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Export Gains to Help Japan to 1% GDP Growth in 2017, Says OECD

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  • Export Gains to Help Japan to 1% GDP Growth in 2017, Says OECD

Japan’s economy will grow 1 percent next year before slowing to a 0.8 percent expansion in 2018, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development said in a global economic outlook released on Monday.

A rebound in international trade will help drive Japan’s export growth higher over the next two years, supporting business investment as fiscal stimulus fades, the OECD said. It sees Japan’s gross domestic product increasing 0.8 percent this year.

“With stronger exports, and the capacity shortages and high profits, we expect that business investment will also get stronger in the next few years,” Randall Jones, head of the OECD’s Japan-Korea desk, said during a briefing.

The Japanese government forecast growth of 1.2 percent for 2017 and 1.9 percent the following year, according to documents released in July.

“External risks are largely to the downside, given uncertainty about China, which accounts for a quarter of Japanese exports,” the OECD said in its report.

Trade Pacts

Jones said a collapse of the Trans-Pacific Partnership would be a disappointment for Japan, while noting that other regional or bilateral agreements could also create more trade.

Headline inflation will reach 1.25 percent by the end of 2018, the OECD said. This would still be well below the Bank of Japan’s 2 percent target.

The OECD said sustained growth will require achievement of the targeted “virtuous cycle” of higher corporate profits, wages and prices, with the “major uncertainty” being wage growth.

Supplementary Budgets

Noting the passage of three supplementary budgets this year, the OECD said the Japanese government had paused its fiscal consolidation, helping the economy cope with the impact of a stronger currency throughout most of 2016.

Structural reforms are essential to boost productivity and bring more people, especially women, into the workforce, the OECD said. It noted that faster growth was critical to stopping and reversing the nation’s swelling public debt.

A more detailed and “credible” plan for fiscal consolidation, including gradual increases in the sales tax, is necessary to maintain confidence in the nation’s public finances, the OECD said. The plan should also slow the increase in social spending, it said.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial market.

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Nigeria to Become Leading Gold Producer in West Africa – Adegbite

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Adegbite Says Nigeria to Become Gold Hub in West Africa

The Minister of Mines and Steel Development, Olamilekan Adegbite, has said Nigeria is on its way to becoming a leading gold producer in West Africa.

Adegbite made the statement in Abuja while taking stock of his first year in office as minister.

He said, “Indeed, the international roadshows we have had in the past have produced fruits. Today, we have Thor exploration in Osun State through the Segilola Gold project.

“The exploration firm is projected to start producing (gold) in the first half of next year. The project is expected to create about 400 direct jobs and 1,000 indirect jobs.”

According to Adegbite, the Federal Government has licensed two gold refineries that would refine in line with the London Bullion Market Association standard.

He added, “Numerous industries will spring up when our gold economy becomes full-fledged. Some of them will include equipment leasing and repairs, logistics and transport, as gold requires a specialised means of transport, security, insurance, aggregators, and so on.”

The minister noted that for the first time, the country had mined, processed and refined gold under the Presidential Artisanal Gold Mining Development Initiative for use as part of Nigeria’s external reserves.

Adegbite also stated that the mines ministry had initiated a process that would lead to local capacity development in the production of barite.

“Presently, the barite that is used in the oil and gas industry is imported. But we are resolved to reverse this trend. As you may know, barite is a critical weighting material in drilling fluids due to its high specific gravity,” he said.

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NUPENG, Lagos State Agree to Call Off Strike

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NUPENG Agrees With Lagos State, Call Off Strike

The Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Gas (NUPENG) has ordered Lagos State Petroleum Tanker Drivers (PTDs) to call off its ongoing strike.

This was disclosed in a joint communique signed by the Lagos Commissioner of Energy and Mineral Resources, Olalere Odusote, and the NUPENG Deputy National President, Solomon Kilanko.

It would be recalled that Investors King had reported that NUPENG directed all PTDs to withdraw their services from Lagos State effective from Monday 10 August 2020 because of the persistent extortions and harassments of PTDs by both uniform security agencies and touts.

However, on the 10th of August, the commencement day of the strike, Lagos State government met with the leadership of NUPENG to address the union concerns and eventually agreed on a way forward.

Part of the communique reads “The Lagos State Government met today with the representatives of NUPENG, which agreed to call off its strike immediately.

“Other decisions taken at the meeting are security – the state government will meet the heads of all security agencies and secure their commitment to ensure the free passage of petroleum products vehicles given their importance to the economy.”

“Area boys’ – the menace of ‘area boys’ will be handled by relevant government agencies and a dedicated phone number will be established, within the next week to ensure the petroleum products transporters have prompt access to security agencies.”

The communique also stated that the Lagos State government will set up a standing committee to communicate with the union on an ongoing basis, saying it will help address a similar issue going forward.  See the complete communique below.

Tanker

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Crude Oil Expands Gain on US Stimulus talks, Better Than Expected Chinese Factory Data

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Crude Oil Gains on US Stimulus, Better Than Expected Chinese Factory Data

Oil prices extended its gains on Tuesday following a better than expected factory data from China and a possible agreement between Democrats and Republicans on economic stimulus.

“The oil complex is heavily reliant on that aid. We need people to be able to boost economic activity to spur demand,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York.

President Trump on Monday said House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi and Senator Chuck Schumer, top Democrat in the chamber of Congress, wanted to meet him to discuss or make a deal on coronavirus-related economic stimulus.

The possibility of a stimulus deal, coupled with a reduction in China’s factory deflation in the month of July due to the surge in oil prices and improved industrial activity bolstered the outlook of the energy sector.

China is the world’s largest importer of crude oil. Therefore, improved factory activity generally boosts the oil market.

Also, the announcement from Iraq that it planned to cut an additional 400,000 barrels per day in August and September to compensate for its previous overproduction above OPEC+ quota aided the oil market this week.

“This would send out a strong signal to the oil market on various levels. That said, this would also require the international companies operating in Iraq to join in with the cuts,” Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg said.

The Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, expanded from $41.30 per barrel it traded on Monday to $45.40 per barrel on Tuesday at 10:10 am Nigerian time.

UKOilDaily 1While the U.S West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose from $41.48 per barrel to $42.47 per barrel on Tuesday.

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