Australian bonds tracked a retreat in Treasuries as investors focused on the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this week. Index futures signaled a mixed picture for Asia after a late-in-the-day rally in U.S. stocks as crude oil rebounded.
Government debt of Australia and New Zealand pared back some of Monday’s gains after 10-year Treasury yields rallied from near a six-week low, with traders continuing to price in odds above 75 percent of the Fed boosting borrowing costs on Wednesday. While Hong Kong stock futures foreshadowed declines, contracts on Australian and South Korean benchmarks advanced following the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s rebound from a two-month low. U.S. crude closed higher after sliding below $35 a barrel.
“Markets remain nervous,” Philip Borkin, a senior economist in Auckland at ANZ Bank New Zealand Ltd. said in a note to clients. “Like equities, bond markets appeared to follow oil prices movements although moves were reasonably violent.”
A sense of unease prevails in global financial markets as investors start counting down to Wednesday’s Fed meeting, where U.S. policy makers are expected to end a seven-year era of near-zero borrowing costs. Weakness in high-risk credit markets has sparked fear of contagion, unsettling markets along with the gyrations in crude oil ahead of one of the most anticipated Fed decisions of the year. Australia’s central bank releases minutes of its December meeting Tuesday, with an update on U.S. consumer prices also due.
Yields on Australian debt due in a decade added three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 2.85 percent, as rates on similar-maturity New Zealand sovereign notes climbed the same amount to 3.56 percent.
Concerns over the junk bond market were overshadowed Monday by expectations of a Fed rate hike, weighing on Treasuries. Ten-year U.S. yields rose by nine basis points to 2.22 percent after slipping 10 basis points on Friday amid a global equity selloff.
The S&P 500 ended last session up 0.5 percent as energy stocks erased their declines amid a 1.9 percent increase in U.S. oil. West Texas Intermediate crude rose to $36.31 a barrel after earlier on Monday sliding to as low as $34.53.
Barclays Tell High Net Worth Investors to Shun Africa and Other Emerging Economies
Barclays to High Net Worth Clients, Stay Off Africa and Other Emerging Economies
Barclays, one of the world’s largest investment banks, has started advising high net worth clients to stay off Africa and other emerging economies.
According to Barclays, despite the recent recovery noticed in emerging-market stocks, investors are better off avoiding the risks that still abound in emerging nations. Barclays Plc, however, advised high net worth clients to focus on U.S equities despite the S&P’s breakneck rally.
The investment bank said emerging economies do not have enough fiscal buffers to spend their way out of the COVID-19 pandemic and will likely continue to struggle in the near-time compared to the US with 12 percent of gross domestic product fiscal-support.
It said the huge US stimulus may halt rebound in emerging-markets stocks as more money is expected to flow into the world’s largest economy and its European counterparts.
“Compared to the U.S., emerging-market economies appear more vulnerable,” said Haider, the London-based managing director and head of global growth markets. “Their central banks have less room to maneuver, their governments may not be able to provide unlimited support and equity markets, given their sector mix, can be more challenged by an economic slowdown.”
Barclays added that even after 33 percent rebound in stocks of emerging markets since the panic selloff subsided in March, stocks are still down by 9 percent from year-to-date while the US S&P 500 stocks are up by 45 percent. Presently, their stocks trading at a 36 percent discount to US stocks, up from 25 percent three months ago.
Crude Oil Rises to $43.1 Per Barrel on Production Cuts Extension
Crude Oil Hits $43.1 Per Barrel Following OPEC’s Production Cuts Extension
Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil price is measured, rose by 1.25 percent on Monday during the Asian trading session following OPEC and allies’ agreement to extend crude oil cuts to the end of July.
OPEC and allies, known as OPEC plus, agreed to extend production cuts of 9.7 million barrels per day reached in April to July on Saturday.
In the virtual conference, delegates agreed that members, including Nigeria and Iraq presently struggling to attain a 100 percent compliance level must keep to the agreement or be forced to do so in subsequent months.
Nigeria, Iraq and others failed to keep to the cartel’s agreement in May after reports show that Nigeria only managed to attain a 19 percent compliance level during the month while Iraq struggled to attain just 38 percent in the same month.
Russia and Saudi Arabia, the two largest producers of the group, warned members to stick to the agreed quota if they want to rebalance the global oil market.
“While the errant producers such as Iraq and Nigeria have vowed to reach 100% conformity and compensate for prior underperformance, we still think they will likely continue to have some commitment issues over the course of the summer,” said Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets.
“The potential return of Libyan output could also cause considerable challenges for the OPEC leadership.”
Earlier on Monday, Brent crude oil hits $43.1 per barrel, more than a month record-high, before pulling back slightly to $42.83 per barrel.
Gold Dips by 2 Percent on Better Than Expected Job Report
- Gold Dips by 2 Percent on Better Than Expected Job Report
Gold prices declined by 2 percent on Friday following a better than expected US non-farm payroll report.
The report showed an increase of 2.5 million payroll numbers against a decline of 7.5 million predicted by many experts.
The surprise number boosted investors’ confidence in US recovery as many dumped their haven investment (gold) for the stock market.
“We had significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. payroll numbers – an increase of 2.5 million versus an expectation of a decline of 7.5 million – that 10-million swing has brought forward expectations of the economic recovery in the United States,” said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities.
Spot gold immediately declined by 1.9 percent per ounce to $1,678.81 while the U.S. gold futures slid 2.6 percent to settle at $1,683.
Gold was also being pressured by stronger yields and a slightly firmer dollar, “meaning the opportunity cost to hold gold in the portfolio has gone up,” Melek added.
The surprise didn’t stop there, US Dow Jones was up 614 points despite the protest going on the US and US-China tension.
Also, NASDAQ rose by 29 points while the S&P index added 50 points increase.
Note: Investors generally increase their investments in gold and other haven assets during a crisis to avert risk exposure and do the opposite once they sense a better economy.
News5 days ago
Fire Guts Central Bank of Nigeria Office in Gombe
Forex2 days ago
CBN Starts Using N380/$ Official Rate, Expects to Make it Official Soon
Stock Market2 days ago
Flour Mills, Dangote Cement, Vitafoam Disclose Insider Dealings
Economy5 days ago
Citigroup Sees $60 Per Barrel Crude Oil in the Next 12 Months
Finance2 days ago
DSS Arrests EFCC, Acting Chairman, Magu
Stock Market2 days ago
Stock Investors Lose N257bn as Nigerian Stock Exchange Closed in the Red Last Week
Economy2 days ago
Crude Oil Rises to $43.68 on Monday Despite Concerns Over Rising COVID-19 Cases
Technology5 days ago
Jeff Bezos Sets a New Record as Net Worth Hits $172bn