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Oil Revenue Falls by N30bn in Two Months

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exports

As global oil prices continue to fall, proceeds from the sale of Nigeria’s crude oil and gas have dropped by N30.01bn ($150.4m) in just two month, figures from the latest financial and operations report of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation have shown.

The drop of N30.01 drop was recorded between October and December 2015, the report stated.

According to the NNPC, the country raked in $420.3m (N84.1bn) as proceeds from the sale of oil and gas in October last year. But in December, the earnings dropped to $269.9m (N53.98bn).

The report stated that the country’s total revenue from the oil and gas in 2015 was $4.6bn (N920bn), which was a far cry from $30bn (N6tn) generated from the same source in 2012 as published by the Nigerian Extractive Industries Transparency Initiatives.

 Oil and gas earnings for 2014 were not published by the NNPC. The corporation only started publishing its proceeds from crude oil and gas sales in August 2015 after the reorganisation of its management by President Muhammadu Buhari.

In the latest report, the national oil firm stated that the highest monthly dollar income generated from the oil and gas sales in 2015 was $475.24m and this was recorded in March.

It gave that the least monthly revenue as $233.26m, which was recorded in August.

Similarly, the report showed that the NNPC earned N661.34bn from the sale of white products, petrol and kerosene in the year under review.

According to the report, a total of N80.34bn was collected from the sale of white products by the Pipelines Product and Marketing Company in December 2015 compared with N66.96bn, which was realised in November 2015.

“The total revenue generated from the sale of white products for the period of January to December 2015 stands at N661.34bn where Premium Motor Spirit (popularly referred to as petrol) contributed about 88.02 per cent of the revenue collected with a total of N582.14bn,” it said.

The NNPC stated that a total of 1,076.35 million litres of white products were distributed and sold by the PPMC in December 2015 compared with 908.02 million litres in November 2015.

This, it said, was comprised of 983.19 million litres of the PMS; 81.02 million litres of kerosene and 12.14 million litres of diesel.

“The total sale of white products for the period of January to December 2015 stands at 9.07 billion litres. The PMS was 7.49 billion litres and accounts for 82.61 per cent,” the report stated.

Economists as well as operators in the oil and gas sector have called on the government to diversify the country’s economy, as revenue generation from oil and gas has continued to fall, particularly since 2015.

They noted that the fall in global oil prices was not good for the Nigerian economy and the cost of the commodity might continue to plunge.

According to them, the crude oil market is already saturated as more international firms now produce the product.

A former President, Association of National Accountants of Nigeria, Dr. Samuel Nzekwe, told our correspondent that crude oil prices had been falling since last year, adding that the development had adversely affected the Nigerian economy.

He said, “The price of crude oil in the international market has been falling and this has affected Nigeria’s revenue badly. Considering the manner in which crude price is falling, the best thing for us to do as a country is to intensify efforts in diversifying our economy, because it may continue to fall even by next year.”

The Assistant National Secretary, Nigerian Electricity Consumer Advocacy Network, Mr. Obong Eko, also said, in view of the plunge in crude oil prices, the best alternative for Nigeria at the moment was to diversify the economy.

“I think one of the best alternatives for us as country at the moment is to diversify the economy,” he said.

 

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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