Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its forecasts for the euro after its call that the European Central Bank would send the shared currency tumbling as much as 3 percent with dovish easing policies crumbled last week.
The euro instead climbed more than 3 percent in the wake of the ECB’s Dec. 3 meeting, after President Mario Draghi’s package of measures underwhelmed some investors. The decision marked a shift in the central bank’s behavior for Goldman’s chief currency strategist Robin Brooks, who says he is losing faith that officials are “wholeheartedly” pursing reflationary policies.
Brooks forecasts the euro will weaken to $1.07, $1.05 and $1.00 in three, six and 12 months respectively. This compares to previous forecasts of $1.02, $1 and 95 cents. At end of 2017 the euro will be at 90 cents versus a previous forecast of 80 cents, he said.
“Although we are reluctant to do this, given our view of euro-zone fundamentals (a large output gap and low underlying inflation), we have to acknowledge the apparent disagreement on the Governing Council over the need for additional easing,” Brooks wrote in a note to clients. “There is no doubt in our minds that euro down will again become a theme over time, but regrettably that time is not now.”
The euro weakened 0.7 percent to $1.0810 as of 10:40 a.m. London time, extending a decline from Friday. On the day of the ECB meeting it jumped 3.1 percent, the biggest advance since 2009.
Goldman also raised forecasts for the euro against the pound and Swiss franc, to reflect new expectations that declines will be smaller. In six months the euro will be at 70 pence, compared with a previous forecast of 67 pence.
The ECB’s easing measures, which included a cut to the deposit rate and a six-month extension to the bond-buying program, didn’t meet expectations for aggressive stimulus, which were stoked by Draghi on Nov. 20 when he said policy makers “will do what we must to raise inflation as quickly as possible.” This sense of urgency was missing, Brooks said.
Banks’ Credit to Economy Hits N19.33 Trillion in August
Deposit Money Banks Credit to Economy Rose to N19.33 Trillion in August
The total credit facility to the economy rose to N19.33 trillion in the month of August.
The Central Bank of Nigeria-led monetary committee disclosed on Tuesday after the nation’s monetary policy committee meeting.
The committee attributed the improvement to the 65 percent loan-to-deposit ratio policy implemented to compel the nation’s deposit money banks to join central bank efforts at growing the real sector of the economy.
Godwin Emefiele, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, who spoke during the meeting said “The bank’s policy on Loan to Deposit ratio also resulted in a significant growth in credit to various sectors from N15.57tn to N19.33tn between end-May 2019 and end-August 2020, an increase of N3.77tn.
“This growth in credit was mainly to manufacturing (N866.27bn), consumer credit (N527.65bn), oil and gas (N477.65bn), agriculture (N287.11bn) and construction (N270.97bn).”
On monetary aggregates, broad money supply (M3) rose to 6.93 per cent (year-to-date) in August 2020 from 5.23 per cent in July 2020, reflecting the increase in both Net Foreign Assets and Net Domestic Assets.
He said total domestic credit grew by 6.94 percent in August 2020, lower than the 9.43 percent recorded in July 2020.
The committee reduced the nation’s benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 11.5 percent, down from the previous 12.5 percent.
Emerging Cities Take on Established Hubs for Graduates Seeking a Career in Finance
Graduates Seeking a Career in Finance Prefer Dubai to Start Their Career
Dubai is the number one global destination for graduates who successfully complete the flagship graduate programme at one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organisations.
On passing the intensive scheme, deVere Group routinely asks graduates in which location within the Group’s global network of offices they would like to start their international financial services career. This year, 36% have responded with Dubai.
The second most popular is London (25%); Hong Kong is third (14 %); Mexico City is fourth (13%) and Moscow is fifth (6%).
The remaining 6% is made up of other destinations including Shanghai, Geneva, Paris, and Abu Dhabi.
deVere Group CEO and founder Nigel Green comments: “This survey highlights that the next generation of financial services professionals are open to look beyond the traditional and more established global financial hubs.
“The order of the top destinations changes with each group of grads we take on, but Dubai, London, and Hong Kong are typically in the top five somewhere.
“This is because, quite understandably, these global hubs of finance, commerce and technology represent centres of enormous possibilities for ambitious individuals about to embark on careers as international wealth-advisory and fintech professionals.
“There are some common traits amongst these cities, including that English is commonly spoken, they are politically and economically stable, there is a high level of internationally-minded high net worth individuals, and by relocating to these places one can usually expect comparatively high financial rewards.”
He continues: “What is different this year is that for the first time emerging financial hub cities are making the top five. Mexico City and Moscow are now actively competing for top talent with well-established international financial centres like Shanghai, Geneva and Tokyo.
“All these global destinations are unique and differ from each other in terms of the lifestyle they offer and in terms of clients’ expectations, economic environments and regulatory conditions.
“With each of the top five cities offering unique opportunities and challenges, each one attracts grads who have often quite markedly different strengths and weaknesses, skill sets and aspirations,” notes Mr Green.
“The results of this survey suggest that despite the pandemic, talented young people seeking a rewarding career are keen to look for opportunities internationally.”
The deVere CEO concludes: “With a globally-focused outlook from the wealth advisers and fintech professionals of the future, we can expect this trend of emerging hub cities to take on stalwart destinations to continue for the foreseeable future.”
Adesina, Godwin Emefiele, Others to Deliver Keynote Address at ASA 2020
Adesina and Godwin Emefiele to Deliver Keynote Speech at Agriculture Summit Africa (ASA) 2020
The President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), President Dr. Akinwunmi Adesina, is expected to deliver the keynote address at the 2020 Agriculture Summit Africa (ASA) holding this week.
The yearly summit organised by Sterling Bank is titled ‘Fast forward agriculture: Exploiting the Next Revolution’ this year.
According to the organisers, participants were expected to log in online while a few others would be in Lagos and Abuja studios.
In a statement released on Tuesday, Yemi Odubiyi, the Executive Director of Corporate and Investment Banking, Sterling Bank said other dignitaries were expected to deliver goodwill messages at the summit.
Some of the names mentioned were the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr. Godwin Emefiele; Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Alhaji Muhammad Sabo Nanono; Cross River State Governor, Prof. Ben Ayade; his Kebbi counterpart, Senator Atiku Bagudu; and the Oniru of Iru Kingdom, Oba Abdulwasiu Omogbolahan Lawal.
Director, Advocacy and Country Alignment Function (ACAF), Director-General’s Office, International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), Dr. Kwasi Attah-Krah, is expected to deliver another keynote address on the second day.
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