- Finally, Tight Labour Market Aids Uk Wage Growth
UK earnings picked up in the three months through July to support Bank of England’s view that continuous job creation will eventually boost wage growth as employers struggle to attract skilled workers.
According to the Office For National Statistics, regular pay excluding bonuses rose 2.9 percent year on year in the three months through July, higher than the 2.7 percent recorded in April.
Pay with bonuses climbed 2.6 percent year on year to beat 2.4 percent predicted by experts.
Factoring in inflation, pay grew just 0.2 percent in the three months through July despite record low unemployment rate.
“While Britain continues to enjoy near-record employment levels, the key benefit of historically low unemployment — stronger pay growth for those already in work — is only slowly materialising,” said Stephen Clarke, at the Resolution Foundation think-tank.
Again, while the labour market remains healthy, job growth is slowing down after a long period of expansion. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4 percent.
“What we have yet to see since the financial crisis is a combination of both strong jobs growth and strong real earnings growth,” said John Hawksworth, chief economist at PwC. “The unemployment rate of 4 per cent was the lowest since the winter of 1974/75, but the level of regular pay, adjusted for inflation, was still £11 a week lower on average than its peak level before the financial crisis.”
Recent data showed new investment is on the decline as the manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index grew at a slower pace than expected in August, same as the Construction PMI. However, the services sector unexpectedly expanded than expected during the same month. Suggesting strong domestic demand amid Brexit uncertainty is fueling growth.
The pound rose to 5-week high against the US dollar to trade at 1.3019.
Naira Declines Slightly on the Black Market to N474/$
Naira Drops Marginally on the Black Market to N474 Against US Dollar
Nigerian Naira declined marginally on Tuesday on the parallel market, popularly known as the black market.
The local currency declined by N1 to N474 per US dollar, down from the N473 it traded on Monday.
This was coming after Shoprite announced it would be exiting Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy. The announcement further damped the nation’s economic outlook amid the already heighten economic uncertainties.
Nigeria continues to struggle with low dollar availability after low oil prices and weak global demand for the commodity eroded the nation’s foreign revenue generation.
On the Investors and Exporters Forex window, the Naira remained pressured at N389 to a US dollar, better than the N389.25 it exchanged on Monday but more than the N381 stipulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria.
Total turnover traded by investors rose from $18.83 million traded on Monday to $24.66 million on Tuesday.
Experts have said the series of bad news emanating from the country will continue to deter potential investors and hurt capital importation necessary to boost dollar liquidity.
Forex Scarcity Weighs on Manufacturing Sector
Manufacturing Sector Suffers from Lack of Dollar Liquidity
The Director-General, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), Muda Yusuf, has said lack of dollar availability continues to weigh on the manufacturing sector in the first half of the year as the sector recorded its third consecutive month of contraction in the month of July.
According to Yusuf, several manufacturers had to source for forex on the black market, increasing scarcity on the already stressed section of the forex even more. This, other experts have blamed for the high Dollar-Naira exchange rate on the black market.
On Monday, the Naira was exchanged at N473 to a US dollar on the parallel market popularly known as the black market. The local currency gained N2 from the N475 it was exchanged before the Sallah holiday to N473 on Monday when the market opened.
“Across, practically, all sectors, we are experiencing cost escalation, loss of credit lines enjoyed from foreign creditors, forex remittance challenges and many more. We need an urgent response from the CBN to calm the situation and restore confidence in our foreign exchange management framework,” Yusuf stated.
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry said most of its 2,000 members have been hit by the dollar shortage and wide foreign exchange rate that is presently eroding their profits.
“If the situation persists, it will lead to lay-offs. If you are not producing, there will be a shortage of goods in the market, prices will go up,” he added
Naira Gains N2 Against US Dollar to N473 on Black Market
Naira Gains Against Dollar to N473 on Black Market
The Naira gained slightly on the parallel market, popularly known as the black market, on Monday to exchange at N473 per US dollar.
The local currency traded at N475 to a US dollar on Friday before gaining N2 to N473 on Monday.
This is coming on the back of dollar scarcity caused by falling foreign reserves and low oil prices.
Against the British Pound the local currency declined by N5 from N585 it traded on Friday to N590 on Monday.
This continues against the Euro single currency as the Naira depreciated by N2 to N542, down from N540 it traded on Friday.
On the Importers & Exporters Forex window, the Nigerian Naira exchanged at N389.25 against the United States dollar, slightly below the N388.33 it opened on Monday.
Investors traded $18.83 million during the trading hours of Monday on the I&E FX window.
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s exchange rate remains N381 to a United States dollar.
The apex bank had adjusted the local currency foreign exchange rate twice in the last few months to ease the pressure on the nation’s dwindling foreign reserves.
Still, the inability of the apex bank to improve the supply of the US dollar into the economy continues to weigh on the Naira value and general economic activities.
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