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Possible Consequence of Greece ‘No’ Vote

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Greece future

Early in 2015, Alexis Tsipras, the Prime Minister of Greece engaged creditors to a game of chicken consequently damaging the rally of European stock that has added over $ 2.17 trillion in share prices in the first quarter of the year. According to equity managers familiar with the situation the situation shouldn’t have gotten to this point of almost parity with U.S dollar.

David Joy, the Principal Market strategist with Ameriprise Financial Inc., which oversees $ 815 billion, said “that at the moment, there is no possibility of having a ‘no’ priced vote. He added that in case one is obtained, there will be another row of downhill instability more than what was obtained”.

On 29th June, the 50 index Euro Stock went downhill by 4.2 % and at the same time, the 500 Standard Index got its largest fall. This was more than one year following the sudden referendum which was called by Tsipras regarding the proposed austerity measures imposed by Greek creditors. Concerning the vote, the nation will now be a step nearer to euro’s exit, the possibility that pushed equity volatility to a three years peak.

On Friday, a poll that was commissioned by the news at Bloomberg revealed that more than 43 % of Citizens in Greek are expected to vote against severe conditions whereas 42.5 % will support the affirmation. Even while the rejection support declined by 52 % just a week ago, the Greece crisis enhanced the efforts of Central Bank of Europe to raising the currency’s confidence.

75% Chance

The AG at Credit Suisse Group estimated that 75 % is the possibility of Greece leaving the euro with a ‘no’ vote. The biggest hits were taken by Italy and Spain after the announcement of the referendum dropping the most in the developed markets to more than 5% losses. In just 5 days, stock swings jumped by 21%. Today, the 50 Euro Stoxx is down by 10% from a high of 7 years in April.

The reaction in the market has not been as bad as it was in 2010 when the first bail out was received by Greece. In less than 6 weeks, the 50 blue chip companies in euro went to a 17 % low during that year.

Short Lived

According to the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. on 2nd July, there will be a short lived volatility of equity due to rejection of terms of bail out. According to them, this scenario may trigger investors to purchase equities in Spain, Italy and German.

Many Mistakes

In the views of David Kelly of JP Morgan Funds that manages $800 billion, the situation went out of hand due to mistakes from both sides. Kelly added that “by forcing the Greek people to an austerity level of managing in difficulty, Europeans are not only unfair but also unkind”.

If the bailout terms are rejected by voters, it would be impossible for Greece to immediately leave the euro. To keep afloat its financial system, it would start printing its own currency. The country may run out of cash and be forced to make a 3.5 billion euros bond payment to the ECB.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Business

Livestock Feeds Appoints Adegboyega Adedeji as Substantive Managing Director

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Adegboyega Adedeji is the Substantive Managing Director

Livestock Feeds Plc on Monday announced it has appointed Mr. Adegboyega Adedeji as the company’s substantive Managing Director, effective from 2nd October 2020.

In a statement released on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), the company said Mr. Adedeji was the Acting Managing Director of the Company before he was appointed as the Managing Director.

It added that Mr. Adedeji was “formerly the General Manager, Sales and Operations responsible for all sales activities and the strategic development of the Company’s markets, along with new products portfolio generation and development.”

He graduated from the famous Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife in 1996 and had his MBA from the University of Roehampton, UK in 2018.

He worked with Grand Cereals Limited as Regional Sales Manager before becoming their procurement manager. He moved to UACN Plc in 2007 as the Training Services Manager, a position held till September 2009 before he was transferred to UAC Restaurant.

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COVID-19 to Plunge Global Consumer Spending by 8.6 % in 2020

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Global Consumer Spending to Drop by 8.6 Percent in 2020

The coronavirus pandemic has changed almost every aspect of people’s daily lives, and consumer spending is no exception. The uncertainty of the COVID-19 crisis caused considerable changes in consumer habits, forcing them to cut down their budgets and prioritize spending.

According to data presented by Stock Apps, the coronavirus outbreak is expected to cut global consumer spending to $44.3trn in 2020, an 8.6% plunge year-over-year.

$4.2trn Drop in Spending Amid COVID-19 Crisis

Falling consumer spending has significant effects on overall Gross domestic product (GDP) growth, considering it accounts for almost 70% of GDP.

