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Naira Tumbles to 428 After MPC Decision

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Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

The naira tumbled against the United States dollar to 428 on Wednesday, down from 424 on Tuesday, as persistent dollar shortage continues to weigh on the economy.

The major decline in the local currency against the greenback came a day after the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee retained the benchmark lending rate at 14 per cent.

The MPC had risen from its two-day bi-monthly meeting and left the Monetary Policy Rate unchanged, contrary to calls for its reduction by analysts, stakeholders and some government officials, including the Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun.

At the interbank official market, the local currency dropped to 310.08 on Wednesday, down from 307.25 on Tuesday, according to data on the FMDQ OTC platform.

Some foreign exchange analysts believe the decline in the value of the naira has nothing to do with the MPC decision to leave the lending rate unchanged.

They said the decline in the value of the naira against the US currency would have been more significant if the MPC had announced a cut in the MPR on Tuesday.

“The developments in the official and parallel markets are a reflection of the usual pressure on the naira. It has nothing to do with the MPC’s decision to leave the interest rate unchanged. We would have seen a major decline in the naira if the committee had announced a rate cut,” a currency analyst at Ecobank Nigeria, Mr. Kunle Ezun, said.

“We can see that the dollar-naira exchange rate has been stable over time now. It is partly because the CBN has been able to meet its futures obligations. It has brought some relative calmness to the market. Again, the demand for forex by players in the oil and gas sector has been taken from the interbank market. This has also brought calmness to that market,” he added.

Meanwhile, the CBN said on Wednesday that interest rate cut alone would not help to pull the economy out of recession amid rising inflation.

The Director, Monetary Policy, CBN, Mr. Moses Tule, said policymakers would need to act together on fiscal, monetary and trade policies to jump-start economic growth.

He told Channels TV, “It’s not sufficient for the monetary policy committee to just meet and say we are reducing interest rates to address a stagflation.

“In a situation where we have negative interest rates, what we have to do is to overcome negative interest rates.”

He said Nigeria’s policy rate had been stuck at six per cent in the past but it didn’t spur credit growth, because the banking system did not respond to the move.

Tule explained that inflation was rising not due to excess money supply, but because of recent reforms, which included a hike in electricity tariffs, fuel price and a currency float that led to a 30 per cent drop in the value of the naira in one day.

“If we were merely in a recession, then we could say we would spend our way out of the recession. For an economy like Nigeria, where there are key structural deficiencies, there’s an urgent need to harmonise the policy mix,” Reuters quoted him as saying.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Naira

Naira Appreciates to N1,666 Per Dollar at FX Market, N1,704.11 at Parallel Market

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Naira appreciated by 0.5 percent against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday following an N8.77 rise to close at N1,666.72/$1 compared with Thursday’s closing rate of N1,675.49/$1 despite worsening supply in the market.

The daily supply of FX as measured by secondary data from FMDQ Securities Exchange Limited indicated that turnover fell by $72.41 million or 43.5 per cent to $94.20 million from $166.61 million.

However, the local currency slid on the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the final session. For the British currency, the local currency depreciated by N10.10 and closed at N2,157.25/£1 from N2,147.15/£1 while it closed at the rate of N1,814.79/€1, a slump of N23.43 against N1,791.36/€1 against the Euro.

Meanwhile, the Naira rose further by N7.66 against the American in the parallel market segment to close at N1,704.11 to the US Dollar compared to N1,711.77/$1 it closed on Thursday.

Also, the domestic currency extended its gain against the British currency during the final session as the Naira made a further appreciation of N16 to trade at N2,207.76/£1 from N2,223.76/£1 that it sold at the previous session and against the Euro, it appreciated N14.82 to close at N1,852.25/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,867.07/€1.

The local currency gained a marginal N1.62 to close at N1,233.99 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Thursday’s N1,235.61 per CAD.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) at the recently concluded World Bank/IMF meetings held in Washington, DC last week said the foreign exchange market will not depend on the apex bank’s intervention for supply and stability.

This is evidenced by the stop of sales of Dollars to the market as it plans to improve supply organically without its intervention from time to time while maintaining balance in the market.

