Categories: Economy

Emerging Markets Rebound With Oil

Emerging markets gained two days of losses after oil surged.

A Bloomberg gauge of developing-nation stocks shows seven of ten industry groups rebounded from a three-week low. Indonesia and Philippines equity led gains, while Malaysia’s ringgit jumped the most in a week as higher crude prices boosted economic outlook for the oil exporting nation. Indonesia’s rupiah also rose for the first time in four days and climbed from its lowest level this month.

Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index gained 0.04 percent to 25,464.94, after losing 23.93 percent of it’s market value in the last 12 months.

“Investors are reacting positively to signs that the Fed is dovish and to the rebound in oil prices,” said Rafael Palma Gil, a Manila-based trader at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp, which manages $1.7 billion of assets. “As long as interest rates stay low, or near zero, funds will flow back into emerging markets for higher yields.”

Emerging markets retreated in April after previously surging in March amidst concerns that risks to a global economic recovery are increasing. While the Fed’s minutes showed broad agreement on a go-slow strategy, they showed several officials leaning against such a move because it would send the wrong signal and others saying it might be warranted.

The dollar fell immediately the report was released and traders are assigning zero chance of an April rate increase, with the odds below 50 percent until December.

“Broadly emerging market currencies have benefited from the dollar weakness,” said Nizam Idris, the Singapore-based head of strategy for fixed income and currencies at Macquarie Bank Ltd. “The minutes out yesterday give the green light for some further appreciation.”

Samed Olukoya

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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