2018 Budget: Buhari Proposes N8.6 Trillion; 16% Higher Than 2017

budgetPresident Muhammadu Buhari (C) presenting copies of the 2017 budget documents to the National Assembly on Wednesday, December 14, 2016.
  • 2018 Budget: Buhari Proposes N8.6 Trillion; 16% Higher Than 2017

The Nigerian president Muhammadu Buhari on Tuesday presented the 2018 proposed budget to a joint session of the National Assembly in Abuja.

According to the president, the budget will consolidate on the achievements of previous budgets and help actualize the Nigeria’s Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) 2018-2020.

Here are key benchmarks:

  1. Oil price pegged at US$45 a barrel;
  2. Oil production estimate of 2.3 million barrels per day, including condensates;
  3. Exchange rate of N305/US$ for 2018;
  4. Real GDP growth of 3.5 percent; and
  5. Inflation Rate of 12.4 percent.

Proposed Expenditure for 2018

A total expenditure of N8.6 trillion is proposed for the year 2018, representing an increase of 16 percent when compared with the 2017 budget of N7.44 trillion.

Expenditure breakdown shows N3.494 trillion is to be spent on recurrent expenditure, while N2.014 trillion will be used to service national debt, statutory transfers, sinking fund and capital expenditure are to cost N456 billion, N220 billion and N 2.43 trillion, respectively.

Collectable Revenue Estimates for 2018

The Federal Government estimated a total revenue of N6.607 trillion in 2018, up by about 30 percent from the 2017 budget. This comprises of N2.442 trillion of oil revenues and non-oil (and other revenues) of N4.16 trillion.

“Non-oil and other revenue sources of 4.165 trillion Naira, include several items including: Share of Companies Income Tax (CIT) of 794.7 billion Naira, share of Value Added Tax (VAT) of 207.9 billion Naira, Customs & Excise Receipts of 324.9 billion Naira, FGN Independently Generated Revenues (IGR) of 847.9 billion Naira, FGN’s Share of Tax Amnesty Income of 87.8 billion Naira, and various recoveries of 512.4 billion Naira, 710 billion Naira as proceeds from the restructuring of government’s equity in Joint Ventures and other sundry incomes of 678.4 billion Naira,” the president said.

If passed, the budget is expected to add at least N2.005 trillion to the national debt, about 1.8 percent of the GDP and down from N2.36 trillion in 2017. The president said estimated N1.99 trillion will be borrowed to finance budget deficit in 2018. Bringing Nigeria’s total debt to N21.2 trillion by the end of 2018.

Nigeria’s total debt currently stood at N19.16 trillion, according to the Medium Term Expenditure Framework. In the first half of this year alone, the Federal Government spent a total of N927.74 billion to service national debt, with additional N2.005 trillion that number will easily surpass N1 trillion and N2 trillion a year.

Nigeria recovered from its first economic recession in 25 years in the second quarter and expected to grow at a rate of 1.9 percent in 2018 by the International Monetary fund.

About the Author

Samed Olukoya
Samed Olukoya is the CEO/Founder of investorsking.com, a digital business media, with over 10 years' experience as a foreign exchange research analyst and trader. A graduate of University of East London, U.K. and a vivid financial markets analyst.

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