Dollar Pares Decline After Nafta Anxiety Defused

nairaA bank clerk counts U.S. dollar banknotes on bundles of 100 Chinese yuan banknotes
  • Dollar Pares Decline After Nafta Anxiety Defused

The dollar recovered early losses after U.S. President Donald Trump ruled out a withdrawal from Nafta. European stocks fell as investors absorbed a string of news from corporate earnings to central bank decisions and plans to overhaul U.S. taxes.

The Mexican peso and Canadian dollar jumped, reversing earlier declines, as the White House said it won’t immediately terminate participation in the North American Free Trade Agreement. U.S. stock futures signaled a higher opening while European shares retreated from a six-day rally.

Investors are searching for fresh impetus after an underwhelming tax cut plan from the White House. The Nafta statement emerged as a distraction for the currency market, while in the bond market, the next flashpoint will be the tone of the European Central Bank’s meeting Wednesday. Emmanuel Macron’s ascent in the French election this week blunted euroskepticism, creating room for policy makers to chart out their stimulus exit plan.

“We would expect the commentary to remain relatively upbeat on the growth outlook,” Mike Bell, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management said in a note. He expects the ECB to wait until January to begin withdrawing stimulus. “Despite the result of the first round of the French election soothing market fears of potential euro disintegration risk we still expect this week’s ECB meeting to be too early to signal any meaningful shift in policy.”

Here are some key upcoming events investors are watching:

  • The European Central Bank is up next. ECB officials have indicated little chance of a policy change on Thursday. The focus will be on any signals from President Mario Draghi that the central bank is debating an exit from its extraordinary stimulus.
  • U.S. GDP is due Friday. It’s projected to show the economy expanded at a 1 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, the weakest pace in a year.

About the Author

Samed Olukoya
CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and, with over a decade long experience in the global financial market. Contact Samed on Twitter: @sameolukoya; Email: [email protected]

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