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Crude Oil Hits 2019 High On Wednesday

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  • Crude Oil Hits 2019 High On Wednesday

Oil prices rose to a 2019 high on Wednesday following a report of an additional sanction on Iran and further disruption in Venezuelan crude exports.

The Brent crude oil rose to $69.73 per barrel during Asian trading session, pushing towards $70 as OPEC-led production cuts and the uncertainty surrounding supplies overshadowed another report of rising U.S oil inventories.

“The production cuts by OPEC+ are providing a nice backdrop here for higher prices and until we see U.S. production reassert itself, the easier move is higher for oil,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.4 percents to $62.84 a barrel.

Oil prices have been supported for much of 2019 by OPEC and non-OPEC agreement to lower production by 1.2 million barrels per day for 2019.

Russia pumped 11.3 million barrels per day in February, below the country’s agreed target under the accord. Suggesting OPEC+ will exceed expectations as members, except Nigeria, are pumping below agreed terms.

“We assume that OPEC crude oil production will average 30.1 million bpd in 2019 … down from 31.9 million bpd in 2018,” BNP Paribas said in a note, reducing an earlier forecast for this year by 200,000 bpd.

Mike Pence, U.S Vice President, on Tuesday said the United States would continue to pressure Venezuela’s government and those who support it with economic sanctions, saying oil prices are low enough to intensify the measures.

U.S. crude inventories rose unexpectedly last week, according to the American Petroleum Institute report released on Tuesday.

The U.S. Department of Energy will release official numbers later today.

Meanwhile, Chinese Vice Premier, Liu He, will be arriving the U.S later today to discuss trade issues that have suppressed global growth in the last two years.

The world’s two largest economies, by most experts, are expected to reach an agreement on certain issues. A different result may impact oil prices and recent global progress.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade long experience in the global financial market. Contact Samed on Twitter: @sameolukoya

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Economy

Crude Oil Rises to $43.68 on Monday Despite Concerns Over Rising COVID-19 Cases

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Oil Rises to $43.68  Despite Concerns Over Rising COVID-19 Cases

Oil prices rose on Monday during the London trading session to $43.68 per barrel despite growing concerns over the rising number of new COVID-19 cases.

The Brent Crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is measured, rose as high as $43.68 per barrel before slightly pulling back to $43.24 per barrel as at 1:25 pm Nigerian time.

UKOilDaily 1The US West Texas Intermediate crude oil remained largely unchanged as it traded at $40.64 per barrel on Monday. The same price range it traded last week.

Despite the rising number of COVID-19 new cases in the US and the rest of the world, Brent crude oil has been able to sustain the recent upsurge on the back of OPEC and allies 9.7 million per day production cut agreement and the reported improvement in compliance level.

However, experts have said if the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases continues to increase that demand for the commodity will decline as people and businesses would be forced to shut down operations and stay at home.

“There will be some kind of decline in demand if cases were to increase as people will stay at home,” said Howie Lee, an economist at Singapore’s OCBC Bank. “The pace of U.S. demand recovery will not be as steep as expected.”

Analysts at ING bank said in a note that the report of the Energy Information Administration due later this week will highlight the impact of the new restriction due to the second wave of COVID-19 on gasoline demand.

“We will get a better idea of what impact tighter restrictions in several states have had on gasoline demand with the EIA (Energy Information Administration) report this week.”

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Citigroup Sees $60 Per Barrel Crude Oil in the Next 12 Months

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Citigroup Says Crude Oil Will Reach $60 Per Barrel in a year

Despite the current economic downturn and the projected second phase of COVID-19, Citigroup, a New-York based financial service company, has said oil price could hit $60 per barrel in the next 12 months.

Citigroup disclosed this on Thursday during a virtual EMEA Media Summit titled – ‘Navigating the Future: What’s Next in a Post-COVID-19 World’.

“After a substantial underperformance in the last six months relative to several other commodities, crude will eventually bounce back to around $60 per barrel over the next 12 months,” Max Layton, European Head of Commodities Strategy, Citigroup said while giving a presentation on the outlook for commodities in the second half of 2020, and into 2021.

This means Brent crude oil would rise by at least 50 percent from the current level of $42 per barrel in the next 12 months.

“It’s going to be a function of the demand and supply but recently we have been seeing a spike in the demand for some of the commodities,” said Atiq Rehman, Head of EMEA Emerging Markets, Citigroup.

“A lot of these economies are heavily commodity-dependent, and perhaps, in the past have been guilty of not diversifying when they come under pressure. I think perhaps, this recent moves will push them to diversify away from simply commodities,” Grant Carson, Head of TRUK And Non-Presence Countries, Citigroup, stated citing Russian as one of the countries that have recorded success in diversifying away from crude oil.

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Oil Sustains $42 Price Level as OPEC Output Drops to Over Two-Decade Low

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OPEC Oil Output Drops to Over Two-Decade Low in June

Crude oil sustained $42 per barrel price level following a recent survey conducted by Reuters that showed the Organisation for the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) managed to cut oil production to over two-decade low in the month of June.

According to the survey, OPEC’s 13 members pumped 22.62 million barrels per day in June, 1.92 million barrels per day below May’s revised figure. The lowest since May 1991.

OPEC and allies, together referred to as OPEC plus, had agreed to cut oil production by 9.7 million barrels per day in the month of April to rebalance the global oil market and prop up prices amid COVID-19 pandemic.

OPEC’s share of the 9.7 million barrels per day production cut was 6.084 million bpd but OPEC delivered 6.523 million bpd cut in the month of June despite the inconsistencies from Nigeria, Angola and Iraq.

In June, Saudi Arabia reduced production by 1.13 million barrels per day to 7.53 million bpd. While Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates met their quota but struggle to fulfill the extra cuts.

Nigeria, Iraq and Angola continue to struggle in the month of June. However, their performance improved compared to May as Nigeria attained 77 percent compliance level, up from 19 percent in May.

While Iraq and Angola achieved 70 percent and 80 percent compliance level, respectively. Nigeria and Iraq have pledged to cut more in July despite their economic challenges. Angola, however, said it would not be able to cut extra oil production until October.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is measured, rose to $42.48 per barrel on Friday as at 2:58 pm Nigerian time.

UKOilDaily

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