Before the COVID-19 crisis, global consumer spending has witnessed steady growth for five years in a row, revealed Statista, IMF, United Nations, World Bank, and Eurostat data. In 2015, it amounted to over $41.5trn. Over the next twelve months, this figure rose to $42.5trn and continued growing. Statistics show that in 2019, consumers worldwide spent a total of $48.5trn, the highest amount in a decade.

However, the coronavirus crisis triggered a sharp fall in 2020, with global consumer spending expected to plunge by $4.2trn year-over-year. Nevertheless, statistics show the following years are set to witness a recovery, with consumer spending growing by 20% to $53.5bn in 2022.

Statista data also revealed that Switzerland represents the leading country globally, with over $40,000 in consumer spending per capita in 2020. Luxembourg ranked second with around $5,000 less than that. Iceland, Denmark, and Norway follow, with $34,300, $25,800, and $25,600, respectively.

60% of Consumers Changed their Shopping Behaviour

The McKinsey&Company survey showed consumers became increasingly cautious with their spending in 2020. Even after countries lifted lockdowns, many consumers still see their incomes fall, forcing them to reduce budgets and change shopping habits.

Statistics show that increased time spent indoors led to significant growth in consumer spending on groceries, household, and home entertainment. Brazil, South Africa, and India lead in this category, with up to 30% consumer spending growth. Major consumer markets like the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, and China witnessed around 15% grocery shopping growth in the first half of the year.

However, with consumers being mindful of their spending and turning to less expensive products, 2020 has witnessed a plunge in clothes and accessories, outside entertainment, services, travel, and transportation spending. Respondents in all countries said they cut down spending in these categories between 20% and 50%.

The McKinsey survey also revealed the COVID-19 outbreak triggered a significant change in the shopping mindset. More than 60% of consumers globally have tried a different brand or shopped at another retailer during the crisis, mostly for convenience, value, and quality.

In China and the United States, over 75% of consumers reported trying a new shopping method, and 60% plan to stick with it post-crisis. The United Kingdom and Germany follow with 71% and 54% of consumers who practiced new shopping behavior. In Japan, where lockdowns weren’t imposed, only 33% of consumers changed their shopping mindset.

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Survival Fund: Buhari Commences Disbursement of N75 Billion Support Fund

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President Muhammadu Buhari

FG to Commence Disbursement of N75 Billion Survival Fund to MSMEs

The Federal Government to commence the disbursement of N75 billion COVID-19 support fund to successful Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) that applied for financial support under the National MSME Survival Fund this week.

On September 10, 2020, the Federal Government announced the introduction of two financial support schemes to support around 1.7 million small businesses with N75 billion.

According to Tola Adekunle, the Special Assistant to the President on MSMEs, Office of the Vice President, who doubles as Project Coordinator, Survival Funds Scheme, payment disbursement to some of the beneficiaries of the schemes would commence this week.

He said, “Presently we are doing it in batches of 12 states to be able to monitor the scheme and as we speak now 12 states are ready. We are hoping that by the end of this week, we will be able to pay 12 states.

“We are starting with the artisans and it is 4,500 persons per state, plus 4,500 for transporters, bringing it to about 9,000 for each state. Right now, we have about 54,000 from 12 states.”

Asked by journalists when those on payroll support would start receiving payments, he said “By the end of this month.

“We want to ensure that the staff start getting their salaries and same for the second and third month.

Adekunle explained that payroll support which was introduced under the survival fund to help businesses that employed between 10 to 50 people, will ensure 10 of the 50 employees are paid between N30,000 to N50,000 depending on their salaries. Payment, he said would commence by the ending of this month.

He said, “We now pay 10 of those people from among the 50 employees and we pay them between N30,000 and N50,000.

“But the minimum we pay is three staffs for three months to support their businesses and to ensure that we are helping businesses to augment their salaries.”

He, however, said the program ended on October 15 but states that were yet to meet their quotas were demanding extension. A demand he said was valid given that only less than 20 states have met their quotas.

In my own opinion, it is valid but the decision lies in the hands of the committee and the project coordinator so I have to convince them based on data analysis,” he said.

Speaking on the total number of applicants for the payroll support, Adekunle said, “As at the day it closed, we had about 432,000 businesses that had applied. However, we have shortlisted less than 70,000 businesses that qualify and meet the requirements.”

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