Dollar Trades Lower as Concern Over Second Wave of COVID-19 Deepens
The United States dollar slipped on Monday as investors remained concerned over the rising number of COVID-19 confirmed cases in the US and the rest of the world.
The world’s largest economy that recently announced additional stimulus to further boost economic recovery and support small businesses reported more than 30,000 new cases on Friday and Saturday, making it the highest daily totals since May 1, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
“We expect the FX markets to remain caught between recovering economic indicators and concerns about a second-wave of COVID-19 infections in the week ahead,” analysts at Barclays stated on Monday
Sameer Goel, a chief macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, Asia, said the big question for investors right now on US dollar is the greenback should be trading at a safe-haven risk premium as concerns rise over a potential second wave of virus infections.
During the Asian trading session, the US dollar index stood at 97.503 against a basket of currencies, down from 96.5 it traded earlier in the month.
Against the British Pound, the US dollar pulled back slightly after plunging for the last 8 days as shown below.
Tope Pete, a currency trader, who spoke with our correspondent on GBPUSD pair, said “1.2175 is an area of interest on the daily chart for the cable. It is an area that lies around the 38.2 percent fibo level of 2019 high (1.3513 of Dec 13, 2019) and 2020 low (1.1640 of Mar 2020).
“As can be seen on this daily chart, a bearish candle pattern for a reversal in an uptrend market was completed on June 11, 2020, right beneath the 61.8 percent fibo region of the aforementioned high and low area. An entry at the end of the candle pattern formation would have given a sell entry at the opening of June 12, 2020 candle with Targets at the 50 percent area (1.2465) and 38.2 percent area (1.2210).
“However, for those who couldn’t get in at the aforementioned entry, a further selloff is been anticipated while entries will only be confirmed with a strong bearish candle reversal pattern along the 50 percent region where it currently is.
“A strong bullish run above the 1.2720 area totally invalidates this setup.
“As the UK government looks to ease down on the COVID-19 guidelines on social distancing, more business will open up for transaction and this could help the UK economy make a good spring.”
Naira Remains Flat Against US Dollar, Euro
Naira Exchange Rate Remains Flat Against US Dollar and Euro on Black Market
The Naira remained unchanged on Tuesday despite the curfews and social unrest that grounded the nation’s economy.
Naira traded at N463 against the United States dollar on the black market on Tuesday morning, the same rate it exchanged on Thursday.
Against the European common currency, the Nigerian Naira exchanged at N540 to a single Euro.
However, the local currency dipped slightly against the British Pounds as it exchanged at N595 to a British Pound, representing a N3 decline from N592 it traded on Friday.
Social unrest amid weak economic fundamentals continued to weigh on Nigeria’s local currency, especially with Foreign Direct Investment expected to drop in the final quarter of the year through the first quarter of 2021.
This coupled with weak foreign reserves and a drop in global demand for crude oil is expected to compound Nigeria’s economic woes.
Lagos State governor, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, has said Nigeria’s commercial capital needs at least N1 trillion to fix the destruction and vandalisation that trailed the #EndSARS protest in the state. An amount equivalent to the state’s annual budget.
Experts, who spoke on the situation, said it would hurt the nation’s output and may plunge fourth-quarter GDP by as much as 6.9 percent. These rising uncertainties amid the second wave of COVID-19 and possible lockdown in key trading partners could further plunge Naira value against global counterparts in the fourth quarter of the year.
Transparent Exchange Rate Can Boost Nigeria’s Forex Inflow
Transparent Exchange Rate Can Improve Nigeria’s Diaspora Forex Inflow
Experts that gathered at a virtual summit organised by Ecobank Nigeria with a theme, ‘Financial Services & Remittance Solutions for Nigerians in Diaspora: Leveraging Ecobank’s Pan-African offering’, have said Nigeria can boost foreign exchange inflow through proper engagement and a transparent exchange rate.
Mr. Patrick Akinwuntan, Managing Director of Ecobank Nigeria, in his opening speech, said growing evidence has shown that diaspora remittances were positively impacting economies of various nations in the world.
Akinwuntan put the total annual remittances to Nigeria at around $20 billion per year, saying it boosts the nation’s foreign exchange earnings.
Speaking on how these remittances can be sustained, he said constant engagement with Nigerians abroad is imperative and it is the reason Ecobank is leveraging its digital technology through Rapidtransfer App and Ecobank mobile App to ensure affordable and easy transfer of funds by Nigerians abroad to their home country.
“Our dedicated Rapidtransfer, mobile remittance app is a game-changer for the market. It enables Africans and indeed Nigerians wherever they are to easily and instantly send money to bank accounts, mobile wallets and cash collection in – and across – 33 African countries.
“Historically, the cost of sending cross-border remittances to Africa has been far too high at about 6%-7%. Similarly, the process to send funds has long been inefficient and burdensome, with customers typically needing to go physically to an agent sometimes late in the night or in poor weather with attendant discomfort and risks.
“The Rapidtransfer app remittance solution is a quick, easy and reliable digital solution that removes all of these issues. It is indeed a game-changer for Nigerians and all Africans with its sustainable and standout affordability,” he said.
Speaking on transaction charges, the Ecobank Managing Director said transfer fee range from zero to about 3 percent as compared to 6 – 7 percent charge elsewhere.
He added that the bank’s instant transfer and transparent exchange rate is a unique factor its competitors do not possess.
Naira to Dollar Rate Today: Naira Exchanges at N463 to Dollar on Black Market
Naira to Dollar Rate on Black Market Today Stood at N463
The Nigerian Naira to dollar rate slid slightly against the United States dollar on Tuesday on the black market as social unrest continues to weigh on the nation’s economic outlook.
The local currency lost N1 against the US dollar to N463 while against the British pound it remains pressured at N592.
This decline continues against the European Union’s common currency, the Euro. The Naira traded at N540 to a single Euro on the black market.
Naira to dollar rate plunged amid rising economic uncertainties and unclear policy path caused by both COVID-19 and government limited fiscal buffers to cushion the negative impacts of the virus on Africa’s largest economy.
This coupled with the ongoing social unrest by the Nigerian youths to force decorum across the Nigerian Police Force and call global attention to decades of systemic intimidation and harassment of innocent citizens.
The Nigerian Stock Exchange has been closing flat since Thursday and continued this week, suggesting that investors are concerns and wary of eventualities as they look to safeguard their investments.
Again, the projected third-quarter recession, low foreign revenue generation, weak consumer spending and the rising cost of living are some of the factors hurting the Nigerian Naira outlook.
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