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Dollar, S&P 500 Futures Drop on Health-Care Flop

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  • Dollar, S&P 500 Futures Drop on Health-Care Flop

The dollar and U.S. equity futures built on Friday’s declines and gold climbed with bonds as investors shunned risk assets amid increased skepticism of U.S. President Donald Trump’s ability to implement his economic agenda after last week’s failed U.S. health-care deal.

The yen strengthened, while benchmark gauges from Japan to Singapore fell with S&P 500 Index futures. The dollar was on the verge of erasing the rally spurred by Trump’s election victory. Australian government bonds rose with Treasuries. Oil slipped, giving up earlier gains on a pledge by producers to consider extending their pact limiting supply.

“Markets are likely to start the week in a cautious mode,” said Rodrigo Catril, a currency strategist at National Australia Bank Ltd. in Sydney. “This was the first major attempt by the administration to reform the government and its miserable failure exposes the limits of President Trump.”

Reflation trades sparked by Trump’s election are faltering in March, with the dollar retreating and the S&P 500 Index headed for its worst month since October. Meanwhile, emerging-market assets are climbing, with the global equities gauge for developing nations on course for a third monthly gain in March.

Volatility is climbing, after a measure for the S&P 500 had its biggest weekly jump of the year and touched the highest level since December. Gauges of price swings from Hong Kong to India rose on Monday, with the volatility measure for the Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbing 9.7 percent.

“The test for markets comes tonight, as American investors face the first full session of trading,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney. “A significantly weaker U.S. dollar suggests the news is not fully priced into shares.”

Here are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 lost 0.7 percent as of 12:58 p.m. in Tokyo. The underlying gauge last week tumbled 1.4 percent.
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.3 percent, with almost three shares falling for every one advancing. Raw-material and financial shares led declines.
  • Japan’s Topix lost 1.2 percent, poised for the lowest close since Feb. 9. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index retreated 0.2 percent and South Korea’s Kospi declined 0.6 percent. Singapore’s Straits Times Index retreated 0.5 percent.
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 0.3 percent and the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.1 percent.
  • The MSCI Emerging Markets index gained 0.1 percent, with benchmark indexes in Malaysia and Vietnam advancing.

Currencies

  • The yen rose 0.9 percent to 110.34 per dollar, bringing its monthly gain to 2.2 percent so far.
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4 percent. It’s down more than 4 percent for the year.
  • The euro gained 0.5 percent to $1.0848 and the British pound added 0.5 percent.
  • The Australian dollar rose 0.1 percent.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Australian government bonds slid six basis points to 2.69 percent.
  • Yields on 10-year Treasuries dropped five basis points to 2.37 percent, after giving up one basis point on Friday.

Commodities

  • Gold rose 1 percent to $1,256.53, the highest since February. The metal is up 0.7 percent for March.
  • Oil slipped 0.3 percent to $47.84 a barrel, erasing an earlier gain of as much as 0.7 percent. Crude producers pledged to consider extending their pact limiting supply, as half a dozen nations said more time was needed to drain swollen stockpiles.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Oil Rises to $43.76 Despite Falling Oil Demand

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Brent Crude Rises to $43.76 Per Barrel on Friday

Oil price extended its gain on Friday despite OPEC and other experts predicting a further decline in demand for the commodity.

The Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose from $39.44 per barrel on Tuesday to $43.76 per barrel on Friday before pulling back to $43.42 per barrel.

The oil surged after reports showed that US oil producers were shutting down due to hurricanes and also that crude oil inventories dropped by over 9 million barrels in the week ended September 11, 2020.

The commodity started its bullish run a day after OPEC lowered its demand outlook for the year through the first half of 2021, saying recovery without COVID-19 remained slow.

“Once again, OPEC+ meets against a worrying backdrop of soft global oil prices and an uncertain demand outlook,” Cailin Birch from The Economist Intelligence Unit told CNBC via email on Thursday.

“We maintain our view that Brent crude prices will average just over $42 a barrel in 2020, assuming that OPEC+ partners reconfirm their commitment to output cuts at their September meeting,” Birch said.

Another expert, Tim Bray, a senior portfolio manager at GuideStone Capital Management, through an email said “I do not believe we should expect any material change of course out of the OPEC meeting this week when they review market fundamentals, in part because compliance with previously agreed production cuts has been high,” Tim Bray, senior portfolio manager at GuideStone Capital Management, told CNBC via email.

“It might set the stage for action at future meetings, however,” Bray said.

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Coronavirus: European Investment Bank (EIB) Approves € 12.6bn Financing for Transport, Clean Energy, Urban Development and COVID-19 Resilience

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Outgoing President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi and incoming Christine Lagarde.

€ 3.1 billion for COVID-19 public health and business financing; € 3.5 billion for private sector investment and working capital schemes; € 3 billon for clean energy and energy efficiency investment around the world; € 2 billion for Naples-Bari high speed train link largest loan in EIB history.

The European Investment Bank (EIB) today approved € 12.6 billion of new financing for projects across Europe and around the world.

