulting in a decline in goods handled. Construction is undermined by low public investment as the Federal Government has only spent 20 per cent of its 2016 target. Manufacturers can only get a fraction of the FX needed to import inputs and capital equipment,” the company said.

The Research and Investment Advisory of SCM Capital Limited, Sewa Wusu, said the economy has been feeling the heat and weakness of activities since the year, adding that the foreign exchange crisis is real and has impacted the overall system.

“Manufacturing, affected by forex illiquidity for importation of raw materials; reduced banks’ earnings; and the oil sector, with price volatility, raised bad debts for banks. Almost all the banks made huge provisions over non-performing loans. So how could they contribute meaningfully?

“The borrowing plans, expectedly, would provide a level of support for the forex issues, but how far and quick the response would be is what we do not know.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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