“While you might see us intervene from time to time, we are trying to ensure the market is not dependent on the intervention of the central bank.

“I think that we are looking at conditions that market return as much as possible to improve supply organically without the Central Bank having to put in money all the time,” the CBN deputy governor on economic policy, Mr Mohammed Abdullahi, disclosed.

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Naira

Naira Loses 2.7% on Dollar at NAFEX, Gains N6 to N1,711/$1 at Parallel Market

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New Naira Notes

The Naira fell by 2.7 percent on the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to exchange at N1,675.49/$1 on Thursday, October 311 as the local currency depreciated despite a slight increase in supply.

In the official market, the domestic currency lost N44.32 on the American currency in the official market versus N1,631.17/$1, which it closed in the previous session on Wednesday.

In a turn of fortune, the Naira rose N6.66 against the greenback in the parallel market segment to close at N1,711.77 to the US Dollar compared to N1,718.43/$1 it closed on Wednesday.

Data showed a rise in supply as the turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $166.61 million indicating that the session’s turnover jumped by 29.2 per cent, indicating a rise of $37.63 million compared to $128.98 million that was published in the last trading session.

Equally, the Naira weakened its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N3.75 to sell at N2,147.15/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,143.40/£1.

It followed the same path against the Euro, depreciating N9.29 to quote at N1,791.36/€1 versus midweek’s closing rate of N1,782.07/€1.

In a different outcome in the black market, the domestic currency headed up against the British currency during the Thursday session as the Naira made an appreciation of N10.86 to wrap the session at N2,223.76/£1 from N2,234.62/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

However, the Naira followed a different pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N12.51 to close at N1,867.07/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,854.56/€1.

The local currency gained a marginal 9 Kobo to close at N1,235.61 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Wednesday’s N1,235.70 per CAD.

Investors King reports that the Nigerian macro environment is placing pressure on the FX market with latest data showing that there is a high money supply in the system complemented by a wider government budget deficit.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) revealed that Nigeria’s money supply often known as M3 grew 62.8 percent in the last one year to N109 trillion from N66.9 trillion in September 2023.

 

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Naira

Naira Declines Amid Dwindling FX Supply as Official Rate Nears N1,631 per Dollar

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar at both the official and parallel foreign exchange market segments on Wednesday, October 30.

The Naira dropped 0.04 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) The local currency lost 72 Kobo to close at N1,631.17/$1 at the official window.

According to data obtained from FMDQ Securities Exchange compared to N1,630.45/$1 published in the preceding session on Tuesday.

This happened as supply decreased at the FX market as secondary data showed that $128.98 million worth of turnover was recorded compared to the preceding session which $242.59 million was settled. This indicated a $113.61 million or 46.9 per cent slump.

In the black market, the Naira lost N4.08 against the greenback to close at N1,718.43 to the US Dollar compared to N1,714.35/$1 it closed on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the local currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the midweek session for the week. For the British currency, the local currency appreciated by N18.57 and closed at N2,143.40/£1 from N2,161.97/£1 while it closed at the rate of N1,782.07/€1, a jump of N18.90 against N1,800.97/€1 against the Euro.

In a different outcome in the black market, the domestic currency headed south against the British currency during the midweek session as the Naira made a depreciation of N9.38 to wrap the session at N2,234.62/£1 from N2,225.24/£1 that it sold at the previous session

However, the Naira followed a different pattern against the Euro as it appreciated N15.38 to quote at N1,854.56/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,856.79/€1.

The local currency dropped N2.31 to close at N1,235.70 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Tuesday’s N1,233.56 per CAD.

The supply challenge in the FX market comes as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continues to filter sales into the market alongside recommendations from the World Bank.

The US-headquartered bank in its latest report noted that permitting market participants to trade FX with more flexibility across time would also contribute to deepening the FX market, adding that the CBN should continue efforts towards deepening the official FX market.

This includes facilitating formal remittance inflows, allowing international oil companies to fully concentrate their FX sales in the official market, restoring intermediated market access to bureaux de change, and refraining from ad-hoc FX auctions.

“Allowing market participants to trade FX with more flexibility across time would also contribute to deepening the FX market,” the October report said.

 

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