New financing agreed today includes more than € 3.1 billion of COVID-19-related investment to improve public health, strengthen public services and back investment by companies in sectors hit by the pandemic.

Since the start of the COVID-19 crisis, the EIB has approved € 20.1 billion to enable public and private partners around the world to better tackle health, social and economic challenges.

The EIB Board, meeting by video conference, also backed investment in agriculture, water, housing, telecommunications and urban development across Europe, as well as in Africa, Asia and Latin America.

“Fighting climate change and tackling the COVID-19 pandemic must go hand in hand to achieve a green recovery. The EU Bank is working around the world to help mitigate the impact of the pandemic on lives, jobs and businesses; and to ensure that investment focuses on sustainability, innovation, and on reducing the devastating impact of climate change. The 12.6 billion Euros of new EIB financing approved today show how we are working with thousands of local partners to make a long-term difference to people’s lives during these challenging times”, said Werner Hoyer, President of the European Investment Bank.

Largest ever EIB loan to transform travel in southern Italy

Passengers travelling between Rome, Naples and Bari will from 2027 benefit from reduced journey times, a quicker and environmentally friendly alternative to car transport, and improved connections thanks to the largest loan the EIB ever approved.

The EIB board gave the green light for a EUR 2 billion loan to support the construction of the new high-speed train link that will cut journey times by 1 hour and forty minutes between Naples and Bari. More than 2000 jobs will be created during construction and 200 once construction of the high speed line across a European cohesion region is complete.

The new green transport link, part of the Italian government’s “Unlock Italy” decree, will increase the competitiveness of raid transport, reduce carbon emissions and support social and economic development in southern Italy. It is part of the Scandinavia-Mediterranean Trans-European Network (TEN).

€ 3.6 billion to help businesses to better withstand COVID-19 challenges

Ensuring that entrepreneurs and employers can continue to invest and adapt to new challenges posed by COVID-19 is crucial.

Companies in the Baltics, Benelux, Cyprus, France, Italy, Spain, Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia as well as East Africa, Morocco, the Middle East and the Pacific will benefit from new targeted COVID-19 financing initiatives approved by the EIB today.

The new schemes, managed by local financial partners and banking intermediaries, will help reduce economic shocks, unlock new investment and enable targeted financing for sectors most vulnerable to COVID-19 uncertainties.

€ 3 billion for renewable energy and energy transition

Today’s board meeting agreed to support energy investment that will reduce energy use and increase generation of clean energy across Europe and around the world.

€ 1.6 billion will be used to finance small-scale local climate action projects in France, Italy and across the EU, managed by experienced financing partners.

Financing to support construction of new windfarms off the Dutch coast and in Bosnia, improve energy efficiency in Austria and Ukraine, renovate hydropower in Georgia, roll out smart meters in Lithuania and modernise electricity networks in Madeira and Hungary was also approved.

Millions of people across Africa and Latin America will be able to access reliable clean energy for the first time following EIB support for new off-grid solar schemes and energy transition.

€ 2.9 billion to improve urban and national sustainable transport

Rail transport in Italy is set to be transformed by EIB backed investment to upgrade rolling stock on the national network, alongside today’s approval of EUR 2 billion financing for the new high-speed line between Naples and Bari.

The EIB Board also agreed to support new investment to upgrade public transport in Sarajevo and Krakow, and to help improve a key motorway link in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Improving urban development and social housing

Thousands of families will benefit from new large-scale social housing investment across France and in Germany under new financing programs approved today.

The EIB Board also agreed to support the New Slussen urban development project that will transform of the heart of the Swedish capital Stockholm.

Hospital patients will benefit from EIB support for construction of a new regional hospital in Tournai and approval of a national scheme to improve mental health facilities across Belgium.

A new scheme to support long-term healthcare investment in French regions underserved by medical services was also agreed.

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Crude Oil Rises Despite Demand Concerns as Hurricane Sally Disrupts Further Production

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Oil Prices Surge as Hurricane Sally Disrupts Oil Production

Oil prices rose on Wednesday despite weak demand after strong hurricane sally threatens to disrupted operations of US oil producers amid a big drop in oil inventories.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is measured, rose from $39.34 barrel on Tuesday to $41.58 per barrel on Wednesday.

Accordingly, the US West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 1.8 percent to $38.96 per barrel.

American Petroleum Institute (API), a weekly oil projection report, on Tuesday reported that US crude oil inventories declined by 9.5 million barrels in the week ended September 11, 2020. This, experts at ING Research said if close to the real number due later today, could provide support for global oil prices.

The experts said, “If we see a number similar to the drawdown the API reported overnight, it would likely provide some immediate support to the market.”

This coupled with the fact that with reports that 25 percent of US offshore oil and gas output was halted and export ports were shut as the storm crawled offshore along the US Gulf Coast bolstered oil prices on Wednesday.

Oil prices gained despite OPEC lowering demand for the year, saying weak global recovery amid rising cases of COVID-19 will impact demand for the commodity through the first half of 2021.

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